GURUSCOPE
guruscopegurualessiorastani
›creator--idalessiorastani
AR

Alessio Rastani

@alessiorastani · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 119 VERIFIED · < 1M
CAT
TECHNICAL
Investing style category
RISK
SPECULATIVE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
EVALUABLE
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
179
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
C+
Overall letter grade
55
Credibility
Overall credibility across all dimensions
C+
SIG ✓ · n=119
Statistical significance of results given sample size
SCORECARD · n=119
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample size
Accuracy
50
179 CALLS
Percentage of predictions that were correct
Alpha
60
+2.1%
Returns above the S&P 500 benchmark
Calibration
80
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
How well stated confidence matches actual outcomes
Sentiment
97
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Consistency of bullish/bearish stance over time
Risk
50
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Awareness of downside scenarios and risk factors
Disclosure
2
2%
Transparency about holdings and conflicts of interest
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Honesty about past missed or failed predictions
Risk-Adj
58
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
Performance score adjusted for risk taken
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcomeHIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflicts
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all100
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS100 PREDICTIONS
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-07

The S&P 500 could move to over the 7,000 level by the end of this year.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-07

The market could make new highs in the next several months.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^GSPC[HOLD]
2026-05-07

There is still potential for S&P 500's wave five to extend higher this year despite any pullbacks or corrections.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-07

The S&P 500 could eventually reach 7,278 within a 12-month period.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-07

Wave five of the stock market has not yet topped or completed and still has the potential to extend higher this year despite any pullbacks or corrections.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-07

The S&P 500 market could extend wave five much higher to over the 7,000 level, potentially reaching 7,278 within the next 12 months.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-07

Wave five of the major stock markets (S&P 500) has not yet topped or completed, as there is no indication it has.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-07

Wave five of the major stock markets (S&P 500) still has the potential to extend higher this year despite any potential pullbacks or corrections.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-07

There is no indication that Wave 5 of the stock market rally has topped or completed, and it still has the potential to extend higher this year despite any pullbacks or corrections.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-07

The S&P 500 could make new highs in the next several months, potentially extending Wave 5 to over the 7,000 level and eventually reaching 7,278 within a 12-month period, likely by the end of this year.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
90 MORE
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

Silver could likely move to new all-time highs, exceeding 2011 highs.

WRG−14.3%CONF 60
SI=F[HOLD]
2026-04-20

Silver could test and perhaps exceed the 2011 highs of $49.50 in the next year or two.

PRT−14.3%CONF 60
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

Silver is still quite undervalued and relatively cheap at current prices.

WRG−14.3%CONF 60
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

Silver, even at current prices, is quite undervalued and relatively cheap.

WRG−9.8%CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

The recent drop in crude oil prices is not even a correction, as it has only lasted nine trading days, which is less than the required 10 days for a confirmed correction according to Dow Theory.

PRT+16.8%CONF 85
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

Silver is expected to reach much higher levels in the next few years, potentially testing and surpassing its 2011 highs near the $45-50 region within the next one to two years.

WRG−9.8%CONF 60
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

If silver experiences another major correction, the speaker will continue to buy more of the metal.

WRG−9.8%CONF 85
SI=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

The current action in silver is a secondary reaction or correction against a bull market, and it is not a bear market yet.

PRT−9.8%CONF 85
SI=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

The current action in silver is a secondary reaction/correction within a bull market, and not a bear market yet.

PRT+0.7%CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

The recent pullback in crude oil prices is not yet a confirmed correction according to Dow Theory, as it has only lasted nine trading days.

PRT+7.4%CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

The current pullback in crude oil is a healthy pullback.

PRT+7.4%CONF 85
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

The speaker will continue to buy silver if there is another major correction.

COR+0.7%CONF 85
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

Silver could test the prior highs from 2011 (near the $45-$50 region) and potentially exceed them in the next one to two years.

COR+0.7%CONF 60
SI=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

Silver's current market state is still a bull market, undergoing a correction but not yet a bear market.

PRT+2.4%CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

The recent pullback in crude oil is healthy.

PRT+9.9%CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

The recent pullback in crude oil prices is not a true correction yet.

PRT+9.9%CONF 85
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

The speaker will continue to buy more silver if another major correction occurs.

COR+2.4%CONF 85
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

Silver could test its prior highs from 2011 near the $45-$50 region and potentially exceed them in the next year or two.

