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FV

Finding Value Finance

@finding_finance · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 9 VERIFIED · 2M
CAT
HYBRID
Investing style category
RISK
SPECULATIVE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
PRELIMINARY
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
199
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
D-
Overall letter grade
40
Credibility
Overall credibility across all dimensions
D-
SIG — · n=9
Statistical significance of results given sample size
SCORECARD · n=9
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample size
Accuracy
39
199 CALLS
Percentage of predictions that were correct
Alpha
3
−9.4%
Returns above the S&P 500 benchmark
Calibration
84
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
How well stated confidence matches actual outcomes
Sentiment
100
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Consistency of bullish/bearish stance over time
Risk
50
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Awareness of downside scenarios and risk factors
Disclosure
0
0%
Transparency about holdings and conflicts of interest
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Honesty about past missed or failed predictions
Risk-Adj
22
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
Performance score adjusted for risk taken
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcomeHIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflicts
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all100
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS100 PREDICTIONS
CL=F[BUY]
2026-06-03

Crude oil prices are going to increase.

PND+3.1%CONF 60
TLT[SELL]
2026-06-03

TLT bond prices will head lower over time.

PND+0.3%CONF 60
SI=F[HOLD]
2026-06-03

Silver could pull back further in the short term but its long-term outlook remains good.

PND−1.7%CONF 35
GC=F[BUY]
2026-06-03

Gold and silver mining companies (XAU ratio) look good for a long-term move higher, despite potential short-term pullback.

PND−0.4%CONF 60
Crypto total market cap[AVOID]
2026-06-03

The crypto total market cap is likely to erase almost a trillion dollars if a specific technical line is crossed, as a rising wedge has already broken to the downside.

COR—CONF 85
SI=F[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-06-03

Silver is outperforming Bitcoin and is now in an uptrend relative to Bitcoin.

PND−1.7%CONF 85
^GSPC[AVOID]
2026-06-03

The S&P 500 and NASDAQ will eventually be weighed down by current market conditions of increasing interest rates and higher inflation.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
GC=F[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-06-03

Gold will outperform Bitcoin.

PND−0.4%CONF 60
US Treasury yields[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-03

Bond yields, including 2-year, 10-year, and 30-year, will continue to rise.

COR—CONF 60
DX-Y.NYB[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-03

The US dollar will continue to strengthen due to a flag pattern breaking higher.

PND+1.1%CONF 60
90 MORE
DX-Y.NYB[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-02

The US Dollar Index (DXY) will continue higher at some point in the future.

PND+0.9%CONF 60
Junior miners index (The Venture)[BUY]
2026-06-02

Junior miners, specifically 'The Venture' index, are breaking out of a 10-year base and appear to be entering a significant bull market.

COR—CONF 85
GC=F[BUY]
2026-06-02

Gold and silver mining companies (XAU ratio) will break through critical resistance and move higher.

PND−0.3%CONF 60
Palladium[BUY]
2026-06-02

Palladium has hit a bottom and is going to head higher in the short term.

COR—CONF 85
GC=F[BUY]
2026-06-02

Gold will break higher with time after its current consolidation.

PND−0.3%CONF 60
TLT[SELL]
2026-06-02

20-year bond prices will eventually head lower as yields go up.

PND+0.4%CONF 60
^TYX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-02

The 30-year US Treasury yield will eventually go higher after its current retest.

PND+0.6%CONF 60
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-02

The ten-year US Treasury yield will continue higher.

PND+1.0%CONF 85
^IRX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-02

The two-year US Treasury yield will continue higher.

PND+0.7%CONF 85
unspecified assets[BUY]
2026-05-19

Buying assets at the bottom of Stage 1 (according to Stan Weinstein's stage analysis) offers significantly more profit potential than buying at a Stage 2 breakout.

PRT—CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-18

Oil prices are experiencing building pressures, suggesting an upward movement.

PND—CONF 60
DXY[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-18

The US dollar is poised to strengthen if the government and Federal Reserve do not intervene.

PND—CONF 60
QQQ[AVOID]
2026-05-18

The Nasdaq (and by proxy, Bitcoin representing technology stocks) is going to underperform.

PND+0.1%CONF 85
USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-18

A weak US dollar will be the primary driver causing commodity assets to shift cycles and outperform.

PND−0.3%CONF 85
HG=F[BUY]
2026-05-18

Various commodity sectors (like small cap energy, copper, steel) will significantly outperform Bitcoin, reaching much higher relative levels during an impending commodity bull market.

PND−1.0%CONF 60
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-05-18

The PSCE (small cap energy fund) is poised to significantly outperform Bitcoin.

PND−0.2%CONF 85
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-05-18

Gold and silver could be attempting to form a bottom and find some support at current levels.

PND−1.7%CONF 35
US Treasury yield curve[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-18

The recent yield curve inversion between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury bonds is not indicative of a new, sustained trend.

PND—CONF 60
US Treasury yields[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-18

Yields across the board (2-year, 10-year, 30-year) are going higher, which will generally pull the DXY (US Dollar Index) up.

