›creator--idnicholascrownyoutube
NC
Nicholas Crown
@nicholascrownyoutube · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 0 VERIFIED · < 1M
CAT
HYBRID
RISK
AGGRESSIVE
TIER
INSUFFICIENT
PRED
27
GRADE
D-
Credibility
D-
SIG — · n=0
Statistical significance of results given sample sizeSCORECARD · n=0
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample sizeAccuracy
45
27 CALLS
Alpha
50
+0.0%
Calibration
77
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
Sentiment
88
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Risk
50
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Disclosure
0
0%
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Risk-Adj
50
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcome CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflictsHOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all27
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS27 PREDICTIONS
GC=F[AVOID]
2026-06-10The official ending of the Iran war will not cause a significant lift for gold.
PND+0.0%CONF 85
GC=F[SELL]
2026-06-10PND+0.0%CONF 60
Target date funds[AVOID]
2026-06-10PRT—CONF 85
Repetitive human work / Labor market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10PRT—CONF 85
Ivy League education[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10The exclusivity of the Ivy League education will deflate.
PRT—CONF 85
selling blank journals on Amazon[AVOID]
2026-06-10Selling blank journals on Amazon will not generate anywhere close to $50,000.
WRG—CONF 85
17 MORE
side hustles with zero barrier to entry[AVOID]
2026-06-10WRG—CONF 85
TLT[AVOID]
2026-06-10PND+0.0%CONF 85
Indexed annuities[BUY]
2026-06-10Indexed annuities track the market without losing principal and can be a fit for a portfolio.
PND—CONF 85
Harvard education[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10Harvard's sheen could become as dated as dialup Internet.
WRG—CONF 60
Magnificent 7 stocks[AVOID]
2026-06-10The Magnificent 7 stocks are going to drag down the portfolio over time.
PND—CONF 85
XLV (Healthcare sector)[AVOID]
2026-06-10PND—CONF 85
IYV (Financial sector)[AVOID]
2026-06-10PND—CONF 85
IYV (Financial sector)[AVOID]
2026-06-10PRT—CONF 60
EWJ, UK, Korea (country markets)[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-06-10PND—CONF 85
GC=F[BUY]
2026-06-10PND+0.0%CONF 85
Semiconductor bottlenecks[BUY]
2026-06-10PND—CONF 85
Target date funds, preset portfolios[AVOID]
2026-06-10PRT—CONF 85
specific stocks[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-06-09PND—CONF 85
stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-09COR—CONF 60
specific sectors[SELL]
2026-06-09PND—CONF 85
AI hardware stocks[BUY]
2026-06-09If CPI trades as a non-event, it will create a dip buying opportunity for select AI hardware names.
PND—CONF 60
stock market[AVOID]
2026-06-09COR—CONF 85
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=2
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skilltiming issue
n=1
The majority of predictions are recent (June 2026) or still pending, making the current accuracy and alpha metrics highly preliminary and subject to change as more outcomes are realized over their stated time horizons.
oversimplification
n=1
Some of the guru's general macro claims, particularly those regarding long-term societal trends (e.g., impact of AI on education, feasibility of side hustles), are broad and may oversimplify complex realities, leading to 'partial' or 'wrong' scores in a binary outcome system.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdownGC=F—
stock market2100%
IYV (Financial sector)50%
specific stocks—
Target date funds50%