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P
PensionCraft
@pensioncraft · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 6 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
HYBRID
RISK
MODERA
TIER
PRELIM
PRED
38
GRADE
D
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=6
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=6 · SIG — · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
100
38 CALLS
α
50
+0.0%
CAL
95
BRIER
SNT
100
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
50
SHARPE
CRD
44
D
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE38
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/38
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
04-25US data center power demandUS data center power demand will grow to roughly 134 gigawatts by 2030.5+_YEARS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-25US data center power demandUS data center power demand is going to hit around 75 gigawatts by the end of 2026.1-2_YEARS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-22equitiesOver long holding periods, currency risk for equities largely washes out and is fairly manageable over decades, only adding a few percentage points to volatility.5+_YEARS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-18US inflationIn 2025 and 2026, tariffs are probably pushing US inflation up by half a percentage point or more, while also dragging on growth, and layering an energy shock on top would create conditions for stagflation.1-2_YEARS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-18economyIf the economy slows, jobs will become less secure.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-18economyWhen inflation comes from the supply side, raising interest rates crushes an already weak economy and kills growth.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-18UK economyThe UK is probably the worst positioned of any major economy.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-18US inflation, US economic growthTariffs in 2025 and 2026 are probably pushing US inflation up by half a percentage point or more, while simultaneously dragging on growth.1-2_YEARS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-18global economyIf an energy shock occurs on top of current conditions (tariffs, inflation, dragging growth), it would historically produce stagflation.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-18UK economyThe UK is probably the worst positioned of any major economy right now.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=2
timing issue
n=1
The analysis is based on a very limited number of scored predictions (6 out of 38 total), all made in a recent timeframe (March-April 2026). This preliminary data set makes it difficult to assess long-term performance and trend accuracy.
oversimplification
n=1
The 100% accuracy figure is based on a small sample size, which can be statistically misleading without a more extensive track record.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
GC=F—
Japan (economy)3100%
UK economy—
Japanese equities—
^GSPC1100%