›creator—idtastyliveshow—horizonALL—benchmarkSPY[F1] HELP · [F4] EXPORT · [⌘K] CMDS
T
tastylive
@tastyliveshow · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 4 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
HYBRID
RISK
AGGRES
TIER
INSUFF
PRED
24
GRADE
D-
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=4
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=4 · SIG — · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
100
24 CALLS
α
0
−15.6%
CAL
98
BRIER
SNT
100
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
42
SHARPE
CRD
37
D-
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE24
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/24
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
04-21Tech stocksStretched expectations for expensive tech leaders will bring about wider dispersion in market performance.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-21AI sectorMarkets will become less interested in the narrative and more focused on the execution of AI spending.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-21CL=FVolatility in crude oil, gold, and silver will continue to calm down.WEEKS60[HOLD]PND+0.0%—---
04-21Global economySupply chains are not normalizing anytime soon.MONTHS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-21MarketThe next leg higher in the market may require identifying where true profits come from, favoring stock pickers over broader index exposure.UNSPECIFIED60[SECTOR_ROTATION]PND——---
04-18AllbirdsAllbirds does not have the capital to successfully pivot into AI infrastructure.5+_YEARS60[AVOID]PND——---
04-18Allbirds, NvidiaAllbirds is probably banking on getting an influx of cash from another source, likely Nvidia, to support its AI pivot.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-18CL=FVolatility in gold, crude oil, and silver will calm down by the end of the day.INTRADAY60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.0%—---
04-18the marketThe market will not crash but signs of a pullback might start showing themselves soon.UNSPECIFIED35[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-17Interest ratesInterest rates are not coming down.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=2
timing issue
n=1
The metrics are based on a very small sample size (4 scored predictions out of 24 total) and are marked as preliminary, limiting the reliability of the overall accuracy and alpha.
benchmark flattery
n=1
Despite 100% accuracy, the average alpha is significantly negative, suggesting that assets recommended, even when correct directionally, substantially underperformed their benchmarks. For example, a correct Bitcoin call yielded 8.76% return but the benchmark returned 25.12%.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
BTC4100%
Oracle—
CL=F—
^GSPC—
Tech stocks—