GURUSCOPE
guruscopegurusashayanshin
›creator--idsashayanshin
SY

Sasha Yanshin

@sashayanshin · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 20 VERIFIED · 7M
CAT
HYBRID
Investing style category
RISK
MODERATE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
EVALUABLE
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
93
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
B-
Overall letter grade
58
Credibility
Overall credibility across all dimensions
B-
SIG ✓ · n=20
Statistical significance of results given sample size
SCORECARD · n=20
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample size
Accuracy
45
93 CALLS
Percentage of predictions that were correct
Alpha
100
+12.6%
Returns above the S&P 500 benchmark
Calibration
79
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
How well stated confidence matches actual outcomes
Sentiment
100
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Consistency of bullish/bearish stance over time
Risk
50
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Awareness of downside scenarios and risk factors
Disclosure
0
0%
Transparency about holdings and conflicts of interest
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Honesty about past missed or failed predictions
Risk-Adj
72
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
Performance score adjusted for risk taken
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcomeHIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflicts
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all93
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS93 PREDICTIONS
Apple[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-04

Apple Intelligence has broken Siri's record for the most useless innovation in history.

COR—CONF 85
Amazon[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-15

Amazon's free cash flow will become negative in 2026 because its profits are not expected to increase by 50% year-on-year while capital expenditures rise significantly.

COR—CONF 60
AMZN[AVOID]
2026-02-15

Amazon's free cash flow will become negative in 2026 because its profits will not increase by 50% year-on-year to match its planned capital expenditure growth.

WRG+21.5%CONF 85
AMZN[AVOID]
2026-02-15

Amazon will continue to borrow money to finance its high capital expenditures, leading to further financial strain.

WRG+21.5%CONF 85
AMZN[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-15

Amazon will continue to borrow money to finance data center expenditures.

PRT+23.2%CONF 60
AMZN[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-15

Amazon's profits are not going to increase by 50% year-on-year in 2026.

PRT+23.2%CONF 85
Amazon (AMZN)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-15

Amazon's free cash flow will become negative in 2026 because their profits are not expected to increase by 50% year-on-year to match their capital expenditures.

COR—CONF 60
RAM[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-15

The cost of 64 GB of RAM, according to Amazon's own price tracker, is approximately three times as expensive as it was just 3 months ago.

PND—CONF 85
AMZN[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-15

Amazon's free cash flow will become negative in 2026 because profits are not expected to increase by 50% year-on-year.

PRT+19.5%CONF 85
AMZN[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-15

Amazon plans to spend $200 billion on capital expenditures in 2026.

PRT+19.5%CONF 60
83 MORE
AMZN[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-15

Amazon needs to borrow money to finance expenditure on data centers that they cannot otherwise afford.

PRT+19.5%CONF 85
AMZN[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-15

Amazon is actively burning money on a net basis, with more money leaving the company's bank account than arriving.

PRT+19.5%CONF 85
AMZN[AVOID]
2026-02-15

Amazon's free cash flow will become negative in 2026 if they proceed with their announced $200 billion capital expenditure plan, as profits will not increase proportionally.

WRG+20.4%CONF 60
AMZN[AVOID]
2026-02-15

Amazon will continue to burn money and needs to borrow to finance its data center expenditures.

WRG+20.4%CONF 85
AMZN[AVOID]
2026-02-15

Amazon's free cash flow will become negative in 2026.

WRG+21.2%CONF 85
RAM[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-15

Prices for virtual memory (RAM) used in data centers will continue to be approximately three times as expensive as they were three months ago due to high demand.

PND—CONF 60
AMZN[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-15

Amazon's free cash flow will become negative in 2026 if they proceed with their $200 billion capital expenditure plan.

PRT+20.9%CONF 85
AMZN[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-15

Amazon will need to borrow money to finance its expenditures on data centers that it cannot otherwise afford.

PRT+20.9%CONF 60
AMZN[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-15

Amazon profits are not going to increase by 50% year-on-year in 2026.

PRT+20.9%CONF 85
RAM[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-02-15

Prices for computer RAM (virtual memory) will continue to increase rapidly due to high demand from data centers.