PND—CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-17

When oil demand destruction price meets the break-even for extraction, it will lead to less oil supply and the onset of peak oil, but not necessarily 'game over' for the economy.

PND−0.1%CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-17

Peak oil will occur when demand destruction is necessary to balance supply and demand, driven by increasing producer inflation.

PND−0.1%CONF 85
^GSPC[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-05-17

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are currently in a state of euphoria, while oil is in a low, undervalued portion of its market cycle.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-14

Crude oil futures are breaking higher.

PND−0.6%CONF 85
CL=F[BUY]
2026-05-14

The path of least resistance for oil prices is upwards, and one should not short oil.

PND−0.6%CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-14

The ratio of inflation-protected treasuries (TIP) to nominal-yielding treasuries (IEF) is moving higher, confirming that crude oil's increase is not a bubble.

PND−0.6%CONF 85
metals sectors[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-12

A stronger dollar and stronger yields could potentially drag down the metals sectors.

WRG—CONF 60
commodity complex[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-12

Increasing yields, coupled with rising metals prices, would signal the beginning of a significant positive trend for commodity investors, leading to a general "melt up" in the commodity complex.

COR—CONF 60
US Treasury yields[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-12

US Treasury yields are continuing to move higher.

COR—CONF 85
GC=F[HOLD]
2026-05-12

Gold is facing headwinds due to market conditions and is in a consolidation pattern.

PND−2.0%CONF 60
Bond prices[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-12

Bond prices are breaking lower and will likely break through support soon, leading to lower bond prices and higher yields.

COR—CONF 60
DXY[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-28

The Dollar Index (DXY) looks good to go higher in the short term.

PND—CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-28

Crude oil is seeing an upward move and is the primary driver of the current market dynamics.

PND+4.2%CONF 85
GDX[BUY]
2026-04-28

GDX is breaking through its resistance to the upside.

PND−3.9%CONF 60
COPX[BUY]
2026-04-28

COPX is breaking through its resistance to the upside.

PND−3.2%CONF 60
XLE[BUY]
2026-04-28

XLE is breaking through resistance to the upside.

PND+2.1%CONF 60
Yields[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-28

Yields are eventually going to follow the breaking resistance of commodity ETFs and break to the upside.

PND—CONF 85
Commodities[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-28

We are in a commodities bull market super cycle that started in 2020, representing the bottom for commodities.

PND—CONF 85
Yields[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-28

Yields will eventually break their 45-year downtrend.

PND—CONF 85
Commodities[BUY]
2026-04-28

Commodities are currently in the first wave of a larger wave three up move, according to Elliott Wave patterns, which signifies a large upside movement.

PND—CONF 85
TLT[SELL]
2026-04-28

TLT has a high likelihood of breaking lower.

PND+0.6%CONF 85
^TYX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-28

The 30-year yield will eventually break higher, probably sooner than later, especially when oil starts to move.

PND+0.5%CONF 60
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-28

The 2-year yield is going to outperform the 10-year yield, causing the yield curve to invert as we are in an inflationary environment.

PND+0.9%CONF 85
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-28

The 10-year yield looks good to continue higher.

PND+0.9%CONF 60
^IRX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-28

The 2-year yield is heading higher and could generate upside momentum after breaking out of patterns.

PND+0.5%CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-27

An 'oil problem' combined with fiscal spending is coming, which will expose commodity shortages in the market.

PND+4.2%CONF 85
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-27

The recent decisive spike in the commodities to S&P 500 ratio is the beginning of a sustained upward trend, not a head fake.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-27

Oil prices are expected to significantly increase, leading to a substantial rise in the commodity to stock ratio.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
HG=F[BUY]
2026-04-26

Multiple commodity sectors, including precious metals miners, oil companies, energy services, steel, iron ore, copper, and aluminum, which have already delivered significant returns, are expected to continue their strong performance.

PND−1.2%CONF 85
CL=F[BUY]
2026-04-26

Despite significant gains, oil prices are still considered to be at a ridiculously low level.

PND+4.2%CONF 85
URA[BUY]
2026-04-20

Uranium equities have a long way to go higher.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
URA, U.UN[BUY]
2026-04-20

URA (uranium ETF) is about to break out and outperform U.UN (Sprott Physical Uranium Trust) at any second.

PND—CONF 60
URA[BUY]
2026-04-20

The uranium market is in the beginning stages of a bull market super cycle that started in 2020, with the major upward movement against money supply expected towards the end of the bull market.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
URA[HOLD]
2026-04-20

The uranium market will continue to put in new highs and new lows, maintaining an uptrend, as it has been in a bull market super cycle since 2020.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-19

The idea that $100 crude oil causes demand destruction and an economic crash is a fantasy and doesn't work like that anymore.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
general sectors[BUY]
2026-04-19

When a sector or two is down, it's a good opportunity to purchase, and those sectors will then go up within a window of several months to a year or two.

PND—CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-19

The idea that $100 crude oil prices cause demand destruction or a general economic crash is incorrect because oil's impact on economic activity has diminished.

PND—CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-19

A crude oil price of $100 per barrel will not lead to demand destruction.

PND—CONF 85
Global economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-19

The global economy will not crash if the price of crude oil reaches $100 per barrel.

