GURUSCOPE
guruscopegurujosephcarlsonshow
›creator--idjosephcarlsonshow
JC

Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 6 VERIFIED · 10M
CAT
HYBRID
Investing style category
RISK
MODERATE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
PRELIMINARY
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
43
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
B
Overall letter grade
60
Credibility
Overall credibility across all dimensions
B
SIG ✓ · n=6
Statistical significance of results given sample size
SCORECARD · n=6
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample size
Accuracy
92
43 CALLS
Percentage of predictions that were correct
Alpha
100
+41.0%
Returns above the S&P 500 benchmark
Calibration
82
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
How well stated confidence matches actual outcomes
Sentiment
100
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Consistency of bullish/bearish stance over time
Risk
50
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Awareness of downside scenarios and risk factors
Disclosure
0
0%
Transparency about holdings and conflicts of interest
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Honesty about past missed or failed predictions
Risk-Adj
100
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
Performance score adjusted for risk taken
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcomeHIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflicts
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all43
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS43 PREDICTIONS
AMZN[HOLD]
2026-06-06

Amazon has incredible durability and long-term potential.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
GOOG[BUY]
2026-06-06

Joseph Carlson bought an additional $5,000 worth of Google stock.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
VICI[SELL]
2026-06-06

The influencer is trimming their position in VICI Properties.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
The economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-06

The economy looks robust and is going to continue to be strong.

PRT—CONF 60
Interest rates[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-06

Mean interest rate expectations could change later this year.

COR—CONF 35
Interest rates[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-06

The Federal Reserve's projected two interest rate cuts later this year are uncertain and the actual number could differ.

PND—CONF 60
Discord[BUY]
2026-06-06

The influencer will likely buy shares of Discord if it IPOs.

PND—CONF 60
Artificial Intelligence (AI) sector[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-06-06

Artificial intelligence will continue to push forward despite any market turbulence, driving stocks further up this year.

PND—CONF 85
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-06

The market, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq QQQ, will continue to go higher this year in a meltup rally, shrugging off any concerns.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
Equifax[BUY]
2026-06-06

Equifax is a great company that is a buy, and its revenue will continue to grow over time.

PND—CONF 85
33 MORE
HIMS, SharkNinja, Crocs[AVOID]
2026-06-06

Companies like Hims and Hers, Shark Ninja, and Crocs have the potential to outperform Google or Amazon over the next 5 years, but are less predictable with higher relative downside.

PND—CONF 35
General Market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-06

The market will go up after each new trade deal, as investors become more optimistic about lowered trade barriers.

PND—CONF 60
US Market[BUY]
2026-06-06

The US stock market will go up like a rocket ship to numbers nobody has ever seen before due to the recent trade deal.

COR—CONF 85
General Market[BUY]
2026-06-06

Tom Lee's advice right now is to continue buying stocks.

COR—CONF 85
FICO[BUY]
2026-06-06

FICO is a buy today based on its extremely high quality, status as a compounding machine, and attractive risk-adjusted returns.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
The market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-22

The market will continue to go up despite ongoing geopolitical events.

PND—CONF 60
stocks[BUY]
2026-04-22

Today, April 22, 2026, represents one of the best times to buy stocks.

COR—CONF 85
stocks[BUY]
2026-04-22

Today represents one of the best times to buy stocks.

COR—CONF 85
Meta Platforms[BUY]
2026-03-16

Meta Platforms stock will recover from its current dip because the market is clearly wrong about its AI capabilities.

PND—CONF 60
Meta Platforms[BUY]
2026-03-16

Meta Platforms stock is undervalued due to the market overreacting to negative news regarding its AI model rollout.

PND—CONF 85
Meta Platforms[BUY]
2026-03-16

Meta Platforms stock will recover and increase in value.

PND—CONF 85
SAS companies[AVOID]
2026-02-11

Software-as-a-Service (SAS) companies, including Intuit, Salesforce, and Adobe, will continue to see their stock prices destroyed with no end in sight.

PND—CONF 85
SaaS companies, AI-exposed companies[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-02-11

The current market environment is characterized by a 'paradigm shift' where software-as-a-service (SaaS) and AI-exposed companies are being negatively impacted, requiring investors to pivot their portfolios.

PND—CONF 60
SaaS companies, AI-exposed companies[AVOID]
2026-02-11

SaaS companies and companies with AI exposure will continue to face destruction and decline in stock prices.

PND—CONF 85
unspecified companies[BUY]
2026-01-14

Four specific companies, described as compounding machines and strong, are recommended as buys today.

PND—CONF 85
Unspecified companies[BUY]
2026-01-14

There are four unspecified companies that are 'compounding machines' and 'very strong' offering an entry point to buy today.

PND—CONF 85
Google (GOOG, GOOGL)[BUY]
2026-01-14

Google will continue to strengthen, particularly due to its Gemini AI model having a significant advantage over competitors.

PND—CONF 60
Individual portfolio[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-22

It is accomplishable for individuals to grow their portfolio to $1 million 'quickly and predictably' by following a specific blueprint.

WRG—CONF 85
Alphabet[BUY]
2025-12-01

Alphabet is a strong stock to own going into 2026.

PND—CONF 60
Mastercard[BUY]
2025-12-01

Mastercard is in a strong position today and is likely to outperform the market.

PND—CONF 60
Alphabet[BUY]
2025-12-01

Alphabet is the best Mag 7 stock to own going into 2026.

PND—CONF 85
unspecified[BUY]
2025-11-05

Six specific companies are fantastic buys even in an expensive market.

PND—CONF 85
unspecified[BUY]
2025-10-13

Five specific AI stocks will continue to win over the next five years.

PND—CONF 60
Google[BUY]
2025-10-13

Google has low downside and high upside.

PND—CONF 60
Google[BUY]
2025-10-13

Google is currently one of the best options for investors to buy.

PND—CONF 85
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-09-29

The market is currently in a massive bull market.

PRT+0.0%CONF 85
^GSPC[BUY]
2025-09-19

SPY, SPYG, and SCHG are excellent funds.

COR+0.0%CONF 60
GOOG[BUY]
2025-09-10

He is buying $10,000 more of Google stock.

COR+39.1%CONF 85
GOOG[BUY]
2025-09-03

Google remains undervalued.

COR+57.4%CONF 85
Google[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-09-03

The trend of market commentators being bullish on Google will continue in the future.

COR—CONF 60
Duolingo[BUY]
2025-08-04

Duolingo is a compounding machine, indicating strong long-term growth and value creation.

PND—CONF 60
GOOG[BUY]
2025-07-24

Google stock will continue to go higher after strong earnings.

COR+74.9%CONF 60
GOOG[BUY]
2025-07-24

Google stock is headed towards a price of $240 per share.

COR+74.9%CONF 60
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=1
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skill
oversimplification
n=1
The high accuracy and alpha scores are based on a preliminary track record of only 14 scored predictions, which may not be statistically significant enough to represent long-term performance.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdown
GOOG4100%
^GSPC175%
Google1100%
Meta Platforms—
stocks2100%