COR+2.4%CONF 60
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

Silver is currently quite undervalued and relatively cheap.

COR+2.4%CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

The decline in crude oil has only lasted nine days and does not meet the minimum 10 days for a confirmed correction according to the speaker's data.

PRT+9.9%CONF 85
SI=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

The silver market is still a bull market.

PRT−8.8%CONF 85
SI=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

The current action in the silver market is a secondary reaction against a bull market, which is a correction, but not yet a bear market.

PRT−8.8%CONF 85
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

If silver experiences another pullback or major correction, the speaker will continue to load up on the metal.

WRG−8.8%CONF 60
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

Silver will reach much higher levels in the next few years.

WRG−8.8%CONF 60
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

In the longer term, silver could test the prior highs from 2011 near the $45-$50 region.

WRG−8.8%CONF 60
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

Silver could go to and perhaps take out the 2011 highs (near $49.50) in the next year or two.

WRG−8.8%CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

The recent drop in crude oil prices is not even a correction yet, as it has only lasted nine days.

PRT+11.1%CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

The recent pullback in crude oil prices is a healthy pullback.

PRT+11.1%CONF 85
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

The speaker intends to buy more silver if there is another major correction.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
SI=F[HOLD]
2026-04-20

Silver is currently in a bull market, and the recent pullback is merely a correction, not the start of a bear market.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

Silver is likely to move to new all-time highs, surpassing the 2011 highs.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
CL=F[HOLD]
2026-04-20

The current pullback in crude oil prices is healthy, suggesting the bull market is intact.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

Silver could test and potentially surpass its 2011 highs (around $45-50) in the next year or two.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

Silver prices will reach much higher levels in the next few years.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-20

Silver is currently undervalued and relatively cheap.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-04-19

Bitcoin's new bull market will lead to a very tradable rally.

WRG−21.7%CONF 60
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-04-19

The confirmed breakout in Bitcoin, confirmed by Ethereum, means probabilities have shifted in favor of higher prices for crypto.

WRG−21.7%CONF 85
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-04-19

Bitcoin and Ethereum are in a new bull market and will make higher highs.

WRG−21.7%CONF 85
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-04-19

The current Bitcoin rally is a very tradable rally because it is supported by a new bull market, even if it doesn't reach new all-time highs.

PND−2.1%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-19

The confirmed breakout in Bitcoin, supported by Ethereum also making higher highs, indicates that the probabilities have shifted in favor of the bulls.

PND−2.1%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-19

Both Bitcoin and Ethereum are expected to make higher highs, as probabilities have shifted in favor of the bulls.

PND−2.1%CONF 85
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-04-19

Both Bitcoin and Ethereum will make higher highs.

COR+1.5%CONF 85
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-04-19

The current Bitcoin/Ethereum rally is very tradable because it is supported by a new bull market.

COR+1.5%CONF 85
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-04-19

The current Bitcoin rally is very tradable because it is supported by a new bull market.

COR+2.2%CONF 85
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-04-19

Bitcoin will make higher highs.

COR+2.2%CONF 85
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-04-19

Bitcoin has clearly entered a new bull market.

COR+2.2%CONF 85
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-04-19

The current Bitcoin rally can be very tradable because it is supported by a new bull market.

PND+0.4%CONF 60
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-04-19

Probabilities have shifted in favor of the bulls, which means both Bitcoin and Ethereum will make higher highs.

PND+0.4%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-19

Bitcoin has entered a new bull market.

PND+0.4%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-19

It is a new Bitcoin bull market, which will support a very tradable rally.

PND+0.2%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-19

The bare market on Bitcoin has ended, and it is clearly a new bull market.

PND+0.2%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-19

Both Bitcoin and Ethereum will make higher highs as probabilities have shifted in favor of the bulls.

PND+0.2%CONF 85
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-04-01

Holding a core position in Bitcoin and gold, treating them as long-term insurance assets.

PND−20.2%CONF 85
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-04-01

Gold and Bitcoin, as long-term insurance assets, will provide financial returns.

PND−20.2%CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-01

Bitcoin could potentially reach $500,000 and gold could reach $20,000.

PND−20.2%CONF 35
Stocks[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-01

The strategy for stocks is to actively trade them, buying when prices are going up and selling when they are going down, without believing in narratives.

COR—CONF 85
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-01

Bitcoin could reach half a million dollars and gold could reach $20,000.

