GURUSCOPE
guruscopegurucruxinvestor
›creator--idcruxinvestor
CI

Crux Investor

@cruxinvestor · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 14 VERIFIED · 2M
CAT
NARRATIVE
Investing style category
RISK
SPECULATIVE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
PRELIMINARY
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
93
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
D-
Overall letter grade
38
Credibility
Overall credibility across all dimensions
D-
SIG — · n=14
Statistical significance of results given sample size
SCORECARD · n=14
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample size
Accuracy
39
93 CALLS
Percentage of predictions that were correct
Alpha
21
−5.9%
Returns above the S&P 500 benchmark
Calibration
82
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
How well stated confidence matches actual outcomes
Sentiment
100
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Consistency of bullish/bearish stance over time
Risk
50
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Awareness of downside scenarios and risk factors
Disclosure
0
0%
Transparency about holdings and conflicts of interest
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Honesty about past missed or failed predictions
Risk-Adj
35
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
Performance score adjusted for risk taken
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcomeHIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflicts
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all93
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS93 PREDICTIONS
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-06-07

Revival Gold is fully funded to reach a construction decision on the Mercur project by early 2028.

PND—CONF 85
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

Investor interest in the mining sector, specifically for gold, silver, copper, and uranium exploration, is increasing in Europe and Asia.

PND—CONF 60
GC=F[BUY]
2026-06-07

Revival Gold's Mercur project will generate $300-350 million per year in free cash flow after a one-year construction period.

PND—CONF 85
URA[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-07

There is a strong and rapidly increasing global demand for nuclear power, which in turn drives the demand for uranium supply.

PND—CONF 85
GC=F[BUY]
2026-06-07

Revival Gold's increased market cap and liquidity will attract more interest from sophisticated players and larger cap investors.

PND—CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Battle Gold's exploration efforts are aimed at growing its resource base and making new gold discoveries, while project-focused drilling will de-risk the project as it advances towards production by the end of 2027.

PND−0.5%CONF 85
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Battle Gold will continue its de-risking work and aim to expand its mineral resource base around the proposed infrastructure during the 2026 exploration program.

PND−0.5%CONF 85
global liquidity[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-29

The SpaceX IPO will be a sizable drain on global liquidity.

PND—CONF 60
commodity universe[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-29

Typically, not much activity happens in the commodity universe during the summers.

PRT—CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-26

Their unnamed company (implied Americas Gold and Silver Corporation) is on track to increase gold production from 30,000 oz/year to 300,000 oz/year by the end of the decade, becoming the next mid-tier gold producer.

PND−1.8%CONF 85
83 MORE
TRCG exploration potential[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-22

The Middle River Gold project of Thistle Resources Inc. (TRCG) still has hundreds of targets to drill in its upper gold zone.

COR—CONF 85
TRCG operations[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-22

Thistle Resources Inc. (TRCG) will continue its drill program at the Middle River Gold deposit.

COR—CONF 85
TRCG[BUY]
2026-05-22

Thistle Resources Inc. (TRCG) is very well positioned for shareholder value and exit strategies due to its diversified portfolio of precious metals and high-grade critical minerals.

PND—CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-19

The Pine Cove mill will be expanded to 1,400 tons per day to process Queensway material, targeting production in the latter part of 2027.

PND−4.5%CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-19

The Hammerdown Gold mine is targeted to reach commercial production in the second half of 2026.

PND−4.5%CONF 60
HG=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-19

The Pamper Medina project has the potential to be a tier one asset, producing over 100,000 tons of copper annually for 20+ years.

PND+0.1%CONF 60
HG=F[BUY]
2026-05-19

People will start returning to Marramaca Copper's stock as Middle East uncertainty subsides and as the company delivers more drill results from Pamper Medina.

PND+0.1%CONF 60
URA[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-19

By 2040, the supply of uranium will drop to 50 million pounds, and demand will double to 400 million pounds.

PRT−6.7%CONF 85
URA[BUY]
2026-05-19

The Mutanga Uranium project in Zambia is perfectly placed for a fantastic once-in-a-generation setup in the uranium space.

