›creator—idclearvaluetax—horizonALL—benchmarkSPY[F1] HELP · [F4] EXPORT · [⌘K] CMDS
DC
David Capitalize
@clearvaluetax · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 5 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
MOMENT
RISK
SPECUL
TIER
PRELIM
PRED
6
GRADE
D-
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=5
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=5 · SIG 100.0% · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
100
6 CALLS
α
0
−15.8%
CAL
98
BRIER
SNT
100
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
42
SHARPE
CRD
37
D-
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE6
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/6
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
11-01BTCBitcoin will reach $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]COR−15.8%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin is breaking out and will reach a target of $95,000 before the end of the year.WEEKS85[BUY]COR−14.4%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin is breaking out.UNSPECIFIED85[BUY]COR−16.0%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin's price target is $95,000 before the end of the year.WEEKS85[BUY]COR−16.0%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin (BTC) is breaking out and will reach a target of $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]COR−16.1%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin (BTC) will reach a target of $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]PND−16.2%—---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=3
timing issue
n=1
Despite a 100% directional accuracy for Bitcoin calls, the significantly negative average alpha (-15.77%) suggests that his predictions, while correct in direction, severely underperformed a relevant market benchmark during the same period. This indicates poor timing relative to broader market opportunities.
oversimplification
n=1
The analysis is based on a very limited set of 5 scored predictions, all made on the same date (2024-11-01), making the metrics preliminary and potentially unrepresentative of long-term performance.
oversimplification
n=1
The consistent 'hype_based' emotional tone in predictions, coupled with a lack of detailed analysis or risk discussion, suggests an oversimplified approach to complex financial decisions.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
BTC5100%