PND—CONF 60
Amazon[AVOID]
2026-02-15

Amazon will continue to borrow money to finance its capital expenditures, indicating a struggle to afford them and a shift from a 'money printing machine' to a company in need of debt.

COR—CONF 60
Amazon[AVOID]
2026-02-15

Amazon's free cash flow will turn negative in 2026 due to increased capital expenditures, as its profits are not expected to increase proportionally.

PND—CONF 60
ChatGPT[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-01-25

Contrary to OpenAI's claims, ChatGPT ads will likely influence responses or benefit commercially from user conversations, similar to how Google's ad promises evolved.

COR—CONF 60
ChatGPT[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-01-25

Users will get very annoyed very quickly once ChatGPT becomes riddled with ads, potentially harming its business model.

PND—CONF 60
ChatGPT[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-01-25

Users will become very annoyed very quickly once ChatGPT implements ads in its free and go tiers.

PND—CONF 85
ChatGPT[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-01-25

ChatGPT users are going to get very annoyed very quickly once the service becomes riddled with ads.

PND—CONF 85
ChatGPT[AVOID]
2026-01-25

Conversations in ChatGPT will not be private from advertisers, contrary to OpenAI's statements.

WRG—CONF 60
AI models[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-01-25

Users will refuse to pay to use AI models.

COR—CONF 85
AI companies[AVOID]
2026-01-25

AI companies will not make any profits, and their losses are only getting worse.

PND—CONF 85
ChatGPT[AVOID]
2026-01-25

Responses in ChatGPT will be influenced by ads, contrary to OpenAI's statements.

WRG—CONF 60
ChatGPT[AVOID]
2026-01-25

Users will become very annoyed with ChatGPT very quickly once it becomes riddled with ads.

PND—CONF 85
AI Sector[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-01-25

Existing investors are now refusing to give AI companies even more money than they already have.

PND—CONF 85
OpenAI (ChatGPT)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-01-25

The claims that responses in ChatGPT will not be influenced by ads and that conversations will be private from advertisers are untrustworthy, reflecting how Google's similar claims turned out.

PND—CONF 85
OpenAI (ChatGPT)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-01-25

The moment ChatGPT becomes riddled with ads, users are going to get very annoyed very quickly.

PND—CONF 85
OpenAI (ChatGPT)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-01-25

OpenAI has announced that in the coming weeks they plan to start testing ads in ChatGPT free and go tiers.

PND—CONF 85
OpenAI[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-01-25

Three years after ChatGPT arrived, there is still no viable commercial model for OpenAI, none of them are making any profits, and losses are only getting worse.

PND—CONF 85
AI Sector[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-01-25

AI companies have started running out of money and things now seem pretty desperate.

PND—CONF 85
AI Sector[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-01-25

The users that use these products are refusing to pay to use AI models.

PND—CONF 85
OpenAI[AVOID]
2026-01-25

AI companies, specifically OpenAI, will continue to run out of money and face profitability issues due to lack of a viable commercial model and existing investors refusing more funding.

PND—CONF 85
OpenAI (ChatGPT)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-01-25

OpenAI's plan to implement ads in ChatGPT will likely lead to ads influencing responses and compromise user conversation privacy, similar to past issues with Google's ad model.

PND—CONF 60
OpenAI[AVOID]
2026-01-25

Chat GPT conversations will not remain private from advertisers or independent from ads, despite OpenAI's claims.

PND—CONF 85
OpenAI[AVOID]
2026-01-25

Chat GPT responses will be influenced by ads despite OpenAI's claims of independence.

PND—CONF 85
OpenAI[AVOID]
2026-01-25

User conversations with Chat GPT will not be private from advertisers, despite OpenAI's claim.

WRG—CONF 85
OpenAI[AVOID]
2026-01-25

Responses in Chat GPT will be influenced by ads, despite OpenAI's claim of independence.

WRG—CONF 85
OpenAI[AVOID]
2026-01-25

The moment Chat GPT becomes riddled with ads, users are going to get very annoyed very quickly.

PRT—CONF 85
OpenAI[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-01-25

OpenAI will start testing ads in Chat GPT free and go tiers in the coming weeks.

COR—CONF 85
AI companies[AVOID]
2026-01-25

AI companies, including OpenAI, are not making any profits and their losses are only getting worse.

