GURUSCOPE
guruscopegurutomnashtv
›creator--idtomnashtv
TN

Tom Nash

@tomnashtv · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 4 VERIFIED · 2M
CAT
NARRATIVE
Investing style category
RISK
SPECULATIVE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
INSUFFICIENT
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
47
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
D-
Overall letter grade
41
Credibility
Overall credibility across all dimensions
D-
SIG — · n=4
Statistical significance of results given sample size
SCORECARD · n=4
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample size
Accuracy
62
47 CALLS
Percentage of predictions that were correct
Alpha
34
−3.1%
Returns above the S&P 500 benchmark
Calibration
87
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
How well stated confidence matches actual outcomes
Sentiment
100
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Consistency of bullish/bearish stance over time
Risk
50
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Awareness of downside scenarios and risk factors
Disclosure
0
0%
Transparency about holdings and conflicts of interest
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Honesty about past missed or failed predictions
Risk-Adj
42
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
Performance score adjusted for risk taken
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcomeHIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflicts
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all47
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS47 PREDICTIONS
Quality stocks (general)[BUY]
2026-05-29

Corrections in high-quality companies present money-making opportunities because their strong business fundamentals always eventually pull stock prices back up.

PND—CONF 85
TSLA[BUY]
2026-05-29

Investing in Tesla (TSLA) provided a 10x return because the market misunderstood its true nature beyond being just a car company.

PND−4.0%CONF 85
Stock market / specific companies[BUY]
2026-05-29

The current market offers the last easy 10x opportunity investors will see in decades.

WRG—CONF 85
unnamed seven companies[BUY]
2026-05-29

Seven specific companies, currently undervalued by the market, possess strong business fundamentals and are perfectly positioned for the AI revolution, offering significant investment returns.

PND—CONF 85
PLTR[BUY]
2026-05-29

Investing in Palantir (PLTR) provided a 10x return due to the market misunderstanding its business.

PND−0.7%CONF 85
Stock market / AI sector[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-15

The market is on the brink of a massive, multi-decade leap fueled by AI, comparable to past industrial and technological revolutions.

COR—CONF 60
AI sector / unnamed AI stocks[BUY]
2026-05-15

Specific categories and companies within the AI sector are poised to generate generational wealth, with certain stocks set up for massive leaps.

PND—CONF 85
Stock market / AI sector[BUY]
2026-05-15

The current market setup presents the greatest investing opportunity of our lifetime, primarily driven by the AI revolution.

COR—CONF 85
NVDA[AVOID]
2026-05-15

Nvidia will not experience a collapse similar to Cisco during the dot-com bust because the underlying technology cycles and company fundamentals of AI are different.

COR−9.6%CONF 85
AI sector / Magnificent 7 stocks[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-05-15

The current AI moment represents the greatest investing opportunity of our lifetime, leading to a massive leap in wealth creation similar to past industrial revolutions, with the Magnificent 7 companies currently dominating and profiting from this AI trend.

PRT—CONF 85
37 MORE
AMZN[BUY]
2026-05-10

Amazon (AMZN) stock is a great investment opportunity because its business fundamentals are strong and growing, while its stock price has underperformed the S&P 500.

WRG−8.9%CONF 85
Stock market[BUY]
2026-05-10

The current market presents one of the best investing setups right now.

PRT—CONF 85
AMZN[BUY]
2026-05-10

Amazon (AMZN) is one of the best investing setups in the stock market right now, due to its strong business fundamentals (doubled revenue, operating margin, tripled assets, positive free cash flow) currently lagging its stock price, indicating a future catch-up.

PND−2.8%CONF 85
AMZN[BUY]
2026-05-10

Amazon (AMZN) stock represents one of the best investing setups in the stock market right now.

PND−1.9%CONF 85
AMZN[BUY]
2026-05-10

Amazon stock (AMZN) is a compelling investment opportunity.

PND−1.0%CONF 85
AMZN[HOLD]
2026-05-10

Investors who purchase Amazon stock without understanding its underlying thesis will sell during market turbulence and consequently miss out on potential gains.

PND−1.0%CONF 85
stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-10

The current market conditions represent one of the best investing setups in the stock market right now.

COR—CONF 85
PLTR[BUY]
2026-05-08

Palantir (PLTR) stock is going to hit $500.

PND+0.8%CONF 85
Stock market[BUY]
2026-05-08

The current market presents the biggest investing opportunity ever, and it is beginning today.

COR—CONF 85
stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-08

The current moment presents the biggest opportunity ever seen in the stock market, starting today.

PRT—CONF 85
stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-08

The stock market is presenting the biggest opportunity ever seen, starting today, for investors to create generational wealth.

