● GURUSCOPE● LIVE
›guruscope/guru/heresyfinancialOPEN·ACCESS
›creator—idheresyfinancial—horizonALL—benchmarkSPY
HF
Heresy Financial
@heresyfinancial · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 24 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
HYBRID
RISK
AGGRES
TIER
EVALUA
PRED
60
GRADE
C-
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=24
79
ACC
20
α
88
CAL
98
SNT
50
RSK
0
DSC
50
SRV
45
RAD
50
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=24 · SIG 73.5% · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
79
60 CALLS
α
20
−6.0%
CAL
88
BRIER
SNT
98
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
45
SHARPE
CRD
50
C-
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
1Y AGO9M6M3MNOWIPOs · 04-29CONF 60 · 1-2_YEARS— · PND
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE60
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/60
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
04-29IPOsIt is a fairly common pattern for IPOs in general to attract a ton of retail hype, pop, skyrocket, then crash after insiders and early investors sell, as the stock doesn't perform as expected by retail.MONTHS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-29SpaceXThe common IPO pattern of initial hype and subsequent crash will probably play out with SpaceX after its IPO, though it might not and could keep going up.MONTHS35[SELL]PND——---
04-29BTCBitcoin is currently in a bear flag pattern, indicating an immediate risk to the downside if it doesn't break out to the upside and establish a new trading range.WEEKS60[AVOID]PND+0.0%—---
04-29BTCBitcoin going to zero is unlikely.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.0%—---
04-29BTCBitcoin can go to zero.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.0%—---
04-29IPOsEventually, a good company after IPO will put in a bottom and then start to perform well.1-2_YEARS60[BUY]PND——---
04-15US debtThe US government will not default on its debt because it needs to borrow as much as it wants in the future.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-15US debt crisis / US EconomyIf the government fails to stimulate economic growth with money printing without causing high inflation, it will accelerate the debt crisis into a full-blown catastrophe.MONTHS85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-15US debt load / US money supplyThe total debt load always has to increase faster than the total money supply growth.5+_YEARS85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-15US Economy / Federal Government policyThe federal government is about to try and stimulate economic growth and recovery with money printing without simultaneously causing high inflation to deal with the debt crisis.MONTHS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=4
timing issue
n=1
A significant portion of predictions are future-dated (e.g., 2026), which means their ultimate accuracy and impact are yet to be fully realized and may not reflect current market conditions or recent performance.
data cherry picking
n=1
With 60 total predictions but only 24 scored, there's a possibility that a selection bias exists for which predictions have outcomes verified, potentially skewing the overall accuracy metrics.
oversimplification
n=1
Some complex macroeconomic concepts and potential 'lethal risks' are presented with strong, often fear-based emotional tones, which may oversimplify nuanced financial realities for the audience.
benchmark flattery
n=1
Despite some 'buy' recommendations being marked as 'correct', their associated alpha is significantly negative, suggesting that even 'successful' predictions may have substantially underperformed broader market benchmarks (e.g., Bitcoin target of $95K not met, yet call is 'correct').
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
BTC4100%
DX-Y.NYB—
US economy167%
QQQ50%
global financial system2100%