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CB
Coin Bureau
@coinbureau · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 9 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
HYBRID
RISK
SPECUL
TIER
PRELIM
PRED
16
GRADE
D
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=9
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=9 · SIG — · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
83
16 CALLS
α
0
−15.6%
CAL
94
BRIER
SNT
100
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
42
SHARPE
CRD
43
D
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE16
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/16
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
04-19new wave of venture-backed tokensThe entire token launch ecosystem is structurally engineered to manufacture just enough retail demand for insiders to exit their positions before the mathematical certainty of dilution destroys the price.1-2_YEARS85[AVOID]PND——---
04-18global economyA massive shorting machine built specifically for the private credit market is flashing a warning sign for the global economy.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-13Tether, Circle, stablecoin marketPoly Market's aggressive expansion, including its fee structure, proprietary stablecoin, and token generation event, could threaten Tether and Circle's dominance of the stablecoin market.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-13Tether, Circle, stable coin marketPoly Market's aggressive expansion, including a massive fee structure, proprietary stablecoin, and token generation event, could threaten Tether and Circle's dominance of the stable coin market.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-13Tether and Circle dominance (stablecoin market)Poly Market's aggressive expansion could even threaten Tether and Circle's dominance of the stablecoin market.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]COR——---
04-13crypto industryPoly Market's aggressive expansion has huge potential consequences for the crypto industry.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]COR——---
04-13stablecoin market dominance (Tether, Circle)Poly Market's aggressive expansion could even threaten Tether and Circle's dominance of the stable coin market.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-12Artificial intelligence boomA catastrophic helium shortage is about to shatter the artificial intelligence boom due to its critical role in advanced semiconductor manufacturing.UNSPECIFIED85[AVOID]PND——---
04-12artificial intelligence sectorA catastrophic helium shortage is about to shatter the artificial intelligence boom.MONTHS85[GENERAL_MACRO]PRT——---
04-11global food systemThe foundational layer of the global food system is physically shutting down because it can no longer afford the fuel required to operate.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PRT——---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=3
timing issue
n=1
High accuracy on 'buy' calls but negative alpha suggests that while the direction was often correct, the entry/exit timing or magnitude relative to the benchmark asset was not optimal, leading to underperformance.
market conditions
n=1
Operating primarily in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market, a -49.34% average maximum drawdown is characteristic of the asset class but still represents significant risk. The negative alpha might be partially influenced by the difficulty of outperforming strong crypto bull markets.
oversimplification
n=1
Specific price targets are given without explicit accompanying risk management strategies like stop-losses or position sizing guidance for investors.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
BTC4100%
Tether and Circle dominance (stablecoin market)1100%
crypto industry1100%
artificial intelligence sector50%
global food system50%