PRT—CONF 85
AI facilitator sector[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-05-01

The AI facilitator sector currently presents a very interesting investment setup, similar to the past opportunity with Palantir.

PND—CONF 60
AI facilitators / picks and shovels[BUY]
2026-05-01

The money in the AI mega-trend is in the 'facilitators' or 'picks and shovels' companies that enable AI development, which have less saturation and hype.

PND—CONF 85
unspecified (implied AI facilitators)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-05-01

There is a very interesting investing setup right now that resembles the past opportunity with Palantir.

PND—CONF 85
AI sector[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-05-01

Artificial intelligence (AI) is the biggest secular mega-trend in the world right now.

PRT—CONF 60
AI applications / chatbots[AVOID]
2026-05-01

The money in the AI mega-trend is not in applications, chatbots, or other 'shiny things' that are becoming commoditized and saturated.

PND—CONF 85
general economy (jobs, consumer spending, inflation, unemployment)[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-24

When inflation goes up, macroeconomics will decline, leading to fewer jobs, reduced consumer spending, stagflation, and high unemployment.

PRT—CONF 85
global economy / investor portfolios[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-24

The Iran shock is coming and it will be absolutely insane for portfolios.

COR—CONF 85
investor portfolios[AVOID]
2026-04-24

Investors who do not prepare for the coming Iran shock will be absolutely wiped out.

PRT—CONF 85
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-24

As oil prices go higher, the price of production, transportation, and goods at the store will increase, bringing up inflation.

PRT+2.5%CONF 85
general market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-24

If oil causes stagflation, the Fed will be unable to intervene effectively, which will cause a massive market crash.

PND—CONF 85
portfolio[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-24

The Iran shock is coming and will be insane, significantly impacting portfolios.

PND—CONF 85
market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-24

The market will continue to repeatedly experience crashes and collapses, following a historical pattern that has played out for over a hundred years.

PND—CONF 85
economy[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-24

Increased inflation due to oil will lead to declining macroeconomics, job losses, reduced consumer spending, stagflation, unemployment, and a massive market crash that the Fed cannot prevent.

PND—CONF 85
oil prices[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-24

Rising oil prices will create inflationary pressure on the economy, increasing production and transportation costs and leading to higher prices at stores.

PND—CONF 85
portfolio[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-24

Investors unprepared for the Iran shock will be wiped out, while prepared investors will use the ensuing chaos to create generational wealth.

PND—CONF 85
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-16

Historically, the market (S&P 500) typically bottoms around 30 days into a war, a pattern which was observed around March 30th during the current Iran war.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
wealth[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-16

The current market setup represents one of the greatest generational wealth creation moments of our lifetime.

PND—CONF 85
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-16

The S&P 500, currently at 6,900 as of April 15th, will continue to perform strongly for the next 12 months.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
PLTR[BUY]
2026-04-10

The influencer is extremely bullish on Palantir stock.

COR+3.6%CONF 85
retail investor portfolios[AVOID]
2026-04-06

Despite the S&P 500's average 10% annual return over 10 years, 90% of retail investors will end up losing money over the long term due to their flawed investment methodology.

PND—CONF 85
defensive stocks[AVOID]
2026-04-06

Most retail investors mistakenly buy defensive stocks when they are spiking and sell tech stocks when they are dropping during market downturns, leading to a 'buy high, sell low' strategy.

PND—CONF 85
portfolio[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-04-06

Portfolios heavily invested in tech, growth, or high-beta stocks will experience higher downside volatility compared to the overall market index.

PND—CONF 85
general market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-31

The current market cycle will play out exactly the same as historical cycles, moving through all phases from hope to depression and back to hope.

PND—CONF 85
general market[AVOID]
2026-03-31

The problematic strategy of selling off investments due to current negative headlines is going to cost people a lot of money over the next 5 years.

PND—CONF 85
general market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-31

Most investors are going to miss out on this generational investing opportunity because of headlines, emotions, or a lack of plan and understanding.

PND—CONF 85
general market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-03-31

We are on the brink of one of the greatest generational investing opportunities of our lifetime.

PND—CONF 85
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=3
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skill
timing issue
n=1
Many predictions are recent (March-May 2026) and still pending, especially those related to long-term 'generational wealth' or macro 'shocks.' This makes a full assessment of alpha and long-term accuracy difficult.
oversimplification
n=1
The guru uses strong, absolute claims (e.g., 'last easy 10x opportunity,' 'wiped out') which may oversimplify complex market dynamics.
oversimplification
n=1
The 'is_preliminary' flag and limited number of scored predictions (17 out of 47 total) mean the current metrics might not be fully representative of long-term performance.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdown
AMZN1—
general market—
stock market167%
PLTR1100%
portfolio—