GURUSCOPE
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›creator--idprojectoption
P

projectfinance

@projectoption · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 2 VERIFIED · < 1M
CAT
TECHNICAL
Investing style category
RISK
SPECULATIVE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
INSUFFICIENT
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
10
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
F
Overall letter grade
35
Credibility
Overall credibility across all dimensions
F
SIG — · n=2
Statistical significance of results given sample size
SCORECARD · n=2
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample size
Accuracy
0
10 CALLS
Percentage of predictions that were correct
Alpha
0
−24.4%
Returns above the S&P 500 benchmark
Calibration
86
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
How well stated confidence matches actual outcomes
Sentiment
100
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Consistency of bullish/bearish stance over time
Risk
50
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Awareness of downside scenarios and risk factors
Disclosure
0
0%
Transparency about holdings and conflicts of interest
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Honesty about past missed or failed predictions
Risk-Adj
27
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
Performance score adjusted for risk taken
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcomeHIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflicts
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all10
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS10 PREDICTIONS
Options strategies (general)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-15

Call spreads will be more profitable than buying naked call options 90% of the time.

COR—CONF 85
Options strategies (general)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-02

The iron condor option strategy has a high probability of profit when the underlying stock price trades within a specific chosen range.

COR—CONF 85
Implied volatility (NVDA options)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-27

Implied volatility related to Nvidia options could increase.

COR—CONF 60
Implied volatility (NVDA options)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-27

Implied volatility related to Nvidia options is unlikely to collapse if Nvidia's stock price goes higher.

COR—CONF 60
NVDA (implied volatility)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-27

Implied volatility for Nvidia options is likely to increase if Nvidia's stock price goes higher.

COR—CONF 60
NVDA 220c (May 2026)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-23

The Nvidia (NVDA) 220 strike call option for May 2026 expiration has a very high chance of expiring worthless in 23 days.

COR—CONF 85
NVDA (220 strike call option)[BUY]
2026-04-23

A hypothetical Nvidia 220 strike call option, sold with 23 days to expiration, has a very high probability of expiring worthless.

COR—CONF 85
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-04-17

Bitcoin can increase by 17% over the next two months.

WRG−23.9%CONF 60
IBIT[BUY]
2026-04-17

IBIT's stock price could go up to $48 within 63 days.

WRG−25.0%CONF 60
HOOD[HOLD]
2026-04-15

Robinhood's stock price will continue to run higher.

PND−1.7%CONF 60
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=3
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skill
timing issue
n=1
The analysis is based on a very limited number of market-timed predictions (only 2), making the 0% accuracy and negative alpha highly sensitive to individual outcomes and potentially unrepresentative of long-term performance.
oversimplification
n=1
The overall accuracy metric (0%) is largely influenced by including 'narrative' predictions that are foundational explanations of options strategies (100% correct) rather than actual market calls. This distinction is crucial as the guru performs well on explanations but poorly on direct market timing.
market conditions
n=1
The incorrect Bitcoin and IBIT buy calls occurred during a period where these specific assets experienced significant drawdowns, contributing to the negative alpha.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdown
Options strategies (general)2100%
Implied volatility (NVDA options)2100%
NVDA (implied volatility)1100%
NVDA 220c (May 2026)1100%
NVDA (220 strike call option)1100%