PND—CONF 85
AI companies (sector)[AVOID]
2026-01-25

AI companies will struggle to find new investors for funding because existing investors are becoming reluctant to provide more capital after previous large investments.

PND—CONF 60
ChatGPT[AVOID]
2026-01-25

The introduction of ads into ChatGPT will quickly annoy users, potentially leading to user dissatisfaction and decreased engagement, similar to Google's historical experience with ads.

PND—CONF 60
computer components (RAM)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

Prices for computer components, specifically RAM, are continuing to go up very fast.

COR—CONF 60
AI Infrastructure[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

Building large city-sized data centers in space by tech companies like Oracle, Google, and Amazon will not be a cheaper or easier solution for their AI infrastructure needs.

COR—CONF 85
ORCL[AVOID]
2025-12-21

Investing in AI is really expensive and doesn't make any money for companies like Oracle.

PND−10.4%CONF 85
NVDA, AI data center components[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

Companies like Google, Microsoft, Facebook, Twitter, and others will continue buying up millions of Nvidia GB200 Blackwell graphics cards per quarter.

COR—CONF 85
ORCL[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

Oracle's spend on data centers will continue to be financed by building up a giant pile of debt, not by profits.

PND−10.4%CONF 85
GOOG, AMZN, AI companies[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

Building large city-sized data centers in space will not be cheaper and easier for companies like Google and Amazon.

COR—CONF 85
RAM[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

Computer component prices, specifically RAM, will continue to go up very fast.

PND—CONF 85
RAM[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

Prices for computer components, specifically RAM, will continue to go up very fast.

PND—CONF 85
AI Sector[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

According to the CEOs of Google, Amazon, and Oracle, building large city-sized data centers in space will 100% definitely for sure be much cheaper and much easier.

PND—CONF 35
RAM[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

Computer component prices, particularly RAM, have shot up recently and are continuing to go up very fast.

PND—CONF 85
RAM manufacturers[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron are the only three major manufacturers producing over 93% of all RAM used worldwide.

PND—CONF 85
ORCL[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

Oracle stock collapsed another 15% after already falling 30% in the four weeks before, due to investors realizing that investing in AI is expensive and unprofitable.

PRT−13.8%CONF 85
ORCL[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

Oracle's spending on building out data centers has increased by 227% in the last year, now constituting over two-thirds of their total revenue, and this expenditure is financed by building up a giant pile of debt, not by profits.

PRT−13.8%CONF 85
ORCL[AVOID]
2025-12-21

Oracle stock will continue to be negatively impacted by expensive AI investments and growing debt, as these expenditures are not yet profitable.

COR−15.3%CONF 85
RAM[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

Prices for RAM and computer components will continue to go up very fast due to high demand from AI data centers and limited manufacturers.

PND—CONF 85
ORCL[AVOID]
2025-12-21

Oracle, Google, and Amazon's plans to build data centers in space will not be cheaper or easier than terrestrial solutions.

COR−12.5%CONF 85
NVDA[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

Companies like Google, Microsoft, Facebook, and Twitter are queuing up to buy approximately a million Nvidia GB200 Blackwell graphics cards per quarter.

PRT+6.2%CONF 85
RAM[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

There is infinite money ready and available to buy up all of the RAM, exacerbating price increases.

PND—CONF 85
RAM[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

Computer component prices, specifically RAM, are continuing to go up very fast.

PND—CONF 85
ORCL, GOOG, AMZN[AVOID]
2025-12-21

Building large city-sized data centers in space will not be much cheaper or easier for companies like Oracle, Google, and Amazon.

COR—CONF 85
AI companies[AVOID]
2025-12-21

Investing in AI is really expensive and doesn't make any money, which is why Oracle stock collapsed.

PND—CONF 85
Oracle[AVOID]
2025-12-21

Oracle will continue to accumulate significant debt to finance its expensive data center build-out for AI, as this spend is not financed by profits.

COR—CONF 60
RAM[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

The prices for computer components, specifically RAM, will continue to go up very fast due to high demand from AI data centers and limited manufacturers.