PND—CONF 85
^IRX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-18

The 2-year US Treasury yield has already broken to the upside.

PND+0.2%CONF 85
Interest rates[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-18

Interest rates are going to go higher because the charts have already broken to the upside.

PND—CONF 85
^IRX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-17

The 2-year US Treasury yield is game on for an upside move after breaking out of a bigger pattern.

PND−1.3%CONF 60
US Yield Curve[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-17

Higher yields and a higher dollar will potentially lead to an inverted yield curve.

PND—CONF 60
DXY[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-17

The DXY (Dollar Index) is trying to put in a bottom and will move higher, following higher yields.

PND—CONF 60
^TYX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-17

The 30-year US Treasury yield is in a bullish flag pattern and will break higher.

PND−1.9%CONF 85
TLT[AVOID]
2026-04-17

TLT bond prices are in an inverted flag pattern and are going to break lower.

PND−0.1%CONF 85
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-17

The 10-year US Treasury yield will eventually break to the upside out of its bigger pattern.

PND−2.3%CONF 60
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-17

The 10-year yield will eventually break to the upside, breaking its bigger pattern.

PND−2.7%CONF 60
DXY[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-17

The DXY (Dollar Index) could go up and is trying to put in a bottom.

PND—CONF 60
Yields[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-17

Yields will track higher in the medium to longer term, and the DXY will follow yields to move higher.

PND—CONF 60
Yields[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-17

Yields are game on for an upside move.

PND—CONF 60
^TYX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-17

The 30-year yield is in a bullish flag pattern that will break higher.

PND−2.1%CONF 85
TLT[AVOID]
2026-04-17

TLT bond prices are going to break lower due to an inverted flag pattern.

PND−0.3%CONF 85
DX-Y.NYB[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-17

There will be higher yields, a higher dollar, and potentially an inverted yield curve.

PND−1.3%CONF 60
Sulfuric acid[AVOID]
2026-04-17

It is too late to buy sulfuric acid, as the trend has already played out.

PND—CONF 85
CL=F[BUY]
2026-04-17

Crude oil prices are going higher.

WRG−12.7%CONF 85
^GSPC[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-04-16

An increasing interest rate environment will lead to hard assets/precious metals outperforming the S&P 500, similar to past cycles.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
Stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-16

We should not be afraid of the current high household stock allocation; instead, we should take advantage of it.

PND—CONF 85
Hard assets, Precious metals[BUY]
2026-04-16

When the stock market is at 'bubble' levels (like now, based on household allocation), one should invest in hard assets and precious metals.

PND—CONF 85
Hard assets, precious metals[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-04-16

When household stock exposure reaches current bubble-like levels, investors should invest in hard assets and precious metals, as historical cycles suggest these assets perform well during the subsequent increasing interest rate environment, similar to the 1970s-1980s.

PND—CONF 85
^GSPC[BUY]
2026-04-16

Given the current all-time high in household stock exposure, similar to past peaks in 1968 and 2000, now is the time to invest in hard assets and precious metals as a new cycle of increasing interest rates will lead to significant gains for these assets.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
Hard assets, Precious metals[BUY]
2026-04-16

When the percentage of financial assets held in stocks hits extreme bubble levels, investors should invest in hard assets and precious metals, following historical cycles.

PND—CONF 85
Hard assets, Precious metals[BUY]
2026-04-16

An increasing interest rate environment will lead to significant positive returns for hard assets and precious metals, mirroring past cycles.

COR—CONF 85
hard assets, precious metals[BUY]
2026-04-16

When the percentage of financial assets held by households in stocks reaches extreme historical highs, one should invest in hard assets and precious metals.

PND—CONF 85
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-15

There is a significant discrepancy between oil market specialists (seeing monstrous supply disruption) and the broader stock market (S&P and Nasdaq rocketing higher), creating uncertainty about which market view is correct for the future.

PND+0.0%CONF 35
DX-Y.NYB[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-14

The DXY (US Dollar Index) is going to go higher due to a larger pattern breaking to the upside.

PND−2.4%CONF 60
DX-Y.NYB[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-14

The DXY (US Dollar Index) could still break to the upside, despite a recent pullback.

PND−2.4%CONF 60
DXY[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-14

The DXY is going to go higher based on a larger long-term breakout pattern.

PND—CONF 60
Economically sensitive sectors, metals[AVOID]
2026-04-14

If the DXY breaks higher, economically sensitive sectors and metals that went up today may not do well in the future and could roll over.

COR—CONF 60
DXY[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-14

The DXY (dollar index) is going to go higher based on a larger pattern that has broken to the upside.

PND—CONF 60
Economically sensitive sectors and metals[AVOID]
2026-04-14

Economically sensitive sectors and metals, which went up today, may not perform well in the future if the dollar breaks higher.

PND—CONF 60
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=1
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skill
timing issue
n=1
Many predictions are dated for 2026, meaning most outcomes are still pending, which limits the current assessment of accuracy and alpha and contributes to the 'preliminary' status.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdown
CL=F1—
^GSPC—
GC=F—
DXY—
TLT—