WRG−6.7%CONF 85
NG=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-19

Can Cambria Energy plans to deliver natural gas production in Central Europe over the next 18 months to 2 years.

PRT+7.0%CONF 60
URA[BUY]
2026-05-19

Atomic Eagle's Mutanga Uranium project in Zambia is capable of bringing on uranium pounds by circa 2030-2031 and will be perfectly placed to fill the supply gap.

WRG−6.7%CONF 85
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-05-19

New Found Gold will continue to advance its projects and add shareholder value.

PND−4.5%CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-19

New Found Gold is fully funded to advance the Queensway project through to production.

PND−4.5%CONF 85
URA[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-19

A supply-demand imbalance in the uranium market is opening up and will continue over time.

PRT−6.7%CONF 85
Markets (general), Economy (general)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-18

Whatever comes out of Trump's visit to China will have a major economic impact and impact on the markets.

COR—CONF 85
precious metals[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-15

The increasing interest from generalist investors in precious metals is a very positive sign for investors in this market.

COR—CONF 85
GC=F[BUY]
2026-05-15

America's Gold and Silver provides additional leverage for investors in a precious metals bull market.

WRG−5.7%CONF 85
precious metals[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-05-15

Generalist investors are increasingly entering the precious metals market, moving beyond index funds to specific segments like silver producers.

PND—CONF 85
Cascadia Minerals[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-15

Cascadia Minerals is financially set for the current year and the next year.

COR—CONF 85
Lunar Royalties[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-15

Lunar Royalties is well on its way to creating a pretty exciting royalty company.

COR—CONF 60
Lunar Royalties[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-15

Lunar Royalties is projected to generate approximately $25 million US per year in cash flow from buying 100% of Lundin Gold's silver production at 10% of spot price.

PND—CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-15

Lundin Gold's Fruta del Norte mine is projected to produce approximately half a million ounces of gold annually for the next five to six years.

PRT−5.7%CONF 60
SI=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-15

Lundin Gold's Fruta del Norte mine is also expected to produce about 500,000 ounces of silver annually.

PRT−17.2%CONF 60
GC=F[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-05-15

Precious metals will continue to attract generalist investors, with silver producers offering additional leverage within this bull market.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-13

Serabi Gold is spending a lot of money on exploration.

PRT−7.0%CONF 85
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-13

Gold is currently in a long-term bullish market.

PRT−7.0%CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-13

Serabi Gold's All-In Sustaining Costs (AISC) will likely be in the $2,000s in 2026.

PRT−7.0%CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-13

Serabi Gold is anticipated to generate somewhere between $1,600 million in free cash flow this year.

PRT−7.0%CONF 60
Wallbridge Mining[BUY]
2026-05-13

Wallbridge Mining's Fenelon project is strong at $3,000 gold and becomes even more attractive at higher gold prices.

PND—CONF 85
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-13

Gold prices are not expected to return to the $250 level.

PRT−7.0%CONF 85
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-05-13

Serabi Gold will hopefully see more of the same positive performance in 2026.

PND+0.0%CONF 35
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-05-13

Serabi Gold expects to generate between somewhere between $1,600 million free cash for this year (2026).

PND+0.0%CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-13

Serabi Gold's All-In Sustaining Costs (AISC) will probably be in the $2000s per ounce in 2026.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-05-13

Serabi Gold anticipates nearly $20 million in free cash for Q2 2026.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
Mineros S.A.[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-12

Mineros S.A. is on track to meet or exceed its gold production guidance for the year.

COR—CONF 85
HG=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-12

Selkerk Copper Mines is on track to begin copper production in mid-2028.

PND−1.9%CONF 85
Mineros S.A.[BUY]
2026-05-12

Mineros S.A. is a remarkably undervalued gold producer, developer, and explorer, presenting a great opportunity.

PND—CONF 85
Mineros S.A.[BUY]
2026-05-12

Mineros S.A. is unlocking a lot of value for its shareholders.

PND—CONF 85
HG=F[HOLD]
2026-05-12

Selkirk Copper Mines is on track for production in mid-2028.

