›creator—idjungernaut—horizonALL—benchmarkSPY[F1] HELP · [F4] EXPORT · [⌘K] CMDS
BJ
Brian Jung
@jungernaut · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 10 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
HYBRID
RISK
SPECUL
TIER
PRELIM
PRED
35
GRADE
F
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=10
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=10 · SIG 99.8% · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
85
35 CALLS
α
0
−18.0%
CAL
88
BRIER
SNT
100
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
41
SHARPE
CRD
35
F
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE35
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/35
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
04-03Artificial Intelligence (sector/theme)The current period for Artificial Intelligence represents a radical shift similar to the early phase of COVID-19 in early 2020.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-03AI-related assetsPeople paying attention now can position themselves in AI-related assets before the market fully recognizes its potential.MONTHS60[SECTOR_ROTATION]PND——---
04-03Artificial Intelligence (sector/theme)Artificial intelligence will reshape the way people work, companies operate, money flows, and how wealth is created over the next decade.5+_YEARS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-03Wealth creationArtificial intelligence will transform the way wealth is created over the next decade.5+_YEARS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-03AI-related investmentsThere is a massive opportunity to make money by positioning oneself in AI-related investments before the broader market recognizes its full potential.UNSPECIFIED60[BUY]PND——---
04-03AI-related assets/sectorFor those paying attention now, there is a massive window to make money on AI-related assets before the opportunity becomes obvious to the rest of the world, as most people are still underestimating AI or calling it a bubble.MONTHS85[BUY]PND——---
04-03Artificial Intelligence (AI)Artificial intelligence (AI) is a technological shift that will reshape the way people work, companies operate, and money flows, changing how wealth is created over the next decade.5+_YEARS85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-03—Artificial intelligence will fundamentally reshape the way people work, companies operate, and how money flows.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-03—Artificial intelligence will change the way wealth is created over the next decade.5+_YEARS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-03—The current underestimation of AI presents a massive opportunity for investors to position themselves early and make money.UNSPECIFIED60[BUY]PND——---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=3
timing issue
n=1
The high accuracy percentage (85.0%) is based on a very limited sample size of 10 scored predictions, with a significant number of calls still pending. This preliminary status may not fully represent long-term performance.
benchmark flattery
n=1
Despite high prediction accuracy, the consistently negative average alpha (-17.99%) and high maximum drawdown (-48.61%) suggest that while predictions might be directionally correct, the actual investment performance relative to market benchmarks is poor, or the risk taken to achieve those outcomes is substantial.
oversimplification
n=1
Many 'correct' predictions are broad macro statements about trends (e.g., AI changing wealth, enormous market opportunities), which are inherently less specific and thus potentially easier to be scored as correct compared to precise price targets.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
BTC4100%
AI (Artificial Intelligence)175%
Artificial Intelligence (sector/theme)—
AI-related investments—
Base ecosystem—