VERIFIED PREDICTIONS INDEX/64 CREATORS GRADED
The receipts on
your finance guru,
/ audited.
A research instrument for retail investors, built with the rigor its subjects rarely apply to themselves. Every prediction, extracted, verified, graded against the tape.
CREATORS.GRADED
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PRED.VERIFIED
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DELETIONS.TRACKED
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LAST.AUDIT
88983m AGO
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Paste a YouTube channel URL or type a creator handle to see their verified prediction track record.
You'll get a scorecard with accuracy, alpha, calibration, and six more dimensions, each graded against market data.
We don’t grade vibes. We grade verifiable claims against the tape.
CLAIM EXTRACTION
GPT-class extraction with human review on every flagged claim. Ambiguous statements are dropped, not interpreted.
OUTCOME VERIFICATION
Adjusted close from primary exchanges. No after-hours cherry picking. Benchmarks chosen before, not after, the window resolves.
STATISTICAL FLOORS
No credibility grade until n ≥ 30 verified predictions. Below that: 'insufficient sample.'
SURVIVORSHIP AUDIT
Every deleted video, archived tweet, and unlisted upload is preserved with timestamp. Disappeared losers still count.
Prediction accuracy·Alpha vs benchmark·Confidence calibration·Sentiment consistency·Risk awareness·Disclosure quality·Survivorship honesty·Risk-adjusted score·Overall credibility
SEE FULL METHODOLOGY → FEATURED.AUDIT · 150 PREDICTIONS
Commodity Culture scored 66% accuracy across 150 graded predictions.
Every claim extracted from youtube, verified against market data, and scored on nine dimensions. Tap a dial label below to see what it measures.
Commodity Culture · @commodityculture · 150 PREDICTIONS · SIGGRADE B+
Accuracy
Did the call resolve in the stated direction within the stated window?
Alpha
Excess return above SPY (or asset-appropriate benchmark) across four horizons.
Calibration
When they say '100% certain,' how often is it right?
Sentiment
Does Tuesday’s thesis survive Thursday’s tape?
Risk
Are downside scenarios stated, or only upside ones?
Disclosure
Holdings disclosed? Promotions tagged? Or radio silence?
Survival
Are losers still on the timeline, or have they been quietly archived?
Risk-Adj
Sharpe-style scaling: returns judged against volatility taken on.
Credibility
Composite. Bayesian-weighted. Significance-flagged. Not a vibe.
Accuracy
Did the call resolve in the stated direction within the stated window?
Alpha
Excess return above SPY (or asset-appropriate benchmark) across four horizons.
Risk
Are downside scenarios stated, or only upside ones?
Credibility
Composite. Bayesian-weighted. Significance-flagged. Not a vibe.
For investors
Free scans. Pro adds watchlists, alerts, and the full prediction archive per creator.
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For journalists
Citable methodology, exportable receipts, embargoed access to new audits before publication.
COMPLIMENTARYVIEW PRESS ACCESS →For compliance teams
Monitor which creators your clients follow. Flag regulatory risk. SOC-2, audit-trail, SSO.
FROM $2,400/MOVIEW COMPLIANCE PRICING →Paste a handle. See the receipts.
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