›creator—idthecryptolark—horizonALL—benchmarkSPY[F1] HELP · [F4] EXPORT · [⌘K] CMDS
LD
Lark Davis
@thecryptolark · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 14 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
HYBRID
RISK
SPECUL
TIER
PRELIM
PRED
36
GRADE
D-
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=14
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=14 · SIG 98.1% · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
57
36 CALLS
α
0
−11.9%
CAL
74
BRIER
SNT
100
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
42
SHARPE
CRD
38
D-
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE36
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/36
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
04-21BTC-USDInvestors should buy more Bitcoin when the world feels like it's blowing up.UNSPECIFIED85[BUY]PND+0.0%—---
04-21marketsIf a peace deal is signed today in the Middle East, markets are going to rip.INTRADAY85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-21BTC-USDBitcoin is going to go up if a peace deal is signed.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.0%—---
04-21CL=FCrude oil is probably going to go down if a peace deal is signed.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.0%—---
04-21marketsMarkets will probably sell the news shortly after a peace deal is signed today.INTRADAY60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-20S&P futuresA V-shaped recovery in the market will be followed by a massive rally.UNSPECIFIED85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-17CL=FA very successful negotiation regarding the Iran ceasefire will be announced soon, leading to free oil, an open Strait of Hormuz, and a resolution to the conflict, which will be positive for markets.WEEKS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PRT−12.7%—---
04-16^GSPCS&P 500 futures markets are indicating a further 40-point jump.INTRADAY85[BUY]PND+0.0%—---
04-16S&P 100The S&P 100 will not be a bear market in 2026 because historical precedents show similar drawdowns recovered to new all-time highs.1-2_YEARS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-16^GSPCThe S&P 500 will continue its upward trend, retracing its prior move down and proving bears wrong.UNSPECIFIED85[BUY]PND+0.0%—---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=2
timing issue
n=1
The majority of predictions are future-dated (e.g., 2026), meaning current performance metrics are based on a very small and potentially unrepresentative sample of completed calls from prior periods (e.g., November 2024).
oversimplification
n=1
Frequent use of 'hype-based' and 'fear-based' emotional tones in predictions may oversimplify complex market dynamics and risks for the audience.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
BTC3100%
CL=F50%
BTC-USD50%
Global economy (inflation)2—
Altcoins1100%