›creator—idrealvision—horizonALL—benchmarkSPY[F1] HELP · [F4] EXPORT · [⌘K] CMDS
RV
Real Vision
@realvision · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 3 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
HYBRID
RISK
SPECUL
TIER
INSUFF
PRED
8
GRADE
D-
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=3
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=3 · SIG — · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
100
8 CALLS
α
0
−16.1%
CAL
98
BRIER
SNT
100
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
42
SHARPE
CRD
37
D-
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE8
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/8
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
01-19Eurozone interest ratesEurozone inflation dipping below the ECB’s target reinforces expectations that the ECB will maintain steady interest rates.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
11-01BTCBitcoin will reach $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]COR−16.0%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin is breaking out and is targeting $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]COR−16.0%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin (BTC) is breaking out and will reach a target of $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]COR−16.3%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin is experiencing a breakout.UNSPECIFIED85[BUY]PND−16.2%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin will reach $95,000 before the end of 2024.MONTHS85[BUY]PND−16.2%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin (BTC) will reach a target of $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]PND−15.0%—---
11-01BTCBitcoin will reach a target of $95,000 before the end of the year.MONTHS85[BUY]PND−15.0%—---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=3
data cherry picking
n=1
The reported 100% accuracy is based on an extremely small sample size of only 3 scored predictions, which significantly limits its statistical validity and can be misleading about overall long-term performance.
timing issue
n=1
Despite predictions being marked 'correct', the average alpha is significantly negative (-16.07%), indicating that the asset returns did not outperform their benchmarks, suggesting potential issues with timing or magnitude of expected returns.
oversimplification
n=1
The presence of 'hype-based' emotional tones for aggressive price targets (e.g., $95k for BTC) in a volatile asset class like cryptocurrency can oversimplify the inherent risks involved for followers.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
BTC3100%
Eurozone interest rates—