GURUSCOPE
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AJ

Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 1 VERIFIED · 2M
CAT
NARRATIVE
Investing style category
RISK
SPECULATIVE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
INSUFFICIENT
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
32
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
D-
Overall letter grade
37
Credibility
Overall credibility across all dimensions
D-
SIG — · n=1
Statistical significance of results given sample size
SCORECARD · n=1
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample size
Accuracy
50
32 CALLS
Percentage of predictions that were correct
Alpha
8
−8.5%
Returns above the S&P 500 benchmark
Calibration
87
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
How well stated confidence matches actual outcomes
Sentiment
100
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Consistency of bullish/bearish stance over time
Risk
50
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Awareness of downside scenarios and risk factors
Disclosure
0
0%
Transparency about holdings and conflicts of interest
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Honesty about past missed or failed predictions
Risk-Adj
50
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
Performance score adjusted for risk taken
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcomeHIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflicts
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all32
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS32 PREDICTIONS
Interest rates[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-26

The market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027.

COR—CONF 85
US assets[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-04

The US is going to give Gulf States access to cheap dollars and make sure they don't sell their US assets to prevent market destabilization.

COR—CONF 85
US assets[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-04

The US is going to give Gulf States access to cheap dollars and ensure they don't sell their US assets to prevent market destabilization.

PRT—CONF 85
energy prices, food prices, global economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

If the Middle East conflict drags on, energy and food prices will spike higher, stunting economic growth across the globe.

PND—CONF 60
global economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

The world is about to go through a really bad recession.

PND—CONF 60
DX-Y.NYB[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

A US retreat and failure in restoring order will accelerate countries' decisions to price their oil in currencies other than the US dollar.

PND−3.7%CONF 85
US global influence[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

A US retreat and failure to restore order in a situation like the Iran shipping lane will accelerate the end of the US Empire.

PND—CONF 85
Inflation[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

If the Fed prints money, buys treasuries, caps yields, and does yield curve control while oil prices are rising, it will cause inflation, potentially reaching double digits or worse, making 2021 inflation look mild.

PND—CONF 60
Global economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

A recession in the US, coupled with a negative net international investment position, will trigger a debt death spiral that affects the rest of the world.

PND—CONF 85
US stock market[AVOID]
2026-04-11

Rising Treasury yields (to 5-6% or higher) will crush the US stock market.

PND—CONF 85
22 MORE
US economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

If markets go down, tax revenues will go down, leading to exploding deficits, weaker housing, collapsed consumer spending, bank losses, and a recession.

PND—CONF 85
DX-Y.NYB[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

A US retreat and failure to restore order in a major shipping lane will accelerate dedollarization, specifically for oil pricing.

PND−3.6%CONF 85
Treasury yields[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

Treasury yields will increase to 5-6% or higher.

PRT—CONF 60
US stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

The US stock market will be crushed if Treasury yields reach 5-6% or higher.

PND—CONF 85
US tax revenues[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

US tax revenues will decrease if stock markets go down.

PND—CONF 85
US government deficit[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

US deficits will explode.

COR—CONF 85
Housing market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

Housing will get weaker.

COR—CONF 85
Consumer spending[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

Consumer spending will collapse.

WRG—CONF 85
Banking sector[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

Banks will take losses.

COR—CONF 85
US economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

The US will enter into a recession.

WRG—CONF 85
US economy, global economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

A US recession will trigger a debt death spiral that impacts the rest of the world.

COR—CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

Quantitative easing combined with rising oil prices will cause severe inflation, possibly double digits or worse.

PRT−8.5%CONF 85
US global influence/status[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

A US retreat and failure to restore order in a major shipping lane could mark the end of the US Empire.

PRT—CONF 60
US Global Influence[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

A US retreat from geopolitical responsibility, akin to Britain's Suez Canal moment, will signify the end of the US Empire.

COR—CONF 85
Inflation[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

We could see double-digit inflation, potentially worse than 2021, if the Fed prints money during an oil shock.

PND—CONF 60
US Debt[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

The impending recession will trigger a debt death spiral that will impact the rest of the world due to the negative US net international investment position.

PND—CONF 85
US Economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

The US will enter into a recession, accompanied by exploding deficits, weaker housing, collapsing consumer spending, and bank losses.

COR—CONF 85
US stock market[AVOID]
2026-04-11

Rising Treasury yields will crush the US stock market.

PRT—CONF 85
Treasury yields[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

Treasury yields will go to five, six, maybe higher.

PND—CONF 60
DX-Y.NYB[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

A US retreat and failure to restore order regarding the Strait of Hormuz will accelerate other countries' decisions to price their oil in currencies other than the dollar.

PND−1.3%CONF 60
TLT[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-10

Foreign central banks will sell their US stocks, bonds, and treasuries when they need dollars quickly, especially for oil.

PND−2.8%CONF 85
US National Debt, Treasury yields[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-10

The cost of financing America's nearly $40 trillion debt will increase when yields go up.

COR—CONF 85
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=2
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skill
timing issue
n=1
The track record is preliminary, with a limited number of scored predictions (16 out of 32 total) and all predictions dated within a very recent, short timeframe (April-May 2026). This means the outcomes are based on a short evaluation window, and many predictions are still pending, which can skew perceived accuracy and alpha.
oversimplification
n=1
The frequent 'fear_based' emotional tone and dire predictions (e.g., 'debt death spiral', 'end of US Empire') could lead to an oversimplified view of complex economic realities, potentially leading to sensationalism over nuanced analysis.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdown
US stock market50%
DX-Y.NYB—
US assets175%
US economy1—
Treasury yields50%