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Anthony Pompliano

@anthonypompliano · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 3 VERIFIED · < 1M
CAT
NARRATIVE
Investing style category
RISK
SPECULATIVE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
INSUFFICIENT
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
29
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
F
Overall letter grade
34
Credibility
Overall credibility across all dimensions
F
SIG — · n=3
Statistical significance of results given sample size
SCORECARD · n=3
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample size
Accuracy
50
29 CALLS
Percentage of predictions that were correct
Alpha
0
−14.8%
Returns above the S&P 500 benchmark
Calibration
77
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
How well stated confidence matches actual outcomes
Sentiment
100
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Consistency of bullish/bearish stance over time
Risk
50
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Awareness of downside scenarios and risk factors
Disclosure
0
0%
Transparency about holdings and conflicts of interest
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Honesty about past missed or failed predictions
Risk-Adj
29
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
Performance score adjusted for risk taken
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcomeHIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflicts
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all29
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS29 PREDICTIONS
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Bitcoin's bull run is going to be absolutely incredible.

PND−1.8%CONF 85
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-06-05

Bitcoin is going higher.

PND−1.8%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Bitcoin's price target for the end of the year is $125,000.

PND−1.8%CONF 60
digital credit[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Digital credit is going to work.

COR—CONF 85
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-06-05

Bitcoin will be a shining light and outperform other assets in a market negatively impacted by the Iran conflict.

PND−2.0%CONF 60
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-06-05

The Morgan Stanley Bitcoin ETF is going to go live this week.

PND−2.0%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

It remains to be seen if Bitcoin can hold its broken correlation to tech stocks.

PND−2.0%CONF 35
digital credit[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

If even one or two percent of the $3.5 trillion in private credit flows into digital credit, there will be an explosion.

PND—CONF 85
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-06-05

Those who stay focused on and understand the power and value of Bitcoin will be rewarded over a long period of time.

PND−1.9%CONF 60
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-06-05

Bitcoin is going to do very well over the next decade.

PND−1.9%CONF 85
19 MORE
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Institutions will not be able to get their minds out of Bitcoin, indicating continued adoption.

PND−1.9%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The Bitcoin bull market has already begun.

PND−1.9%CONF 85
digital credit[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Digital credit would explode if it received even 1-2% of the junk bond, private credit, or exotic credit markets.

COR—CONF 85
digital credit[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

$370 billion (10%) of private credit will flow into digital credit.

PND—CONF 60
global economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-04

The debt crisis will not get better, leading to a transition to a Bitcoin future.

WRG—CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-04

The debt crisis will not get better, and we are transitioning to a Bitcoin future.

PND−0.7%CONF 85
digital credit[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-04

Digital credit could be the most important asset during the transition period to a Bitcoin future.

PND—CONF 60
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-06-04

Bitcoin is going to go to literally infinity.

PND−0.7%CONF 85
60/40 portfolio[AVOID]
2026-06-04

The concept of the 60/40 portfolio is dead.

WRG—CONF 85
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-06-03

The scale of capital that's going to come into Bitcoin is absolutely astronomical if global banking standards change to provide credit for Bitcoin as capital on a balance sheet.

PND−4.0%CONF 85
humanoid robots[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-02

Humanoid robots will start to be seen in everyday life within 3 to 5 years.

PRT—CONF 60
Robotics industry[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-06-02

The robotics industry has a clear path to achieving trillions of dollars of revenue and tens of trillions of dollars of market cap by selling millions or tens of millions of robots.

PND—CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-29

Bitcoin will reach a price of one million dollars one day.

PRT−14.8%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-29

Bitcoin's volatility will compress, and it will no longer experience 20x annual gains followed by 80% drawdowns.

PRT−14.8%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-29

Bitcoin might be entering a phase of price discovery.

PRT−14.8%CONF 60
Crypto[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-19

Crypto will become the most widely used exchange of value in the new era of 24/7 markets and asset tokenization.

COR—CONF 85
Tokenization (blockchain/crypto sector)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-09

The reality of tokenization is going to start to set in the summertime.

COR—CONF 60
inflation (macro)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-09

More inflation than what people expected will occur due to a supply-demand issue created by AI agents needing tokens.

COR—CONF 60
semiconductor stocks, power stocks[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-05-09

Investors should avoid semiconductor stocks and favor power stocks due to expected inflation from AI agents.

PND—CONF 60
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=1
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skill
timing issue
n=1
Many predictions have long time horizons (5+ years), meaning current short-term performance metrics like alpha and accuracy are preliminary and may not reflect eventual outcomes.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdown
BTC-USD50%
digital credit2100%
global economy1—
60/40 portfolio1—
humanoid robots50%