GURUSCOPE
guruscopeguruclearvaluetax9382
›creator--idclearvaluetax9382
CT

ClearValue Tax

@clearvaluetax9382 · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 1 VERIFIED · 2M
CAT
NARRATIVE
Investing style category
RISK
AGGRESSIVE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
INSUFFICIENT
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
54
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
F
Overall letter grade
34
Credibility
Overall credibility across all dimensions
F
SIG — · n=1
Statistical significance of results given sample size
SCORECARD · n=1
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample size
Accuracy
0
54 CALLS
Percentage of predictions that were correct
Alpha
0
−16.3%
Returns above the S&P 500 benchmark
Calibration
68
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
How well stated confidence matches actual outcomes
Sentiment
100
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Consistency of bullish/bearish stance over time
Risk
50
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Awareness of downside scenarios and risk factors
Disclosure
0
0%
Transparency about holdings and conflicts of interest
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Honesty about past missed or failed predictions
Risk-Adj
50
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
Performance score adjusted for risk taken
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcomeHIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflicts
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all54
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS54 PREDICTIONS
Stock market / global economy / wages / tax collections[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

The current economic model requires the stock market, wages, and tax collections to increase to prevent the global debt bubble from collapsing.

COR—CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

Oil will become more expensive, and these additional costs will be passed down to consumers, further increasing energy prices.

PND—CONF 85
Global economy / inflation[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

The risk of stagflation has returned due to the failure of peace talks between the US and Iran.

COR—CONF 60
Strait of Hormuz / global shipping[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

The United States will fully close the Strait of Hormuz starting tomorrow, Monday at 10:00 a.m.

WRG—CONF 85
Energy prices[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

Energy prices are not expected to quickly return to their February levels.

COR—CONF 60
Global economy / inflation / tax collections[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

Continuous inflation, higher prices, and increased tax collections are necessary to service the existing global debt.

PND—CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

There will be a reduced supply of oil due to damage to the energy infrastructure in the Gulf that cannot be quickly repaired.

PND—CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

If the price of WTI crude oil spikes to $90 a barrel or more relatively soon and remains at that elevated level for a few months, it will significantly increase the risk of a recession.

PND—CONF 60
Transportation Sector Jobs[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-06-07

Transportation job cuts are expected to worsen due to rising oil prices and disrupted supply chains.

PND—CONF 60
US Labor Market / Jobs Report[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

The February jobs report will be revised upwards to show a loss of well over 100,000 jobs.

WRG—CONF 85
44 MORE
US National Debt[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

The US federal government's debt will reach 39 trillion dollars in a matter of weeks.

WRG—CONF 85
CPI / Inflation[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

The CPI inflation report for March 2026, due next month, will reflect higher inflation numbers due to increased energy prices.

COR—CONF 60
Private Credit Markets / US Economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

Problems are building in the private credit markets, serving as a warning sign of a weak economic situation.

COR—CONF 60
US Housing Market (inventory)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

A flood of housing inventory will not be coming online anytime soon.

COR—CONF 60
flexible investments[HOLD]
2026-06-07

Allocate 20% of your portfolio as an 'opportunity bucket' for flexible, opportunistic investments.

PND—CONF 85
GC=F[BUY]
2026-06-07

Allocate 20% of your portfolio to gold as a protective asset.

PND—CONF 85
International stocks[BUY]
2026-06-07

Allocate 10% of your portfolio to international stocks through an index fund or an ETF for diversification.

PND—CONF 85
^GSPC[BUY]
2026-06-07

Allocate 50% of your portfolio to S&P 500 index funds or ETFs to serve as a foundational investment.

PND—CONF 85
TLT[AVOID]
2026-06-07

Fixed income investments, such as US Treasury bonds, are not truly risk-free and will lose purchasing power during inflation.

PND—CONF 85
Global shipping/supply chains[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

Both the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea choke points will become impassable.

COR—CONF 85
Red Sea shipping[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

New participants entering the conflict are expected to disrupt transits in the Red Sea.

PND—CONF 60
US economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

The risk of stagflation is rising fast in the United States of America.

WRG—CONF 60
M2 money supply[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

The Federal Reserve's rate of money printing is most likely going to accelerate from approximately $40 billion a month.

WRG—CONF 60
interest rates[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

The Federal Reserve has no good reason to cut interest rates because the unemployment rate is not rising.

