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GURUSCOPEgurupeterschiff
›creator--idpeterschiff

Peter Schiff

@peterschiff · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 11 VERIFIED · 3M
CAT
NARRATIVE
Investing style category
RISK
SPECULATIVE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
PRELIMINARY
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
65
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
D-
Overall letter grade
D-
SIG — · n=11Statistical significance of results given sample size
42
36
0
RE-RUN AUDIT
UPDATED 2026-06-25
SCORECARD · n=11METHODOLOGY →
Accuracy
36
65 CALLS
Alpha
0
−10.6%
Calibration
72
BRIER
Sentiment
98
DRIFT
Risk
60
DOWNSIDE
Disclosure
0
0%
Survival
50
ARCHIVED
Risk-Adj
32
SHARPE
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
HIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TRAILING 12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all65
DELETED CONTENT · 0 ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS65 PREDICTIONS
US Jobs Report (March 2026 data)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-25

The reported 178,000 new jobs for March will be revised downward at least once, possibly multiple times, over the course of the next year or so.

PND—CONF 60
US economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-22

The United States is inevitably heading into a crisis from a position of weakness due to huge trade deficits, budget deficits, and being the world's biggest debtor nation.

PND—CONF 85
Strait of Hormuz[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-22

Although the MOU theoretically states that the Strait of Hormuz will reopen and a ceasefire will hold, whether it actually happens and to what extent remains to be seen.

PND—CONF 35
Markets[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-18

The markets are beginning to anticipate a significantly more hawkish Federal Reserve under the new Chairman, Kevin Warsh.

PND—CONF 60
US economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-13

The Federal Reserve is unable to win the fight against inflation, and as a result, an economic crisis is not far off.

PND—CONF 85
MSTR[AVOID]
2026-06-06

The company MicroStrategy (MSTR) will go bankrupt as part of a liquidation strategy before Bitcoin can achieve its potential.

COR−21.5%CONF 85
Inflation rate[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Inflation is currently headed upwards.

PND—CONF 85
Inflation rate[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The inflation rate will accelerate as President Trump's term progresses due to his economic policies.

PND—CONF 85
GC=F[BUY]
2026-06-05

Investors should buy more gold at its current price of $4,100 an ounce, rather than selling.

WRG−7.9%CONF 85
SI=F[BUY]
2026-06-05

Silver is positioned for a substantial short covering rally.

WRG−18.3%CONF 60
55 MORE
GC=F[BUY]
2026-06-05

The current upward movement in gold and silver marks the beginning of a significantly larger rally.

WRG−7.9%CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Gas prices will not remain at their current low levels for much longer.

PRT−21.4%CONF 60
General economy / Affordability[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Life will become more unaffordable under the Trump administration than it was under the Biden administration.

PND—CONF 85
Federal Reserve policy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The Federal Reserve will return to quantitative easing and will fund deficits with rate cuts.

PND—CONF 60
US government finances[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The United States will experience bigger government deficits.

PND—CONF 85
Precious metals[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The fundamental reasons supporting precious metals strength will become stronger in 2026.

PND—CONF 85
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

A bull market is underway for the entire precious metals complex, not just gold.

PRT−7.9%CONF 85
SI=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The upward movement in other precious metals (silver and platinum) is not yet over.

PRT−18.3%CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Gold will ultimately be necessary to bring stability to the markets.

PRT−7.9%CONF 60
USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

US gold reserves are going to be very important in bringing stability back to the dollar.

PRT−6.9%CONF 60
Economy (general)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The economy will go through a massive economic downturn with huge inflation before gold brings stability.

PND—CONF 60
Inflation rate[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The inflation problem will worsen as a direct consequence of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts.

PND—CONF 85
Inflation[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Inflation is going to be much more pernicious over the next few years than it was when Biden was president.

PND—CONF 60
US Economy / Fed Policy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The US will experience bigger government deficits, which the Fed will fund with rate cuts and a return to quantitative easing.

PRT—CONF 60
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Gold will ultimately be the sole means to bring stability to the markets.

PND−0.1%CONF 85
DX-Y.NYB[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Gold reserves will be very important in bringing stability back to the dollar.

PND+3.3%CONF 85
—[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The economy will experience a massive downturn with huge inflation before gold can bring stability.

WRG—CONF 85
—[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Trump will definitely succeed in appointing a Federal Reserve chairman who will implement easier monetary policy and lower interest rates.

WRG—CONF 85
—[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The current members of the Federal Reserve are not monetary policy hawks and therefore will not raise interest rates.

COR—CONF 85
US jobs report data[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The reported 178,000 new jobs for March will be revised down one or more times over the next year.

COR—CONF 60
GC=F[AVOID]
2026-06-05

Tether Gold is a superior asset to Bitcoin because it represents real gold, while Bitcoin represents nothing of intrinsic value.

PND−0.1%CONF 85
US Economy / Economic Data[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Current US economic data is inaccurate and highly skewed, leading to future revisions.

