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GURUSCOPEgururektcapital
›creator--idrektcapital

Rekt Capital

@rektcapital · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 32 VERIFIED · 4M
CAT
HYBRID
Investing style category
RISK
SPECULATIVE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
EVALUABLE
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
113
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
D
Overall letter grade
D
SIG — · n=32Statistical significance of results given sample size
43
53
0
RE-RUN AUDIT
UPDATED 2026-06-15
SCORECARD · n=32METHODOLOGY →
Accuracy
53
113 CALLS
Alpha
0
−11.9%
Calibration
79
BRIER
Sentiment
98
DRIFT
Risk
50
DOWNSIDE
Disclosure
0
0%
Survival
50
ARCHIVED
Risk-Adj
30
SHARPE
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
HIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TRAILING 12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all100
DELETED CONTENT · 0 ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS100 PREDICTIONS
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-15

Bitcoin's bull market peak year will be 2025.

PND—CONF 60
BTC-USD[AVOID]
2026-06-15

Bitcoin is currently in the process of transitioning into and continuing in a bearish acceleration phase.

PND—CONF 85
BTC-USD[SELL]
2026-06-15

93K is the level that will open up trend continuation towards the downside and trend downside acceleration for Bitcoin.

PND—CONF 85
BTC-USD[SELL]
2026-06-15

Losing 93K as support would trigger trend acceleration in the Bitcoin bear market, leading towards a bottoming out cluster.

PND—CONF 60
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-06-15

Bitcoin will relatively quickly reclaim 114K, ending current pullbacks.

PND—CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-15

Bitcoin could technically peak on December 31st, 2026.

PND—CONF 35
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-06-15

Bitcoin is probabilistically in a good position to weekly close above 114K and turn this level into a support.

PND—CONF 60
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-06-15

A weekly close above 111K (21-week EMA) and any retesting in the short term would be a positive signal to get Bitcoin's price back above 114K.

PND—CONF 60
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-06-15

Reclaiming 114K as support would position Bitcoin's price for a move towards 120K plus with scope for yet another higher high.

PND—CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-15

Bitcoin's cycle will not lengthen into 2026.

PND—CONF 60
90 MORE
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-15

Bitcoin will experience bear market acceleration in 2026.

PND—CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

In future Bitcoin cycles, the bear market bottom will occur approximately 500 days before the halving event, and the bull market peak will occur approximately 500 days after the halving event.

PND+3.9%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

The period from Bitcoin's bear market bottom to its next bull market peak will take approximately 1,000 days.

PND+3.9%CONF 60
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-06-10

Bitcoin will enter a bear market, from which it will bottom and then rally beyond the next halving event.

PND+3.9%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-08

Bitcoin's bear market should bottom time-wise in October.

PND+1.5%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Bitcoin price has a possibility of holding at a higher low around the 108k region.

PND+3.0%CONF 35
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

As the Bitcoin bull cycle progresses, subsequent corrective periods will become shallower and quicker to fit within the traditional halving cycle timeline.

PND+3.0%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Future pullbacks in Bitcoin's price during the final stages of the current cycle will be shallower in retracement depth and take less time.

PND+3.0%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The current bull market for Bitcoin is ending, and an upcoming bear market is anticipated.

PND+3.0%CONF 60
BTC-USD[BUY]
2026-06-05

Bitcoin is still in a bullish market structure and trend, making deeper pullbacks a premium buying opportunity.

PND+3.0%CONF 60
BTC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Bitcoin still has a little bit more upside in the current price discovery uptrend number two, potentially forming a continuation structure to reach higher levels.

PRT−2.4%CONF 60
BTC-USD[AVOID]
2026-06-05

2026 will be a year of bear market acceleration for Bitcoin.

PND−1.9%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The Bitcoin cycle lengthening theory is unlikely to result in a significantly longer cycle than historically observed.

PND−1.9%CONF 85
BTC-USD[AVOID]
2026-06-05

The logarithmic trend line acting as a resistance to Bitcoin's price action is progressively strengthening, indicating it is a strong supply area.

PND−1.9%CONF 60
BTC-USD[HOLD]
2026-06-05

The current support region for Bitcoin has strengthened after a second point of contact.

PND−1.9%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Bitcoin's cycle lengthening into 2026 is unlikely to occur.

PND−1.9%CONF 60
BTC[BUY]
2026-06-05

Bitcoin reclaiming 114K as support will position its price for a move towards 120K+ and potentially another higher high.

WRG−2.4%CONF 60
BTC[HOLD]
2026-06-05

In the final latter stages of the Bitcoin bull market, shallower pullbacks are typically expected.

PRT−2.4%CONF 60
BTC[HOLD]
2026-06-05

There is a possibility that Bitcoin will hold at a higher low around the 108K region.

PRT−2.4%CONF 35
BTC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Historical patterns and concepts will be useful in the upcoming Bitcoin bear market.