COR—CONF 60
interest rates[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

The Federal Reserve will have difficulty justifying interest rate cuts if the labor market continues to perform well.

COR—CONF 60
Inflation / Federal Reserve policy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-03

The Federal Reserve will change the way they calculate inflation.

WRG—CONF 85
Inflation (US Economy)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-03

The Federal Reserve is going to change the way they calculate inflation.

WRG—CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-01

Oil prices could go from the current $90 a barrel to $160 a barrel in a short period of time.

PND+1.1%CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-01

Once oil inventories fall to minimum threshold levels, oil prices will shoot up.

PND+1.1%CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-01

Over the next few weeks, pressures will flow through more directly to physical oil prices.

PND+1.1%CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-01

There will be more upwards pressure on oil prices as we get into June and certainly into July.

PND+1.1%CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-01

If people perceive an irreversible trajectory towards critically low oil inventories, oil prices could start spiking higher even before the red zone is physically reached.

PND+1.1%CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-01

Oil prices could start spiking higher as we approach the 'red zone' of critically low inventories, even before hitting it, if there is no resolution in sight.

PND+1.2%CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-01

Oil prices could increase from approximately $90 per barrel to $160 per barrel.

PND+1.2%CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-01

Once oil inventories fall towards minimum threshold levels, prices will shoot up.

PND+1.2%CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-01

Over the next few weeks, oil physical prices are likely to experience more upward pressure, especially into June and July.

PND+1.2%CONF 60
Kevin Warsh's net worth[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-18

Kevin Warsh is going to be worth over a billion dollars after serving as the new chair of the Federal Reserve.

PRT—CONF 85
DX-Y.NYB[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-18

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will print trillions of dollars.

PND+1.4%CONF 85
Interest rates[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-18

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will lower interest rates.

WRG—CONF 85
DX-Y.NYB[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-11

The government and Federal Reserve are going to address the debt crisis by printing trillions of dollars.

PND+2.6%CONF 85
General prices[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-11

When the government and Federal Reserve ramp up inflation by printing money, prices for food, homes, vehicles, insurance, stocks, precious metals, and financial assets are going to go up.

PND—CONF 85
stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-11

The stock market is going to keep on going up in a 'great melt-up' due to political greed and corruption leading to constant government overspending and money printing.

PRT—CONF 85
General prices[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-04

Surging energy prices will cause a chain reaction, leading to higher prices in manufacturing, transportation, packaging, and farming.

COR—CONF 85
Food prices[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-04

Food prices will rise due to increased diesel fuel costs for farming and transportation within the supply chain.

COR—CONF 85
CL=F[BUY]
2026-05-01

The ongoing disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could push oil prices much higher.

WRG−16.3%CONF 60
Interest rates[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-30

The Federal Reserve is signaling they are more likely to cut interest rates than to raise them.

COR—CONF 60
US economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-27

Recessions are no longer allowed in the US because the Federal Reserve and the government will have to step in if negative GDP occurs.

WRG—CONF 85
US economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-27

The US government cannot afford a recession.

COR—CONF 85
Interest rates[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

If the value of the US dollar falls due to dedollarization, interest rates will increase.

WRG—CONF 85
DX-Y.NYB[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

If dedollarization continues, the value of the US dollar will fall.

PND−1.8%CONF 60
Inflation[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

If the value of the US dollar falls due to dedollarization, inflation will increase.

COR—CONF 85
Average wages / Standard of living[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

If the value of the US dollar falls due to dedollarization, average wages for Americans will not keep up, and their standard of living will decrease.

WRG—CONF 85
US Housing Market / Home Prices[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-17

The US housing market is not crashing.

COR—CONF 60
US economy / war cost[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-15

The real cost of 'Operation Epic Fury' will be understated because all materials used will need to be replaced at today's much higher prices.

COR—CONF 85
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=2
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skill
timing issue
n=1
The assessment is preliminary, with a significant number of predictions (24 out of 54) still pending and many dated in the future (2026), limiting the ability to fully evaluate long-term performance.
timing issue
n=1
The metrics for market performance (accuracy, alpha, drawdown, etc.) are based on only one scored prediction, making them statistically unreliable for a comprehensive assessment.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdown
CL=F1—
US economy1233%
Interest rates1233%
DX-Y.NYB—
interest rates2100%