›creator—idrektcapital—horizonALL—benchmarkSPY[F1] HELP · [F4] EXPORT · [⌘K] CMDS
RC
Rekt Capital
@rektcapital · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 7 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
TECHNI
RISK
SPECUL
TIER
PRELIM
PRED
48
GRADE
D-
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=7
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=7 · SIG 99.1% · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
93
48 CALLS
α
0
−10.3%
CAL
93
BRIER
SNT
100
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
43
SHARPE
CRD
37
D-
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE48
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/48
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
04-20BTC-USDBitcoin's price action will continue to be 'unkind' following the bull market EMA crossover, eventually leading to a bear market bottom.MONTHS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+3.0%—---
04-20BTC-USDThe current Bitcoin bear market is approximately halfway through its expected duration.MONTHS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+3.0%—---
04-20BTC-USDBitcoin is currently halfway through its bear market cycle.MONTHS85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+2.7%—---
04-20BTC-USDEach bull market EMA crossover event will eventually lead to a Bitcoin bare market bottom.1-2_YEARS85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+2.7%—---
04-20BTC-USDBitcoin bare markets typically last between one year and just over one year from the bull market top to the bare market bottom.1-2_YEARS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+2.7%—---
02-05BTC-USDBitcoin's market is currently transitioning into and will continue to experience bearish acceleration, driven by a monthly close below a macro descending triangle base and an EMA crossover.MONTHS85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.8%—---
02-05BTC-USDThere is little upside left for Bitcoin in the near term following a recent 20% rally.WEEKS60[AVOID]PND+0.8%—---
02-05BTC-USDThe bases of macro descending triangles will weaken over time, producing progressively weaker rebounds before collapsing.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.6%—---
02-05BTC-USDA monthly close below the base of the triangle typically means a transition into bearish acceleration.MONTHS85[AVOID]PND+0.6%—---
02-05BTC-USDWhenever bull market EMAs (21-week green and 50-week purple) cross over, downside in price action tends to occur.WEEKS85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.6%—---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=2
timing issue
n=1
The majority of predictions are recent or pending, making the current accuracy and alpha metrics preliminary and subject to change as more outcomes are verified.
benchmark flattery
n=1
The negative average alpha suggests that while directional calls may be accurate, the chosen benchmark for Bitcoin often outperformed the asset itself during the prediction periods, possibly indicating missed opportunities or sub-optimal timing for maximum gains.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
BTC-USD283%
BTC4100%
unspecified—