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creator—idarkinvest—horizonALL—benchmarkSPY
A
Arkinvest
@arkinvest · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 3 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
RISK
SPECUL
TIER
INSUFF
PRED
6
GRADE
D-
VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=3
100
ACC
0
α
98
CAL
100
SNT
50
RSK
0
DSC
50
SRV
42
RAD
37
CRD
SCORECARD · n=3 · SIG — · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
100
6 CALLS
α
0
−15.5%
CAL
98
BRIER
SNT
100
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
42
SHARPE
CRD
37
D-
PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
1Y AGO9M6M3MNOWBTC · 11-01CONF 85 · UNSPECIFIED−15.0% · PND
COR WRG PRT PND−··− SPY BENCH
DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE6
DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/6
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
11-01BTCBitcoin's price is targeting $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]COR−15.8%---
11-01BTCBitcoin will reach a target of $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]COR−14.4%---
11-01BTCBitcoin will reach $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]PND−15.0%---
11-01BTCBitcoin is breaking out.UNSPECIFIED85[BUY]PND−15.0%---
11-01BTCBitcoin's price will reach $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]PND−15.0%---
11-01BTCBitcoin is currently breaking out.UNSPECIFIED85[BUY]PND−15.0%---
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=2
timing issue
n=1
Despite a 100% prediction accuracy, the significant negative average alpha of -15.53% suggests that entry/exit points chosen by the guru consistently underperformed the overall market or benchmark asset.
oversimplification
n=1
The 'hype-based' emotional tone and lack of detailed risk mitigation strategies in high-conviction price target calls may oversimplify the complexities and risks of the market.
CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
BTC2100%