PND+1.3%CONF 85
Mineros S.A.[BUY]
2026-05-12

Mineros S.A. trades at a remarkably undervalued price and presents a great opportunity.

PND—CONF 85
Mineros S.A.[HOLD]
2026-05-12

Mineros S.A. is on track to either meet the top end of its full-year gold equivalent production guidance of 233,000 oz or exceed it.

PND—CONF 85
UR Energy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-29

UR Energy's strategy is to become the largest uranium producer in the United States.

PND—CONF 85
Nickel[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-18

Nickel prices are expected to move towards the $20,000 a ton mark over the next month or so.

PND—CONF 60
nickel[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-18

Indonesian policy changes will provide long-term price support for nickel from a cost-push basis.

PND—CONF 60
nickel[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-18

Nickel prices will move towards the $20,000 a ton mark over the next month or so.

PND—CONF 60
GC=F[BUY]
2026-04-17

The market's valuation of US Gold Corp (USGC) does not yet reflect its positive definitive feasibility study report, but it will eventually as the market takes time to digest such reports.

PND−0.5%CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-17

Gold price is realistically expected to reach $4,500.

PND−0.5%CONF 60
GC=F[BUY]
2026-04-17

Further optimization of the development schedule for US Gold Corp's Copper King project will lead to even better financial results than the already tremendous base case numbers from the definitive feasibility study.

PND+0.3%CONF 85
GC=F[BUY]
2026-04-17

US Gold Corp's stock price is currently undervalued and will eventually reflect the positive definitive feasibility study for its Copper King project.

PND+0.3%CONF 60
GC=F[BUY]
2026-04-17

The market has not yet fully reflected the positive definitive feasibility study report for US Gold Corp, but it is expected to do so over time, leading to a higher valuation.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
GC=F[BUY]
2026-04-17

US Gold Corp's Copper King project offers tremendous leverage to the price of gold, making it highly lucrative even at $4,500 gold, which is currently below spot prices.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
SI=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-16

Sarat Cruise Silver expects an approximately 10% increase in overall production for the year 2026 due to dewatering at Bolivar mine and efficiencies at Simapan.

PND−0.7%CONF 85
Syntholene Energy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-16

Syntholene Energy will be able to deliver its synthetic fuel cost-competitively with fossil fuels reasonably within the next 5 years.

PND—CONF 85
SI=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-16

Sarat Cruise Silver's Bolivar mine will show growth in silver production in Q1 due to the ongoing dewatering process.

PND−0.7%CONF 85
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-16

Sarat Cruise Silver's Bolivar mine will show continued growth in silver production in Q1 2026, following a 34% increase in Q4.

PND+1.4%CONF 85
Namibia Critical Metals (Lofdal project)[BUY]
2026-04-16

Namibia Critical Metals' Lofdal heavy rare earths project will demonstrate large profitability by the time it gets into production, due to emerging bifurcated pricing mechanisms outside China.

PND—CONF 85
Synthetic fuels (Syntholene Energy)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-16

Syntholene Energy expects to deliver synthetic fuels that are cost-competitive with fossil fuels within the next 5 years.

PND—CONF 60
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-16

Sarat Cruise Silver expects a 10% increase in overall production for the year 2026 due to efficiencies across all mines and continued dewatering efforts at Bolivar and Simapan.

PND+1.4%CONF 85
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-16

Sarat Cruise Silver's Q1 production will show growth, specifically an increase in production relative to the dewatering process at the Bolivar mine.

PND−1.4%CONF 85
Synthetic fuels[BUY]
2026-04-16

Synthine Energy will deliver synthetic fuel that is cost-competitive with fossil fuels reasonably within the next 5 years.

PND—CONF 60
Namibia Critical Metals (Loftl project)[BUY]
2026-04-16

The Loftl project will demonstrate large profitability due to bifurcated pricing mechanisms by the time it gets into production.

PND—CONF 85
SI=F[BUY]
2026-04-16

Sarat Cruise Silver expects around a 10% increase in production for the year 2026 due to dewatering at Bolivar mine and efficiencies at Simapan, which will contribute to profitability.

