›creator—idfinding_finance—horizonALL—benchmarkSPY[F1] HELP · [F4] EXPORT · [⌘K] CMDS
FV
Finding Value Finance
@finding_finance · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 53 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
HYBRID
RISK
SPECUL
TIER
EVALUA
PRED
165
GRADE
D-
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=53
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=53 · SIG 100.0% · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
76
165 CALLS
α
0
−11.0%
CAL
84
BRIER
SNT
100
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
35
SHARPE
CRD
41
D-
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE100
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/165
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
04-28^TNXThe 2-year yield is going to outperform the 10-year yield, causing the yield curve to invert as we are in an inflationary environment.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.9%—---
04-28YieldsYields will eventually break their 45-year downtrend.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-28CommoditiesCommodities are currently in the first wave of a larger wave three up move, according to Elliott Wave patterns, which signifies a large upside movement.5+_YEARS85[BUY]PND——---
04-28DXYThe Dollar Index (DXY) looks good to go higher in the short term.WEEKS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-28^IRXThe 2-year yield is heading higher and could generate upside momentum after breaking out of patterns.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.5%—---
04-28^TNXThe 10-year yield looks good to continue higher.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.9%—---
04-28^TYXThe 30-year yield will eventually break higher, probably sooner than later, especially when oil starts to move.MONTHS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.5%—---
04-28TLTTLT has a high likelihood of breaking lower.UNSPECIFIED85[SELL]PND+0.6%—---
04-28CommoditiesWe are in a commodities bull market super cycle that started in 2020, representing the bottom for commodities.5+_YEARS85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-28YieldsYields are eventually going to follow the breaking resistance of commodity ETFs and break to the upside.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=3
timing issue
n=1
Despite high prediction accuracy, the consistently negative average alpha suggests potential issues with entry/exit timing or asset selection that hinder benchmark outperformance.
market conditions
n=1
The guru's predictions operate within a highly volatile macro environment characterized by commodity 'super cycles,' rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions, which can complicate investment outcomes.
oversimplification
n=1
Some 'hype-based' and highly confident statements regarding complex market dynamics may lead to oversimplification of investment risks and opportunities.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
CL=F239%
DXY—
DX-Y.NYB—
^GSPC—
^TNX—