GURUSCOPE
guruscopegurunewmoneyyoutube
›creator--idnewmoneyyoutube
NM

New Money

@newmoneyyoutube · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 5 VERIFIED · 2M
CAT
NARRATIVE
Investing style category
RISK
MODERATE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
PRELIMINARY
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
47
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
B+
Overall letter grade
64
Credibility
Overall credibility across all dimensions
B+
SIG ✓ · n=5
Statistical significance of results given sample size
SCORECARD · n=5
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample size
Accuracy
60
47 CALLS
Percentage of predictions that were correct
Alpha
83
+6.6%
Returns above the S&P 500 benchmark
Calibration
80
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
How well stated confidence matches actual outcomes
Sentiment
98
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Consistency of bullish/bearish stance over time
Risk
50
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Awareness of downside scenarios and risk factors
Disclosure
0
0%
Transparency about holdings and conflicts of interest
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Honesty about past missed or failed predictions
Risk-Adj
100
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
Performance score adjusted for risk taken
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcomeHIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflicts
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all47
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS47 PREDICTIONS
Google[BUY]
2026-05-30

Google's revenue and earnings growth shows no real evidence of slowing down.

PND—CONF 60
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-20

The S&P 500 is currently much less diversified than people realize, contrary to the common belief that it is well diversified.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-20

If the market's current concentration in the artificial intelligence theme were to crack, the consequences would be pretty massive.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
Stock market[AVOID]
2026-05-12

Warren Buffett is building a large cash pile because he is not finding many attractive investment opportunities in the current stock market.

COR—CONF 60
General market/investment opportunities[AVOID]
2026-05-12

The current market environment is not ideal for deploying cash for Berkshire Hathaway due to a lack of attractive investment opportunities.

COR—CONF 60
TSLA[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-04

Tesla will experience a very significant increase in capital expenditures over the next year due to increased investments.

PRT+8.8%CONF 85
TSLA[BUY]
2026-05-04

Tesla's increased capital expenditures will be justified by a substantially increased future revenue stream.

COR+8.8%CONF 60
TSLA[BUY]
2026-05-04

Tesla's substantial increase in capital investments is going to pay off in a very big way.

COR+7.7%CONF 60
TSLA[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-04

Tesla will achieve a substantially increased future revenue stream by significantly increasing capital expenditures.

PRT+7.7%CONF 85
US market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-25

Three major converging risks will drastically decrease the probability of good market outcomes in the not-too-distant future for the US market.

PND—CONF 60
37 MORE
Global economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-25

The economic consequences of the war, specifically the situation in Iran, usually end up in some form of recession, including potential stagflation, and increase the odds of bad economic outcomes.

PRT—CONF 60
US economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-25

Stagflation would be the worst possible economic result for the US economy.

PND—CONF 85
US economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-25

Increased consumer costs for gas and food will increase the odds of bad economic outcomes.

COR—CONF 60
US economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-25

The economic risks of the war (Iran conflict) usually result in some form of recession, potentially leading to unemployment or stagflation.

PRT—CONF 60
Global economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-25

An oil spike will cause products, manufacturing, and food to get more expensive.

COR—CONF 85
US market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-25

The convergence of three major risks will drastically reduce the probability of good market outcomes in the not-too-distant future for the US market.

COR—CONF 60
Private credit industry[AVOID]
2026-04-19

The private credit market is currently experiencing problems that suggest systemic risks might be present, contrary to earlier assessments.

COR—CONF 60
Private credit industry[AVOID]
2026-04-19

Private credit will eventually blow up, causing a shock to the industry's executives similar to the GFC.

WRG—CONF 85
private credit[AVOID]
2026-04-19

Private credit will eventually blow up and be a shock to the industry's executives, similar to the GFC for Wall Street executives, and it's not going to be pretty.

WRG—CONF 85
private credit[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-19

Private credit will eventually experience a significant collapse, shocking industry executives and leading to negative outcomes.

PND—CONF 85
private credit[AVOID]
2026-04-19

The private credit industry will eventually experience a significant collapse, surprising executives and leading to negative consequences similar to the GFC.

