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Altcoin Daily
@altcoindaily · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 29 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
HYBRID
RISK
SPECUL
TIER
EVALUA
PRED
113
GRADE
D-
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=29
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=29 · SIG — · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
88
113 CALLS
α
0
−25.6%
CAL
86
BRIER
SNT
97
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
36
SHARPE
CRD
38
D-
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE100
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/113
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
04-28BTC-USDThe US military running a Bitcoin node will significantly reframe the conversation for Bitcoin in Washington DC, making it much more about national security and competition with China.MONTHS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND−0.8%—---
04-28Digital asset regulation (Clarity Act)The Clarity Act has about a 50-50 chance of passing.UNSPECIFIED35[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-28Digital assets (taxation policy)Taxation of digital assets is the next policy wave 'right around the corner' in the United States.MONTHS85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-28Digital assets (rewards and yield)The rewards and yield issue regarding digital assets will be resolved.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-28BTC-USDThe speaker feels very optimistic about Bitcoin.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND−0.8%—---
04-28Digital asset regulation (Clarity Act)Both sides (Democrats and Republicans) will make accommodations in the Clarity Act negotiations.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-28Digital assets (rewards)There will not be a strict ban on rewards for digital assets, but it will also not be very open.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-28BTC-USDThe Bitcoin protocol is here to stay.5+_YEARS85[HOLD]PND−0.8%—---
04-27General marketThe coming bear market is going to be like a Great Depression-style bear market.UNSPECIFIED85[AVOID]PND——---
04-27US economy / creditThe new ESLR regulations will lead to a high single-digit trillion-dollar amount of credit creation over the next few years as banks increase lending, specifically to the wartime economy.1-2_YEARS85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=3
timing issue
n=1
The high prediction accuracy but deeply negative average alpha suggests that calls, while directionally correct, may not have been optimally timed for capturing market gains or avoiding losses relative to the benchmark.
oversimplification
n=1
The guru frequently offers ambitious, long-term price targets (e.g., $500,000 for Bitcoin, $60,000 for Ethereum) that may oversimplify the complex and unpredictable nature of market dynamics over extended periods.
oversimplification
n=1
The frequent use of hype-based and fear-based language could potentially influence investor sentiment and lead to emotional decision-making rather than purely objective analysis.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
BTC-USD—
ETH-USD—
Crypto market175%
stock market2167%
^GSPC—