GURUSCOPE
guruscopeguruarkinvest2015
›creator--idarkinvest2015
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Cathie Wood (ARK Invest)

@arkinvest2015 · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 1 VERIFIED · < 1M
CAT
NARRATIVE
Investing style category
RISK
SPECULATIVE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
INSUFFICIENT
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
24
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
F
Overall letter grade
32
Credibility
Overall credibility across all dimensions
F
SIG — · n=1
Statistical significance of results given sample size
SCORECARD · n=1
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample size
Accuracy
50
24 CALLS
Percentage of predictions that were correct
Alpha
0
−16.2%
Returns above the S&P 500 benchmark
Calibration
81
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
How well stated confidence matches actual outcomes
Sentiment
100
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Consistency of bullish/bearish stance over time
Risk
25
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Awareness of downside scenarios and risk factors
Disclosure
0
0%
Transparency about holdings and conflicts of interest
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Honesty about past missed or failed predictions
Risk-Adj
50
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
Performance score adjusted for risk taken
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcomeHIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflicts
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all24
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS24 PREDICTIONS
Labor market / Economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-06

The number of labor hours worked per person per year will not hit zero in the near future.

COR—CONF 60
Robotics / Automation sector[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-06

Robotics and industrial automation are still in their early stages.

PND—CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-06

Bitcoin will mature as an institutional asset, becoming an ever-constant and important part of portfolios for most investors.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-06

Government adoption of Bitcoin will continue well into the future, signaled by the establishment of the Trump federal Bitcoin strategic reserve.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
Advertising revenue (platforms)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-06

Platforms ensuring actual humans are identified should increase advertising revenue generated from partners.

PND—CONF 60
Robotaxi services (industry)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-06

A robotaxi service could price profitably to the consumer at just 25 cents at scale.

PND—CONF 60
Autonomous Vehicles (industry)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-06

Autonomous vehicles will be cheaper than human-driven vehicles.

PND—CONF 85
TSLA[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-06

Tesla's immense data advantage, derived from its large consumer fleet, is key to scaling autonomous vehicle services and advancing the technology in the future.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
Anthropic[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-06

Anthropic's strategy of restricting access to its Mythos AI model will be a great way to achieve enterprise lock-in.

WRG—CONF 60
Labor market / Economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-06

The trend of decreasing labor hours worked per person per year should continue.

COR—CONF 60
14 MORE
Inflation[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Inflation will probably go negative sometime this year.

WRG—CONF 60
The Economy (USA)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The economy is moving into boom territory.

PRT—CONF 85
Inflation[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Productivity gains will continue to keep inflation low despite strong economic growth.

PND—CONF 60
Market Volatility / Fed Policy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

New Fed Chairman Kevin Worsh will curb unnecessary market volatility caused by Fed hawks.

PND—CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Oil prices are beginning to peak and come down already.

PND−0.0%CONF 60
SpaceX (IPO)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-04

SpaceX IPO is likely coming in the forthcoming week.

COR—CONF 60
Anthropic (IPO)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-04

Anthropic is confidentially filing for an IPO.

COR—CONF 85
OpenAI, Databricks, Freenome, Securitize (IPOs)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-04

OpenAI, Databricks, Freenome, and Securitize are rumored to be lining up for public listings.

PRT—CONF 35
Technology companies (general)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-04

Companies involved in the technology revolution will scale into some of the biggest companies the world has ever known.

COR—CONF 85
US GDP[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-04

Real GDP growth will be 7% to 8% in the next 5 years.

PND—CONF 85
SpaceX / XAI[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-02

The combined SpaceX/XAI entity could monetize its XAI models at roughly double the rate compared to just renting out compute.

PND—CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-28

Quantum computing will not pose a significant threat to Bitcoin's security until the mid-2060s if the current learning curve continues.

PRT−16.2%CONF 60
AI (sector/technology)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-26

The cost declines and increasing market size dynamics observed in electric vehicles will play out in the AI space.

PND—CONF 85
AI (sector/technology)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-26

Demand for AI will continue to explode.

COR—CONF 85
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=3
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skill
timing issue
n=1
All available predictions are clustered within a very short timeframe (June 2026), making it impossible to assess long-term consistency or rolling performance trends.
oversimplification
n=1
With only 11 scored predictions out of 24 total, the calculated accuracy and alpha are highly preliminary and may not represent a comprehensive view of the guru's overall track record.
oversimplification
n=1
Many predictions focus on broad macro trends or long-term technological shifts, which can be less precise and harder to verify definitively than specific financial calls, potentially skewing accuracy interpretations.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdown
BTC-USD50%
Labor market / Economy2100%
Inflation1—
AI (sector/technology)1100%
Anthropic1—