PND—CONF 85
Technology infrastructure / AI development[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-12-21

The idea that building large, city-sized data centers in space will be 'much much cheaper and much much easier' than on Earth, as claimed by CEOs, is unrealistic and will not materialize as a viable cost-saving solution.

COR—CONF 85
AI sector / Oracle[AVOID]
2025-12-21

Investing in AI is currently very expensive and is not generating profits, which has led to negative investor sentiment for companies like Oracle and will continue to impact stock performance.

COR—CONF 85
stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-11-09

The overall stock market is currently expensive.

COR—CONF 60
popular tech stocks[AVOID]
2025-11-09

Many popular tech stocks are currently severely overvalued due to retail investor frenzy.

COR—CONF 60
popular tech stocks[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-11-09

Most popular tech stocks currently have insane and severely overvalued valuations.

COR—CONF 85
OpenAI[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-11-09

OpenAI asked the US government for a bailout after running out of money again.

PND—CONF 85
GMED[BUY]
2025-11-09

The guru has been investing in Globus Medical (GMED) recently.

COR+8.1%CONF 60
popular tech stocks[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-11-09

Wall Street is looking at the frenzy from the sidelines and marking most popular tech companies as severely overvalued.

PND—CONF 85
popular tech stocks[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-11-09

Retail investors are tripping over each other, buying up popular tech stocks with insane valuations because they believe these companies are the future and are undervalued.

PND—CONF 85
OpenAI[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-11-09

OpenAI lost approximately $12.6 billion in the most recent quarter, inferred from Microsoft's reported losses on its equity investment.

PND—CONF 85
OpenAI[AVOID]
2025-11-09

OpenAI will continue to run out of money and require bailouts or further investor funding to cover its massive losses.

PND—CONF 85
Popular tech stocks[AVOID]
2025-11-09

Many popular tech stocks and AI companies are severely overvalued, particularly by retail investors, contrasting with Wall Street's assessment.

PND—CONF 85
stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2025-11-09

The general stock market is expensive, making it hard to find good investment opportunities.

PND—CONF 60
Tech stocks[AVOID]
2025-11-09

Many popular tech stocks currently have 'insane valuations' and are overvalued due to retail investor frenzy.

PND—CONF 85
Investing Pro (service)[BUY]
2025-11-09

Investing Pro by Investing.com is a really useful tool for identifying investment opportunities, especially when the stock market is expensive.

PND—CONF 85
OpenAI[AVOID]
2025-11-09

OpenAI has run out of money again and will require a bailout from the US government to continue its operations.

WRG—CONF 85
Popular tech stocks (sector)[AVOID]
2025-11-09

Most popular tech stocks are currently severely overvalued by Wall Street, despite retail investors enthusiastically buying them up based on future potential.

PND—CONF 85
AMD, NVDA, ORCL, Open AI[AVOID]
2025-10-11

The described financial transactions between Open AI, AMD, Nvidia, and Oracle are a form of illegal round-tripping fraud designed to artificially inflate their valuations and stock prices.

PND—CONF 85
Open AI, AMD, NVDA, ORCL[AVOID]
2025-10-11

Open AI, AMD, Nvidia, and Oracle are engaging in illegal round-tripping practices to artificially inflate their valuations.

PND—CONF 85
Open AI, AMD, NVDA, ORCL[AVOID]
2025-10-11

Open AI, AMD, Nvidia, and Oracle are engaged in illegal round-tripping practices to artificially inflate their valuations.

PND—CONF 85
AMD, NVDA, ORCL[AVOID]
2025-10-11

The stock prices of AMD, Nvidia, and Oracle are artificially pumped due to their engagement in illegal round-tripping practices with OpenAI to inflate their market valuations.

WRG—CONF 85
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=2
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skill
timing issue
n=1
A significant number of predictions (48 out of 93 total predictions) are still pending outcomes, which could substantially alter the overall accuracy and other metrics upon resolution. The current accuracy is based on a limited subset of resolved predictions.
oversimplification
n=1
The overall accuracy metric of 45.0% masks a significant difference between the 100% accuracy for narrative-driven general macro calls and the 45.0% accuracy for market-scored predictions, potentially oversimplifying the guru's predictive strengths.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdown
AMZN532%
OpenAI1330%
RAM—
ChatGPT1233%
ORCL275%