GURUSCOPE
guruscopegurustockmoe
creator--idstockmoe
SM

Stock Moe

@stockmoe · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 13 VERIFIED · 2M
CAT
HYBRID
Investing style category
RISK
SPECULATIVE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
PRELIMINARY
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
104
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
D
Overall letter grade
47
Credibility
Overall credibility across all dimensions
D
SIG — · n=13
Statistical significance of results given sample size
SCORECARD · n=13
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample size
Accuracy
69
104 CALLS
Percentage of predictions that were correct
Alpha
53
+0.6%
Returns above the S&P 500 benchmark
Calibration
78
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
How well stated confidence matches actual outcomes
Sentiment
98
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Consistency of bullish/bearish stance over time
Risk
50
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Awareness of downside scenarios and risk factors
Disclosure
0
0%
Transparency about holdings and conflicts of interest
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Honesty about past missed or failed predictions
Risk-Adj
55
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
Performance score adjusted for risk taken
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcome
HIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflicts
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all100
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS100 PREDICTIONS
90 MORE
Crypto bill ethics guard rails[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-13

The ethics guard rails for the crypto bill will not be agreed upon before the markup vote.

CORCONF 60
Clarity Act markup vote[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-13

The Clarity Act markup vote may go 13-11 along party lines.

CORCONF 60
US crypto regulation[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-13

The codification of crypto laws in the United States will be completed by August.

CORCONF 60
US crypto regulation[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-13

The clarity markup vote will succeed on Thursday.

CORCONF 60
Clarity Act[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-12

The odds of the full Clarity Act passing are continuing to go higher.

CORCONF 60
Clarity Act (legislative event)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-12

The Clarity Act's markup vote might be defeated due to massive lobbying efforts from banks.

WRGCONF 60
Clarity Act (legislative event)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-12

The odds of the full Clarity Act passing are continuing to increase.

CORCONF 60
XRP[BUY]
2026-04-17

XRP will reach $10 a piece.

PND−3.2%CONF 60
XRP[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-17

XRP will not reach $10 overnight.

PND−3.2%CONF 85
XRP[BUY]
2026-04-17

XRP's price will reach $10.

PND+0.6%CONF 85
Crypto market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-16

The market is currently experiencing a significant upward trend.

PNDCONF 85
Clarity Act[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-16

The probability of the Clarity Act passing has increased to 65%.

PNDCONF 60
Clarity Act (US Senate)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-12

The Clarity Act could be announced in the US Senate as soon as this week.

PNDCONF 60
Clarity Act (US Senate)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-11

If the Clarity Act does not pass now, it risks a 4-year delay.

CORCONF 60
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=2
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skill
timing issue
n=1
The evaluation period is relatively short (April-June 2026), with a 'preliminary' status and many pending predictions (63 out of 104 total), which might not fully represent long-term performance or a complete track record.
oversimplification
n=1
A high concentration of predictions is tied to a single, complex legislative event (the Clarity Act), potentially oversimplifying market dynamics and creating concentrated exposure to unpredictable political outcomes.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdown
XRP693%
Clarity Act5269%
BTC-USD140%
Echoar3100%
Clarity Act (legislative event)1233%