PND—CONF 85
private credit, market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-19

Steve Eisman is currently sounding the alarm on private credit and the risks it poses to the market over the next few years.

PND—CONF 60
private credit[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-19

Problems within the private credit market are currently being discovered.

PND—CONF 60
Adobe, Salesforce[AVOID]
2026-04-12

Businesses that are customers of software companies like Adobe or Salesforce will reduce their headcounts, leading to a massive drop in the number of licenses these companies can sell.

COR—CONF 60
Software stocks[AVOID]
2026-04-12

New AI solutions will sweep in and replace traditional SAS tools.

PND—CONF 60
SaaS sector[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-12

The rise of AI agents poses a significant threat to the current pricing models of traditional Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) companies, potentially leading to lower license sales due to decreased customer headcount.

PND—CONF 60
Software stocks[HOLD]
2026-04-12

Software stocks such as Salesforce, Adobe, Snowflake, Atlassian, and Intuit, despite recent significant drops, are fundamentally sound businesses that are currently being irrationally dumped by investors.

PND—CONF 60
SAS software sector[AVOID]
2026-04-12

AI agents and solutions are expected to replace existing Software-as-a-Service (SAS) tools, posing an existential threat to these businesses.

PND—CONF 60
Software companies with per-head pricing models (e.g., Adobe, Salesforce)[AVOID]
2026-04-12

AI's impact on business headcount will lead to a significant reduction in the number of licenses and users for per-head pricing software companies like Adobe or Salesforce.

COR—CONF 60
US national debt[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-10

Current governmental decisions are likely to exacerbate the national debt problem.

PND—CONF 60
US economy / US national debt[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-10

The national debt is the sole genuine existential threat to the United States.

PND—CONF 85
United States national debt[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-10

The decisions currently being made by American leaders are likely to exacerbate the national debt problem.

PND—CONF 60
United States economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-10

The unchecked national debt is a genuine existential threat to the United States.

PND—CONF 85
US National Debt[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-10

The decisions currently being made by America's leaders are likely to exacerbate the national debt problem.

PND—CONF 60
US economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-10

The unchecked growth of the U.S. national debt, currently at $39 trillion, poses a genuine existential threat to the country.

PND—CONF 85
US national debt[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-10

Current decisions made by U.S. leaders are likely to exacerbate the national debt problem.

PND—CONF 60
US National Debt[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-10

The decisions being made by America's leaders are likely to worsen the national debt problem.

COR—CONF 60
US National Debt[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-10

Current decisions made by American leaders are likely to exacerbate the national debt problem.

COR—CONF 60
US Economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-10

The US national debt, currently at $39 trillion, is the only genuine existential threat to the country.

PRT—CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-27

In 2026, the world is experiencing an oil shock characterized by disrupted supply and skyrocketing oil prices due to unchanged demand.

PND−11.8%CONF 85
AI industry[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-21

The growth of artificial intelligence (AI) is facing a major choke point due to its massive and rapidly increasing power consumption problem.

PND—CONF 85
AI Industry[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-21

The growth of the AI industry is facing a major bottleneck due to its massive power consumption requirements.

PND—CONF 85
^GSPC[AVOID]
2026-03-21

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are currently overvalued due to investor enthusiasm for AI, signaling potential market risk.

WRG+0.0%CONF 60
AI industry[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-21

The growth of Artificial Intelligence (AI) is currently facing a major choke point due to a massive power problem.

PND—CONF 85
AI industry[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-21

The AI industry faces a massive power problem that will constrain its growth.

COR—CONF 85
AI sector[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-21

The growth of AI technology is facing a major choke point.

COR—CONF 85
AI Industry[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-21

The growth of the AI industry will face a major choke point due to its massive power consumption requirements and the challenges of building out sufficient data center infrastructure.

COR—CONF 85
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=1
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skill
timing issue
n=1
All predictions are dated in 2026, meaning their outcomes are based on a future timeline. This limits the current interpretability of performance metrics as truly observed market results from past events.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdown
TSLA275%
US economy175%
private credit1—
US National Debt2100%
^GSPC1—