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Investing with Tom
@investingwithtom · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 2 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
VALUE
RISK
MODERA
TIER
INSUFF
PRED
10
GRADE
D
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=2
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=2 · SIG — · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
100
10 CALLS
α
50
+0.0%
CAL
80
BRIER
SNT
100
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
50
SHARPE
CRD
42
D
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE10
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/10
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
08-18AlibabaAlibaba's business is actually returning to growth following the easing of China's harsh COVID restrictions.MONTHS60[BUY]PND——---
08-18AlibabaAlibaba's business is returning to growth after harsh COVID restrictions.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
08-18AlibabaThe business of Alibaba is returning to growth now that China has largely moved past its harsh COVID restrictions.MONTHS60[BUY]PND——---
08-04Hingham Institution for Savings (HIFS)In the long term, Hingham Institution for Savings (HIFS)'s interest rate risk will not be significant, assuming the yield curve normalizes and interest rates remain relatively stable.5+_YEARS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
08-04Hingham Institution for Savings (HIFS)Hingham Institution for Savings (HIFS) faces significant interest rate risk in the short and medium term.MONTHS60[AVOID]PND——---
08-04Hingham Institution for Savings (HAFS)Hingham Institution for Savings (HAFS) faces a significant interest rate risk in the short and medium term due to its liability-sensitive balance sheet.MONTHS60[AVOID]PND——---
08-04Hingham Institution for SavingsHingham Institution for Savings (HIFS) faces significant risk in the short and medium term due to its liability-sensitive balance sheet, as rising interest rates cause funding costs to increase faster than asset yields.MONTHS60[AVOID]PND——---
08-04Hingham Institution for SavingsHingham Institution for Savings (HIFS) faces significant interest rate risk in the short and medium term due to its liability-sensitive balance sheet and the timing mismatch of interest rate changes impacting funding costs versus asset yields.MONTHS60[AVOID]PND——---
08-04Hingham Institution for SavingsInterest rate risk poses a significant threat to Hingham Institution for Savings (HAFS) in the short and medium term, requiring close monitoring.MONTHS60[GENERAL_MACRO]COR——---
08-04Hingham Institution for SavingsIn the long term, if the yield curve normalizes and interest rates are relatively stable, the specific level of interest rates (whether higher or lower) will not significantly impact Hingham Institution for Savings (HAFS).5+_YEARS60[GENERAL_MACRO]COR——---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=1
timing issue
n=1
A significant majority of predictions (8 out of 10) are still pending, which limits the current assessment of overall accuracy and alpha over a longer period.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
Hingham Institution for Savings2100%
Alibaba—
Hingham Institution for Savings (HIFS)—
Hingham Institution for Savings (HAFS)—