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Austin Hankwitz

@austinhankwitz · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 9 VERIFIED · 7M
CAT
HYBRID
Investing style category
RISK
AGGRESSIVE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
PRELIMINARY
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
29
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
B-
Overall letter grade
59
Credibility
Overall credibility across all dimensions
B-
SIG ✓ · n=9
Statistical significance of results given sample size
SCORECARD · n=9
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample size
Accuracy
83
29 CALLS
Percentage of predictions that were correct
Alpha
100
+16.3%
Returns above the S&P 500 benchmark
Calibration
83
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
How well stated confidence matches actual outcomes
Sentiment
100
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Consistency of bullish/bearish stance over time
Risk
50
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Awareness of downside scenarios and risk factors
Disclosure
0
0%
Transparency about holdings and conflicts of interest
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Honesty about past missed or failed predictions
Risk-Adj
72
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
Performance score adjusted for risk taken
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcomeHIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflicts
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all29
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS29 PREDICTIONS
cryptocurrency[BUY]
2025-08-14

Invest 3% of your net worth into cryptocurrency for the next 10-20 years.

PND—CONF 85
risk-on assets[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-08-14

Risk-on assets will tend to perform well after the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates.

PRT—CONF 60
cryptocurrency[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-08-14

Cryptocurrency will perform well following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut on September 17th.

WRG—CONF 60
cryptocurrency[BUY]
2025-08-14

Investing 3% of one's net worth into cryptocurrency will yield positive returns over the next 10-20 years.

PND—CONF 85
cryptocurrency[BUY]
2025-08-14

Investing 3-5% of one's net worth into cryptocurrency will yield positive returns over the next 10-20 years.

PND—CONF 60
cryptocurrency[BUY]
2025-08-14

Risk-on assets, specifically cryptocurrency, will perform well following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.

PRT—CONF 60
Cryptocurrency[BUY]
2025-08-14

Investors should put 3% of their net worth into cryptocurrency for the next 10-20 years, as risk-on assets like crypto tend to perform well when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates during economic prosperity.

PND—CONF 60
Cryptocurrency[BUY]
2025-08-14

Cryptocurrency will perform well due to Fed rate cuts and new capital inflows from 401ks and institutional investment.

PND—CONF 85
Cryptocurrency[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-08-14

A significant amount of the $8.7 trillion held in 401k plans will be invested in cryptocurrency.

PND—CONF 60
Economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-08-14

Federal Reserve interest rate cuts will stimulate the economy.

PND—CONF 60
19 MORE
General macro (interest rates)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-08-14

The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates on September 17th.

PND—CONF 85
Cryptocurrency[BUY]
2025-08-14

Investors should allocate 3% of their net worth into cryptocurrency for the next 10-20 years.

PND—CONF 60
Federal Reserve Interest Rates[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-08-14

The Federal Reserve has a 93.5% chance of cutting interest rates on September 17th.

PND—CONF 85
Cryptocurrency[BUY]
2025-08-14

Invest 3% of your net worth into cryptocurrency and hold it for the next 10 to 20 years.

PND—CONF 85
Interest Rates[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-08-14

There is a 93.5% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates on September 17th.

PND—CONF 85
FS, FI ETFs[BUY]
2025-03-04

Individuals planning for early retirement need to be aware of the FIRE ETFs (FS and FI).

PND—CONF 85
GC=F[BUY]
2025-02-28

Gold and silver are good 'safe havens' to park money during market volatility.

COR+30.8%CONF 60
QQQ[BUY]
2025-02-28

To hedge against volatility, invest new capital into QQQ or resilient names like energy and healthcare.

COR+14.8%CONF 60
real estate[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-02-28

Federal Reserve rate cuts will lead to better valuations in real estate.

PRT—CONF 60
GC=F[BUY]
2025-02-28

Gold and silver are good investments as safe havens during market volatility.

COR+34.3%CONF 60
QQQ[BUY]
2025-02-28

QQQ, energy, and healthcare are good places to park money to hedge against market volatility.

COR+15.9%CONF 60
real estate[BUY]
2025-02-28

Real estate is a good investment currently.

PND—CONF 60
GC=F[BUY]
2025-02-28

Gold and silver act as safe havens during market volatility.

COR+36.0%CONF 60
real estate[BUY]
2025-02-28

Real estate is a good place to invest right now.

PND—CONF 60
QQQ[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2025-02-28

QQQ, energy, and healthcare stocks are good places to invest new capital to hedge against NASDAQ 100 losses during market volatility.

COR+15.1%CONF 60
real estate[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-02-28

Federal Reserve interest rate cuts will lead to better valuations in real estate.

PRT—CONF 60
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-01-13

Volatility will be a major feature for 2025, with multiple double-digit pullbacks in the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ.

PRT+0.0%CONF 85
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-01-13

The S&P 500 and NASDAQ will experience multiple double-digit pullbacks in 2025.

PRT+0.0%CONF 85
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-01-13

The year 2025 will see major volatility with multiple double-digit pullbacks in the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ.

PRT+0.0%CONF 85
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=1
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skill
timing issue
n=1
A significant portion of predictions are still pending, including critical macro calls related to future events in 2025. This makes the current accuracy and alpha potentially volatile and subject to change as these future predictions resolve.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdown
cryptocurrency125%
Cryptocurrency—
real estate50%
GC=F3100%
QQQ3100%