PRT−2.4%CONF 60
BTC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The current Bitcoin bull market will end.

PRT−2.4%CONF 60
BTC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

As Bitcoin progresses into the final stages of its cycle, corrective pullbacks will continue to be shallower and take less time.

PRT−2.4%CONF 60
BTC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The current Bitcoin price discovery correction number two will be a shorter and shallower corrective period.

PRT−2.4%CONF 85
BTC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

As the Bitcoin bull cycle progresses, corrective periods need to become shallower and quicker to fit within the traditional halving cycle.

PRT−2.4%CONF 60
BTC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The historical pattern of the PI cycle moving averages crossing to signal a Bitcoin bull market peak does not appear to be happening in the current cycle.

PRT−2.4%CONF 60
BTC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The current divergence in Bitcoin's PI cycle moving averages is not a good signal for timing a bull market peak.

PRT−2.4%CONF 60
BTC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Bitcoin markets may be showing smaller deviations beyond the green moving average due to maturation and diminishing returns.

PRT−2.4%CONF 35
BTC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Bitcoin is currently in its second price discovery uptrend of this cycle.

PRT−2.4%CONF 85
BTC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Bitcoin's buy-side momentum in the current uptrend might slow down earlier than the historical 6-8 week pattern.

PRT−2.4%CONF 60
BTC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Bitcoin will likely enter a sideways range with downside deviations at the end of the current price discovery uptrend number two.

PRT−2.4%CONF 60
BTC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Bitcoin's buy-side momentum will likely wane following its current potential upside.

PRT−2.4%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The Bitcoin PI cycle top crossover is expected to occur in November 2026.

PND−1.9%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The Bitcoin PI cycle top crossover date will continue to advance (get closer to the present) if Bitcoin continues to rally.

PND−1.9%CONF 85
Altcoins[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Altcoins are currently increasing in their valuations while Bitcoin is moving sideways.

PND—CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-04

The next downward move for Bitcoin will be of a lesser magnitude than previous downward movements.

PND−2.6%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-04

Bitcoin will follow the typical bear market pattern, breaking down from the macro triangle, rebounding briefly from the 50-month EMA, and then ultimately breaking down from the 50-month EMA.

PND−2.6%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-04

The upcoming price move (after the current breakdown) will be of a lesser magnitude than previous moves seen.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-04

Bitcoin is on the cusp of a breakdown below the 50-month EMA.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-04

In every Bitcoin bear market, after breaking down from the macro triangle and a brief rebound from the 50-month EMA, Bitcoin will ultimately break down from the 50-month EMA.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-04

The reaction bounce following the current breakdown in Bitcoin's cycle will take a few good months.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-13

Bitcoin, as a maturing asset, will continue to experience diminishing returns to the upside.

PRT−24.1%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-13

Bitcoin bear market retracements will continue to be shallower over time as part of a maturing asset.

PRT−24.1%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-13

As Bitcoin matures, it will exhibit diminishing returns to the upside and shallower bear markets.

PRT−22.5%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-13

Bitcoin, as a maturing asset, is expected to experience diminishing returns to the upside and shallower bear markets in the future.

PND−4.0%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-13

Bitcoin, as a maturing asset, will continue to experience shallower bear markets.

PND−0.6%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-11

The Bitcoin 4-year cycle is not over and has not been changed forever.

PRT−25.4%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-11

The Bitcoin 4-year cycle is not over and remains a valid framework for predicting market peaks, as evidenced by the October 2025 bull market peak aligning with historical tendencies.

PND−2.5%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-08

The current rally for Bitcoin will be a lot lesser than the magnitude of the rally seen in 2024.

PRT−20.8%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-08

Bitcoin will transition into a cluster beneath the 50-month moving average.

PRT−20.8%CONF 60
BTC-USD[AVOID]
2026-05-08

Bitcoin will lose the 50-month EMA as support and then turn it into resistance.

COR−20.8%CONF 60
BTC-USD[AVOID]
2026-05-08

Bitcoin's current rebound is going to be limited.

COR−20.8%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-08

The 50-month EMA is probably weakening as a region of support for Bitcoin.

PRT−24.5%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-08

Bitcoin's current rebound from the 50-month EMA will be limited, followed by losing the 50-month EMA as support, turning it into resistance, and then transitioning into a cluster beneath it.

PRT−24.5%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-08

If Bitcoin rejects from the macro downtrend and macro triangle base, the current rally's magnitude will be much lesser than the 2024 rally.

PRT−24.5%CONF 60
BTC-USD[AVOID]
2026-05-08

The current Bitcoin rally will be weaker in magnitude compared to the rally seen in 2024, assuming a rejection from the macro downtrend and macro triangle base.

PND−0.1%CONF 60
BTC-USD[AVOID]
2026-05-08

Bitcoin's current rebound will be limited, leading to a loss of the 50-month Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as support, which will then turn into resistance, causing a transition into a cluster beneath the 50-month moving average.

