›creator—idmeetkevin—horizonALL—benchmarkSPY[F1] HELP · [F4] EXPORT · [⌘K] CMDS
MK
Meet Kevin
@meetkevin · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 55 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
HYBRID
RISK
SPECUL
TIER
EVALUA
PRED
182
GRADE
D
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=55
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=55 · SIG 93.3% · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
77
182 CALLS
α
23
−5.5%
CAL
83
BRIER
SNT
99
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
36
SHARPE
CRD
43
D
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE100
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
*SH*T* IRAN TALKS JUST COLLAPSED2026-04-16ARCHIVED
CRAP | THIS IS IT2026-04-16ARCHIVED
TOTAL SH*T SHOW2026-04-16ARCHIVED
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/182
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
04-29stock market (call options)It was not a good time to buy call options (speculate on upward movement) for stocks in the week of April 29th, 2026 due to impending Fed action and earnings, which proved to be the right call.WEEKS85[AVOID]PND——---
04-29CL=FJerome Powell will clearly communicate a worse oil situation, potentially complicating Kevin Worsh's tenure as the incoming Fed Chair.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.0%—---
04-29Federal Reserve Chairman (macro event)Kevin Worsh is quite likely to take over as chairman of the Federal Reserve by May 15th, 2026, following the dropping of a lawsuit against Jerome Powell.WEEKS85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-29CL=FJerome Powell will use his final meeting to indicate that interest rates will be higher for longer due to sustained higher oil prices.MONTHS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.0%—---
04-29Iran (geopolitical event impacting oil)Donald Trump has instructed his aides to prepare for an extended blockade of Iran.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-29CL=FAs Brent crude oil approaches its price target of $120, the stock market will face more headwinds.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.0%—---
04-27TSLA, SpaceXElon Musk is likely to attempt a Machiavellian takeover of Tesla, which will affect both Tesla and SpaceX.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-27QQQThe NASDAQ quietly changed its index inclusion rules, lowering the requirement to less than 10% outstanding float, specifically anticipating the SpaceX IPO, where Elon Musk is expected to float only 6-7% of the company.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND−0.5%—---
04-27TSLAElon Musk's plan to gain complete control of Tesla is likely, though not guaranteed.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND−0.2%—---
04-22economy, stocksThe economy is surprisingly strengthening despite ongoing geopolitical conflicts, leading to an increase in stock allocations and positions.UNSPECIFIED85[BUY]PND——---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=2
benchmark flattery
n=1
The high prediction accuracy of 77.3% does not translate into positive alpha (-5.48%), suggesting that while calls might be directionally correct, they don't outperform the market or an appropriate benchmark, possibly due to factors like timing, magnitude, or undisclosed transaction costs.
oversimplification
n=1
Some predictions use broad 'buy the dip' statements or confident price targets without delving deeply into comprehensive financial analysis, which can oversimplify complex market dynamics.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
QQQ—
MSFT—
OWL—
CL=F50%
TLT—