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Coin Bureau

@coinbureau · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 0 VERIFIED · 2M
CAT
NARRATIVE
Investing style category
RISK
AGGRESSIVE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
INSUFFICIENT
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
32
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
D
Overall letter grade
43
Credibility
Overall credibility across all dimensions
D
SIG — · n=0
Statistical significance of results given sample size
SCORECARD · n=0
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample size
Accuracy
79
32 CALLS
Percentage of predictions that were correct
Alpha
50
+0.0%
Returns above the S&P 500 benchmark
Calibration
82
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
How well stated confidence matches actual outcomes
Sentiment
100
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Consistency of bullish/bearish stance over time
Risk
50
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Awareness of downside scenarios and risk factors
Disclosure
0
0%
Transparency about holdings and conflicts of interest
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Honesty about past missed or failed predictions
Risk-Adj
50
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
Performance score adjusted for risk taken
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcomeHIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflicts
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all32
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS32 PREDICTIONS
BTC[AVOID]
2026-06-06

Bitcoin's price will continue its grinding, controlled, persistent bleed due to sustained institutional distribution and a macro repricing event.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
Private Markets[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-31

The global private market is about to get even bigger.

PND—CONF 60
Private Markets[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-31

Tokenized private equity might be the biggest shift in retail access to private markets ever.

PRT—CONF 60
SpaceX (SPC-X)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-31

SpaceX is targeting a Nasdaq listing on June 12th under the ticker SPC-X.

COR—CONF 60
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-05-19

Bitcoin's price is going to reach seven figures, which is considered a base case by major financial institutions.

PND+0.6%CONF 85
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-05-19

Ark Invest predicts Bitcoin will reach $710,000 as a base case by 2030, with a bear case of $300,000 and a bull case of $1.5 million.

PND+0.6%CONF 85
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-05-19

Major financial institutions believe the recent Bitcoin price drawdown has strengthened, rather than weakened, the thesis for Bitcoin reaching seven figures.

PND+0.6%CONF 85
crypto assets[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-18

If the Clarity Act passes, digital tokens will gain a legal life cycle, and the era of regulation by enforcement will end for projects like Kraken and Coinbase.

COR—CONF 85
crypto regulation[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-18

The Clarity Act currently lacks the necessary 60 Senate votes to break a filibuster, needing five more Democrat votes beyond the two who supported it in committee.

COR—CONF 85
crypto regulation[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-18

The future of US digital asset regulation, specifically the Clarity Act, faces significant political obstacles and could be delayed until 2030 due to needing seven Democrat votes and a hard August deadline.

COR—CONF 60
22 MORE
USDT[AVOID]
2026-05-17

Tether will not comply with MiCA's requirement to hold 30% of reserves in EU credit institutions and has not applied for a MiCA license.

PND—CONF 85
EUR[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-17

Europe risks a future of digital dollarization and a loss of monetary sovereignty due to the dominance of dollar-denominated stablecoins like Tether.

PND—CONF 85
USDT[AVOID]
2026-05-17

The European Central Bank (ECB) is preparing more aggressive regulatory actions against Tether, beyond MiCA.

PND—CONF 85
Cryptocurrencies[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-16

There is a limited 18-month window to position oneself in the crypto market before a significant opportunity closes entirely.

COR—CONF 85
Cryptocurrencies[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-16

BlackRock's institutional absorption of crypto will lead to some cryptocurrencies being adopted by institutions while others are eliminated from the market.

COR—CONF 85
TON[AVOID]
2026-05-15

The recent rally in Toncoin is a prime example of a significant disconnect between its narrative and fundamentals.

PND—CONF 60
US crypto regulation[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-14

US crypto regulation will probably be pushed into 2027 and beyond if the bill's landmines detonate.

COR—CONF 35
Cryptocurrency[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-10

Monetary policy under the new Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, will be influenced by his personal crypto wealth, differing from previous chairs.

WRG—CONF 85
Crypto Treasury Companies[AVOID]
2026-05-09

The entire crypto treasury company model is fundamentally flawed and only works in one direction (bull markets), implying further failures among companies like Bitmine, which is identified as the largest remaining risk.

PND—CONF 85
ETH-USD[SELL]
2026-05-09

An $874 million cluster of leveraged long liquidations for Ethereum is poised to be triggered just below the current price, indicating potential for further short-term downside.

PND−1.4%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-05

MicroStrategy will probably sell some Bitcoin to pay a dividend to inoculate the market and send a message.

PND−2.0%CONF 60
new wave of venture-backed tokens[AVOID]
2026-04-19

The entire token launch ecosystem is structurally engineered to manufacture just enough retail demand for insiders to exit their positions before the mathematical certainty of dilution destroys the price.

PND—CONF 85
global economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-18

A massive shorting machine built specifically for the private credit market is flashing a warning sign for the global economy.

PND—CONF 60
Tether, Circle, stablecoin market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-13

Poly Market's aggressive expansion, including its fee structure, proprietary stablecoin, and token generation event, could threaten Tether and Circle's dominance of the stablecoin market.

PND—CONF 60
Tether, Circle, stable coin market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-13

Poly Market's aggressive expansion, including a massive fee structure, proprietary stablecoin, and token generation event, could threaten Tether and Circle's dominance of the stable coin market.

PND—CONF 60
Tether and Circle dominance (stablecoin market)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-13

Poly Market's aggressive expansion could even threaten Tether and Circle's dominance of the stablecoin market.

COR—CONF 60
stablecoin market dominance (Tether, Circle)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-13

Poly Market's aggressive expansion could even threaten Tether and Circle's dominance of the stable coin market.

PND—CONF 60
crypto industry[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-13

Poly Market's aggressive expansion has huge potential consequences for the crypto industry.

COR—CONF 60
Artificial intelligence boom[AVOID]
2026-04-12

A catastrophic helium shortage is about to shatter the artificial intelligence boom due to its critical role in advanced semiconductor manufacturing.

PND—CONF 85
artificial intelligence sector[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-12

A catastrophic helium shortage is about to shatter the artificial intelligence boom.

PRT—CONF 85
global food system[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

The foundational layer of the global food system is physically shutting down because it can no longer afford the fuel required to operate.

PRT—CONF 85
seafood[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

A catastrophic diesel shock is about to empty the seafood aisles in your local grocery store.

PRT—CONF 85
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=2
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skill
timing issue
n=1
All predictions are dated in 2026, suggesting this dataset may be forward-looking or simulated, making current performance metrics misleading for real-world application.
oversimplification
n=1
The track record is marked as preliminary with a limited number of scored predictions, which may not fully represent long-term performance or a complete investment philosophy.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdown
BTC-USD—
crypto regulation2100%
Cryptocurrencies2100%
Private Markets50%
USDT—