PND−15.7%CONF 35
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-04-01

Gold and Bitcoin both are long-term insurance that pay money.

PND−15.7%CONF 85
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-04-01

Holding a core position in Bitcoin and gold acts as a long-term insurance that pays money.

PND−14.2%CONF 85
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-04-01

Gold and Bitcoin serve as long-term insurance that generate returns for the speaker's core position.

PND−12.7%CONF 85
stocks[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-01

For stocks, the speaker is a 100% trader who buys when prices go up and sells when prices go down, without believing in narratives.

PRT—CONF 85
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-04-01

Bitcoin could suddenly reach $500,000 and gold could suddenly reach $20,000 one day.

PND−12.7%CONF 35
BTC-USD[HOLD]
2026-04-01

If Bitcoin constitutes a small percentage (e.g., 2%) of total net worth, it should not be sold.

PRT+2.3%CONF 60
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-04-01

Bitcoin and gold serve as long-term insurance that will appreciate in value.

PND−5.5%CONF 85
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-04-01

Gold and Bitcoin will appreciate long-term, acting as insurance that generates returns.

PND−4.6%CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-01

Bitcoin could reach $500,000 and gold could reach $20,000.

PND−4.6%CONF 35
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-04-01

Bitcoin and gold will provide long-term insurance and generate returns.

PND−4.9%CONF 85
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-01

Bitcoin might reach $500,000 and gold might reach $20,000 one day.

PND−4.3%CONF 35
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-04-01

Gold and Bitcoin act as long-term insurance assets that will provide monetary returns.

PND−4.3%CONF 85
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-01

Bitcoin could reach half a million dollars and gold could reach $20,000 one day.

PND−3.4%CONF 35
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-04-01

Bitcoin and gold serve as long-term insurance that will pay money.

PND−3.4%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-01

Bitcoin could reach half a million dollars one day.

PND−0.7%CONF 35
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-01

Gold could reach $20,000 one day.

PND−2.0%CONF 35
BTC-USD[HOLD]
2026-04-01

Bitcoin serves as a long-term insurance that generates money.

PND−0.7%CONF 85
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-04-01

Gold serves as a long-term insurance that generates money.

PND−2.0%CONF 85
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-04-01

Bitcoin and gold serve as long-term insurance that will provide financial benefit.

PND−2.0%CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-01

Bitcoin could potentially reach half a million dollars, and gold could reach $20,000 one day.

PND−2.0%CONF 35
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-30

Bob Prechter seems to be of the view that the stock market could potentially see a top in 2026.

PRT+0.0%CONF 60
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-30

According to Bob Prechter's cycle, the stock market could be in a bear market all the way to 2032.

PRT+0.0%CONF 60
Stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-30

The stock market could be in a bear market until 2032, according to Bob Prechter's cycle analysis.

PND—CONF 35
Stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-30

The stock market could potentially see a top in 2026, according to Bob Prechter.

PND—CONF 35
stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-30

The stock market could potentially form a top this year, if it hasn't already, according to Bob Prechter.

COR—CONF 60
stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-30

The stock market could be in a bear market all the way to 2032, according to Bob Prechter's cycle analysis.

PND—CONF 60
stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-30

The stock market could potentially reach a top in 2026, according to Bob Prechter.

PND—CONF 35
market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-30

The market could experience a bear market all the way to 2032, according to Bob Prechter's cycle analysis.

WRG—CONF 35
stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-30

The stock market could be in a bear market all the way to 2032.

PND—CONF 60
stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-30

The stock market could potentially see a top in 2026.

COR—CONF 35
stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-30

The stock market could potentially see a top in 2026 if it hasn't already occurred, according to Bob Prechter.

PND—CONF 35
stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-30

According to Bob Prechter's cycle analysis, the market could be in a bear market all the way to 2032.

WRG—CONF 35
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-28

Bitcoin will likely trade below $60,000 by the end of 2026.

PRT+4.4%CONF 60
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=2
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skill
market conditions
n=1
The guru's strong bullish bias, evidenced by 0% accuracy on 'avoid' and 'sell' calls, could be flattered if the market during the evaluated period was generally bullish for his favored asset classes (commodities, crypto).
timing issue
n=1
All predictions are dated in 2026 within a short window (March-May), which is an unusual and very limited observation period to assess long-term strategies or overall consistency.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdown
SI=F5940%
BTC-USD5360%
GC=F—
^GSPC50%
CL=F50%