›creator—idcruxinvestor—horizonALL—benchmarkSPY[F1] HELP · [F4] EXPORT · [⌘K] CMDS
CI
Crux Investor
@cruxinvestor · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 5 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
HYBRID
RISK
SPECUL
TIER
PRELIM
PRED
46
GRADE
D-
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=5
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=5 · SIG — · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
70
46 CALLS
α
0
−11.4%
CAL
98
BRIER
SNT
100
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
42
SHARPE
CRD
36
D-
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE46
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/46
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
04-29UR EnergyUR Energy's strategy is to become the largest uranium producer in the United States.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-18NickelNickel prices are expected to move towards the $20,000 a ton mark over the next month or so.MONTHS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-18nickelIndonesian policy changes will provide long-term price support for nickel from a cost-push basis.5+_YEARS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-18nickelNickel prices will move towards the $20,000 a ton mark over the next month or so.MONTHS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-17GC=FThe market's valuation of US Gold Corp (USGC) does not yet reflect its positive definitive feasibility study report, but it will eventually as the market takes time to digest such reports.WEEKS60[BUY]PND−0.5%—---
04-17GC=FGold price is realistically expected to reach $4,500.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND−0.5%—---
04-17GC=FFurther optimization of the development schedule for US Gold Corp's Copper King project will lead to even better financial results than the already tremendous base case numbers from the definitive feasibility study.UNSPECIFIED85[BUY]PND+0.3%—---
04-17GC=FUS Gold Corp's stock price is currently undervalued and will eventually reflect the positive definitive feasibility study for its Copper King project.UNSPECIFIED60[BUY]PND+0.3%—---
04-17GC=FThe market has not yet fully reflected the positive definitive feasibility study report for US Gold Corp, but it is expected to do so over time, leading to a higher valuation.MONTHS60[BUY]PND+0.0%—---
04-17GC=FUS Gold Corp's Copper King project offers tremendous leverage to the price of gold, making it highly lucrative even at $4,500 gold, which is currently below spot prices.UNSPECIFIED85[BUY]PND+0.0%—---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=3
timing issue
n=1
The majority of predictions are for future dates (e.g., 2026) and are still pending. The current accuracy and alpha metrics are therefore based on a very small and potentially unrepresentative sample of only 5 scored predictions.
oversimplification
n=1
Performance metrics are highly preliminary due to the limited number of scored predictions (5 out of 46 total), making it difficult to draw definitive conclusions about long-term performance.
benchmark flattery
n=1
Despite a 70% accuracy, the average alpha of -11.38% suggests that even 'correct' predictions may have significantly underperformed a relevant benchmark over their stated time horizons.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
GC=F—
SI=F—
BTC283%
G Mining Ventures—
nickel—