COR—CONF 60
Inflation / US Economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Inflation will be much more pernicious over the next few years than it was during the Biden presidency.

COR—CONF 85
US Economy / American Consumers[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

American consumers and the US economy will be the primary losers from tariffs imposed by the US government on European goods.

COR—CONF 85
GC=F[BUY]
2026-06-05

The gold stock market is a significant sector for investment, and listeners should be invested in it.

PND−0.1%CONF 85
US Economy / Affordability[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Life will become significantly more unaffordable under the Trump administration compared to the Biden administration.

PRT—CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Gas prices are not going to remain low for much longer.

PND−0.3%CONF 60
Inflation / US Economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The inflation rate will accelerate as Trump's term progresses due to his policies impacting prices.

COR—CONF 60
Fed Interest Rates[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates now is a significant mistake.

WRG—CONF 85
Inflation[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Inflation is currently too high and is headed higher.

COR—CONF 85
GC=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Gold prices at $4,000 indicate the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is too loose, and they should raise rates.

PND−0.1%CONF 85
Fed Quantitative Tightening / Balance Sheet[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The Federal Reserve is making a significant mistake by prematurely ending quantitative tightening while its balance sheet remains at $6.7 trillion.

COR—CONF 85
Inflation[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The existing inflation problem will worsen due to the Federal Reserve's rate cuts.

WRG—CONF 85
SI=F[BUY]
2026-06-05

Silver is poised for a huge short covering rally.

WRG−5.2%CONF 60
GC=F[BUY]
2026-06-05

The current strong performance of gold and silver is the beginning of a much larger upward movement for both metals.

PND−0.1%CONF 60
GC=F[BUY]
2026-06-05

Investors should buy more gold and silver at current high prices, rather than selling.

PND−0.1%CONF 85
TLT[AVOID]
2026-05-20

An 'accident' or crisis is imminent or will occur involving Japanese government bonds.

PND+2.0%CONF 85
Interest rates[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-20

Interest rates will eventually soar.

PRT—CONF 85
Global economy / US economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-20

A global fiscal crisis, where 'chickens are coming home to roost' due to sovereign debt, will occur, particularly in America.

WRG—CONF 85
US economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-20

A major fiscal crisis will occur during Donald Trump's presidency.

WRG—CONF 85
—[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-14

The economy is characterized by weakening growth and strengthening inflation, leading to stagflation, which is the Federal Reserve's worst nightmare.

WRG—CONF 85
PPI, CPI[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-14

The Producer Price Index (PPI) is a leading indicator, and the price trends observed in the PPI will subsequently be reflected in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

PRT—CONF 85
CPI[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-14

Trends in the Producer Price Index (PPI) are a leading indicator and will subsequently be reflected in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

PND—CONF 85
US Economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-14

The US economy is currently in a state of stagflation, characterized by a weakening economy and strengthening inflation, a situation the Fed has no policy tools to effectively address.

PRT—CONF 85
CPI[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-14

The Producer Price Index (PPI) is a leading indicator for the Consumer Price Index (CPI), meaning what is observed in the PPI will subsequently happen in the CPI.

PND—CONF 85
US economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-14

The US economy is facing stagflation with a weakening economy and strengthening inflation, and the Federal Reserve has no effective policy tools to deal with this situation.

COR—CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-18

The Strait of Hormuz reopening is temporary and not permanent as Trump claims.

PRT+7.1%CONF 60
global oil supply[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-18

The Straight of Hormuz will likely be closed again, contrary to Donald Trump's claim of it never closing again.

PND—CONF 60
US Economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-04

The US economy is not healthy when 43% of jobs are in healthcare.

PND—CONF 85
US Jobs Report[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-04

The reported 178,000 new jobs added in March will be revised down over the course of the next year or so.

PND—CONF 60
US Jobs Report[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-04

The reported 178,000 new jobs for March will be revised down at least once, possibly multiple times, over the next year or so.

PND—CONF 60
US Economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-04

An economy where 43% of new jobs are in healthcare is not a healthy or strong economy.

COR—CONF 85
US jobs report[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-04

The reported 178,000 new jobs for March will be revised downwards once or twice, possibly more, over the course of the next year or so.

PND—CONF 60
US economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-04

The US economy is not healthy when 43% of new jobs are created in healthcare.

PRT—CONF 60
US Jobs Report[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-04

The reported March jobs numbers will be revised down once or twice, possibly more, over the course of the next year or so.

COR—CONF 60
DEEP ANALYSIS · 1 CONFOUNDERS · 8 ASSETS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=1
timing issue
n=1
The majority of predictions are very recent (June 2026) with long time horizons (1-5+ years), leading to many 'pending' or 'partial' outcomes and a 'preliminary' assessment. This makes a definitive long-term accuracy evaluation difficult at this stage.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
GC=F225%
US economy1150%
SI=F217%
CL=F50%
Inflation1150%