›creator—idstockmoe—horizonALL—benchmarkSPY[F1] HELP · [F4] EXPORT · [⌘K] CMDS
SM
Stock Moe
@stockmoe · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 20 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
HYBRID
RISK
SPECUL
TIER
EVALUA
PRED
61
GRADE
C-
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=20
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=20 · SIG 2.6% · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
82
61 CALLS
α
50
+0.1%
CAL
84
BRIER
SNT
100
DRIFT
RSK
25
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
50
SHARPE
CRD
46
C-
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE61
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/61
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
04-29BTC-USDThe ethics provisions will become an issue for the Clarity Act after other hard issues are resolved.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.0%—---
04-29Crypto bill / Clarity ActSenator Tillis's actions regarding ethics provisions will create a new roadblock for the crypto bill.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-28BTC-USDIf the Clarity Act markup vote is not ready by May, it will be delayed until November or December.MONTHS85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND−0.8%—---
04-28BTC-USDIf the Clarity Act does not pass in December, it will be delayed for years because a new Congress would require restarting the legislative process.5+_YEARS85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND−0.8%—---
04-27XRPIf XRP breaks and confirms above 145, it will retest the 147 to 148 price range.WEEKS85[BUY]PND−0.3%—---
04-27XRPXRP's price will break much higher than its current candle within three time units (likely days).WEEKS85[BUY]PND−0.3%—---
04-27XRPXRP's current upward price movement is just beginning and has further potential for significant gains.MONTHS60[BUY]PND−0.3%—---
04-27XRPIf XRP breaks above the 147-148 range, its short-term price will go above 151.WEEKS85[BUY]PND−0.3%—---
04-27XRPXRP is currently bouncing off a specific support line as previously predicted.INTRADAY85[BUY]PND−0.3%—---
04-26XRPXRP's price will continue its upward movement going forward, even after initial announcements.MONTHS85[BUY]PND−0.3%—---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=2
timing issue
n=1
Some 'correct' Bitcoin predictions showed significant negative alpha relative to the benchmark, indicating poor entry/exit timing or underperformance compared to a simple buy-and-hold strategy for the benchmark asset.
oversimplification
n=1
The prediction that 'trillions of institutional money will pour into the crypto sector' upon the Clarity Act's passage was incorrect, suggesting an oversimplified view of market response to complex legislation.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
XRP693%
Clarity Act2167%
BTC3100%
BTC-USD50%
Clarity Act (US Senate)2100%