PND−0.1%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-07

Bitcoin's current cycle is characterized by weakening buy-side pressure, evidenced by progressively lesser rebounds from historical demand areas.

PND−1.3%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

The current Bitcoin bear market is halfway through, suggesting it will last approximately another six months to reach its bottom, based on historical averages of one year from bull market top.

PRT−17.3%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

Bitcoin's current bear market is approximately halfway through its duration, suggesting a bear market bottom is still several months away.

PRT−21.4%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

Bitcoin's price action will continue to be 'unkind' following the bull market EMA crossover, eventually leading to a bear market bottom.

PND+3.0%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

The current Bitcoin bear market is approximately halfway through its expected duration.

PND+3.0%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

Each bull market EMA crossover event will eventually lead to a Bitcoin bare market bottom.

PND+2.7%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

Bitcoin bare markets typically last between one year and just over one year from the bull market top to the bare market bottom.

PND+2.7%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-20

Bitcoin is currently halfway through its bear market cycle.

PND+2.7%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

A monthly close below the macro triangle base indicates that Bitcoin is transitioning into a bearish acceleration phase going forward.

PRT−23.9%CONF 60
BTC-USD[AVOID]
2026-02-05

There is little upside left for Bitcoin in the near term following a recent 20% rally.

PND+0.8%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

Bitcoin's market is currently transitioning into and will continue to experience bearish acceleration, driven by a monthly close below a macro descending triangle base and an EMA crossover.

PND+0.8%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

The bases of macro descending triangles will weaken over time, producing progressively weaker rebounds before collapsing.

PND+0.6%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

Whenever bull market EMAs (21-week green and 50-week purple) cross over, downside in price action tends to occur.

PND+0.6%CONF 85
BTC-USD[AVOID]
2026-02-05

A monthly close below the base of the triangle typically means a transition into bearish acceleration.

PND+0.6%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

Relief rallies that showcase weakness will translate into bearish acceleration in the market cycle.

PND+0.6%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

Bitcoin's four-year cycles from peak to peak roughly last 1,000 days (plus/minus 30 days).

PND+0.6%CONF 60
unspecified[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

A monthly close below the base of the triangle means the market will transition into bearish acceleration going forward.

PND—CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

The current price action for Bitcoin (being in the 60s from 90k) was inevitable when considering its four-year cycles.

PRT+2.1%CONF 85
unspecified[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

Crossovers of the 21-week and 50-week EMAs tend to result in downside in the market.

PND—CONF 60
unspecified[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

There was generally little upside left in the 20% rally after most of it had taken place.

PND—CONF 60
unspecified[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

Over time, relief rallies showcasing weakness will translate into bearish acceleration in the market cycle.

PND—CONF 85
unspecified[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

The base of the macro descending triangle would precede a macro lower high and a weaker rebound in the market.

PND—CONF 60
unspecified[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

A 20% rally or so would take place from November 2022 to late January 2023.

PND—CONF 60
BTC-USD[AVOID]
2026-02-05

Bitcoin price will experience downside due to the EMA crossover.

PND+0.5%CONF 60
BTC-USD[AVOID]
2026-02-05

Bitcoin is transitioning into a bearish acceleration phase.

PND+0.5%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

Crossovers in the 21-week green EMA and the 50-week purple EMA for Bitcoin tend to result in downside in price action.

PND+2.0%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

There is generally little upside left in the recent rally for Bitcoin.

PND+2.0%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

The base in the macro descending triangle was going to precede a macro lower high and a weaker rebound for Bitcoin.

PND+2.0%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

A monthly close below the base of the triangle for Bitcoin means a transition into bearish acceleration going forward.

PND+2.0%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

The market will transition into bearish acceleration going forward, a process currently in progress, following the monthly close below the base of the triangle.

PND−2.1%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

Downside in Bitcoin's price action tends to manifest shortly after EMA crossovers, which is currently taking place.

PND−2.1%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-05

The market, specifically Bitcoin, will transition into bearish acceleration going forward.

PND−2.1%CONF 85
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-02

Bitcoin is dangerously close to transitioning into the bearish acceleration phase of its current cycle after dipping below the macro descending triangle's base.

PRT−26.7%CONF 60
BTC-USD[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-02

If Bitcoin continues to exhibit lesser rebounds, then its support level may very well lapse in the future.

PND−3.3%CONF 60
DEEP ANALYSIS · 1 CONFOUNDERS · 4 ASSETS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=1
timing issue
n=1
Many predictions, particularly those with longer time horizons (e.g., 'months,' '1-2 years,' '5+ years'), have been verified extremely quickly (within days or weeks of the prediction date). This premature verification for long-term outlooks can significantly distort the reported accuracy and alpha, as the full impact of the predictions has not yet manifested.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
BTC-USD256%
BTC147%
unspecified—
Altcoins—