›creator—idminoritymindset—horizonALL—benchmarkSPY[F1] HELP · [F4] EXPORT · [⌘K] CMDS
MM
Minority Mindset
@minoritymindset · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 13 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
HYBRID
RISK
SPECUL
TIER
PRELIM
PRED
47
GRADE
D
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=13
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=13 · SIG — · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
81
47 CALLS
α
0
−15.7%
CAL
80
BRIER
SNT
98
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
42
SHARPE
CRD
43
D
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE47
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/47
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
04-20US EconomyThe Federal Reserve Bank will undergo a reset on May 15th, 2026, and its consequences will negatively impact most people's personal finances without prior warning.MONTHS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-17Global EconomyThe global economy is going to slow, and if the war continues, it will slow significantly with global inflation rising significantly.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-17GC=FDuring the potential stagflation era, gold prices will boom due to concerns about the dollar losing value.UNSPECIFIED60[BUY]PND−0.5%—---
04-17Stock MarketDuring the potential stagflation era, the stock market could get cut in half.UNSPECIFIED60[AVOID]PND——---
04-17US EconomyThe United States is entering a period of stagflation, characterized by a slowing economy, high inflation, very high unemployment, decreasing wages, and increasing prices.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-17Global EconomyThe International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects that the global economy is going to slow down as its base case.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-17DX-Y.NYBIf the global economy experiences stagflation similar to the 1970s, historical patterns suggest that the stock market could fall significantly (e.g., by 50%) while gold prices would boom due to concerns about the dollar's value.UNSPECIFIED60[SECTOR_ROTATION]PND−1.3%—---
04-17Global Economy, Global InflationIf the war in the Middle East continues, the global economy will slow significantly, and global inflation will rise significantly.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-17Stock MarketWhen markets experience significant downturns, it typically presents a great buying opportunity.UNSPECIFIED85[BUY]PND——---
04-16Credit Card CompaniesIf consumers continue to carry credit card debt at around 25% APR for long enough, credit card companies and bankers will become so rich that they can afford private jets and large buildings.UNSPECIFIED85[AVOID]PND——---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=3
timing issue
n=1
Many of the guru's predictions are future-dated (e.g., in 2026), meaning their ultimate outcome and impact on overall accuracy and performance metrics are yet to be fully realized.
oversimplification
n=1
The 'correct' outcome for certain predictions, particularly specific price targets like Bitcoin reaching $95,000, appears to be based on minimal movement in the predicted direction rather than the target being hit. This leads to a discrepancy where a 'correct' prediction can still result in substantial negative alpha.
data cherry picking
n=1
The reported high accuracy is based on a preliminary set of only 13 scored predictions out of 47 total. This limited sample size may not be fully representative of the guru's overall predictive capability or long-term track record.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
BTC4100%
economy175%
ETFs (general)1100%
US Economy—
Global Economy—