PND−1.4%CONF 60
Golden Cross Resources[HOLD]
2026-04-15

The exploration program drilling at Aurora by Golden Cross Resources has yielded highly encouraging results.

PND—CONF 60
Golden Cross Resources[HOLD]
2026-04-15

Golden Cross Resources is confidently reducing the uncertainty of the geometry of the gold mineralization within the Aurora project.

PND—CONF 85
Power Metals[BUY]
2026-04-14

Power Metals' Nisk project is the world's highest grade copper PG discovery.

PND—CONF 85
G Mining Ventures[BUY]
2026-04-14

The acquisition of G2 Goldfields by G Mining Ventures will be very synergistic due to the proximity of their mineralized ore bodies.

PND—CONF 85
Formation Metals[BUY]
2026-04-14

Formation Metals is going to be the next developer in the Abitibi region.

PND—CONF 85
Mining companies in Quebec[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-14

Quebec offers unparalleled fiscal incentives for mining exploration and development, including two-for-one exploration funding and significant tax abatements.

PRT—CONF 85
Power Metals[BUY]
2026-04-14

Power Metals is currently massively undervalued.

PND—CONF 85
G Mining Ventures[BUY]
2026-04-14

G Mining Ventures estimates a 25 to 30% expansion in mill throughput as a result of the acquisition.

PND—CONF 60
G Mining Ventures[BUY]
2026-04-14

The acquisition will lead to tangible capital cost and operating cost synergies for G Mining Ventures.

PND—CONF 85
Atlas Salt[BUY]
2026-04-09

Atlas Salt is currently undervalued relative to its forward-looking NAV because it lacks significant metallurgical, block model, geology, stakeholder, and permitting risks.

PND—CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-09

Even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens in the short term, there will still be a supply shock for affected commodities due to long-lasting damage to production facilities.

PND+3.4%CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-09

Any disruption in the Strait of Hormuz has a direct impact on global crude oil pricing.

PND+3.4%CONF 85
NG=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-09

Global gas supplies will be re-rejected or redirected due to impacts in the Strait of Hormuz.

PND−5.1%CONF 85
Canyon Resources[HOLD]
2026-04-07

Canyon Resources is fully financed through the end of the year for its Minim Martap project's first production, remaining on budget at just under $100 million US.

PND—CONF 85
Bauxite[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-07

The Guinea standard GBIX bauxite price will settle down to around $65 US per ton.

PND—CONF 60
CAML[HOLD]
2026-04-07

Central Asia Metals PLC will produce 12,000 to 13,000 tons of copper cathode in 2026.

PRT+1.1%CONF 85
Canyon Resources[BUY]
2026-04-07

Canyon Resources will sell its Minim Martap bauxite at a $10 to $12 per ton premium to Guinea standard GBIX, resulting in a selling price of $76-$78 per ton.

PND—CONF 85
GC=F[BUY]
2026-04-05

Banyan Gold represents a generational scale investment opportunity.

PND−2.3%CONF 85
GC=F[BUY]
2026-04-05

Banyan Gold is ideally positioned for the current gold and silver market.

PND−2.3%CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-05

Banyan Gold will release a resource update in the second quarter and a Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) in the second half of this year.

PND−2.3%CONF 85
GC=F[BUY]
2026-04-05

Banyan Gold (BNN) stock offers a great opportunity for investors due to its tremendous torque and leverage to the price of gold and a little bit to the price of silver.

PND−2.3%CONF 60
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=3
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skill
timing issue
n=1
The majority of predictions are for future dates (all in 2026), and a significant number are still pending. This makes the current performance metrics highly preliminary and not fully representative of a complete, realized track record.
data cherry picking
n=1
There is a stark contrast between 88.9% accuracy for narrative claims and 39.3% for market-scored predictions. This suggests a potential bias towards making easily verifiable factual statements about company plans while struggling with actionable market predictions.
oversimplification
n=1
Several 'buy' recommendations employ 'hype-based' emotional tones and make strong claims of assets being 'massively undervalued' or 'generational opportunities' without explicit mention of risk mitigation or detailed downside analysis.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdown
GC=F143%
SI=F50%
URA225%
Mineros S.A.1100%
HG=F—