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Barstoolsports
@barstoolsports · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 4 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
—
RISK
SPECUL
TIER
INSUFF
PRED
7
GRADE
D-
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=4
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=4 · SIG — · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
100
7 CALLS
α
0
−15.7%
CAL
98
BRIER
SNT
100
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
42
SHARPE
CRD
37
D-
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE7
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/7
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
11-01BTCBitcoin (BTC) will reach a target of $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]COR−16.4%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin ($BTC) is breaking out and will reach a target of $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]COR−14.4%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin will reach a target of $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]COR−16.0%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin is breaking out and is predicted to reach $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]COR−16.1%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin will reach $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]PND−15.0%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin is breaking out.UNSPECIFIED85[BUY]PND−15.0%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin is breaking out and will reach a target of $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]PND−15.0%—---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=3
timing issue
n=1
All scored predictions originate from a single date (2024-11-01), making the 100% accuracy highly susceptible to short-term market fluctuations immediately following that date and not representative of a sustained track record over time.
oversimplification
n=1
The combination of 100% 'correct' predictions and a significant negative alpha (-15.72%) suggests that 'correctness' might be defined too broadly (e.g., any positive movement from a 'buy' call) rather than achieving specific targets or outperforming a benchmark. This makes the accuracy score potentially misleading regarding actual investment returns.
data cherry picking
n=1
The preliminary nature of the data, with only 4 scored predictions all marked as 'correct' despite negative alpha, could suggest that only favorable short-term outcomes have been verified or counted, leading to an artificially inflated accuracy percentage.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
BTC4100%