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Verified Investing
@verifiedinvesting · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 12 VERIFIED · LAST 12M
CAT
TECHNI
RISK
AGGRES
TIER
PRELIM
PRED
97
GRADE
D-
▸ VERDICT · 9 DIM SMALL.MULTIPLES
SIG — · n=12
ACC
α
CAL
SNT
RSK
DSC
SRV
RAD
CRD
▸SCORECARD · n=12 · SIG 99.9% · BAYES-WEIGHTED
ACC
71
97 CALLS
α
0
−13.3%
CAL
84
BRIER
SNT
94
DRIFT
RSK
50
DOWNSIDE
DSC
0
0%
SRV
50
ARCHIVED
RAD
37
SHARPE
CRD
37
D-
▸PRED.TIMELINE · OVERLAY=SPY · MARKER∝CONF[1Y] [3Y●] [ALL]
■ COR■ WRG■ PRT◌ PND−··− SPY BENCH
▸DISCLOSURE.AUDIT · TR12M
HOLDINGS DISCLOSED0
PROMOTIONS TAGGED0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.0
REC · ZERO DISCLOSURE97
▸DELETED.CONTENT · ARCHIVED
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
▸PREDICTIONS.TABLESORT: DATE↓ · 10/97
DATEASSETCLAIMHORCONFRECOUTαNUANCEYXB
04-28US oilUS oil is overly extended and is due for a pretty significant pullback.WEEKS85[SELL]PND——---
04-28^GSPCThe S&P 500 has a key support level at $697.20.INTRADAY85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.0%—---
04-28^GSPCThe S&P futures are expected to experience a pullback off their current high level after a monstrous rally.UNSPECIFIED60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND+0.0%—---
04-28OracleIf Oracle breaks below $163, a long entry level is $155.59 in the trading day, ideally by 3 o'clock.INTRADAY60[BUY]PND——---
04-28OracleOracle has a short entry level at $172.96 if it surges higher.INTRADAY85[SELL]PND——---
04-28US oilOne should consider dollar-cost averaging a short position in US oil up to $143.98, and stop out if it closes above this level on a 15-minute basis.INTRADAY60[SELL]PND——---
04-28US oilUS oil at $142.30 will be a strong resistance level if it gets another surge to the upside.INTRADAY85[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-28^GSPCThe optimal long entry level for the S&P 500 today is $697.20.INTRADAY85[BUY]PND+0.0%—---
04-27NASDAQGetting through the NASDAQ's parallel channel and the 25,000 psychological level will be a more difficult test than what the S&P 500 faced.WEEKS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
04-27NASDAQA lot of people are likely going to take profits around the 25,000 point psychological level on the NASDAQ.WEEKS60[GENERAL_MACRO]PND——---
▸CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=2
timing issue
n=1
The average alpha and Sharpe ratio are based on a very limited number of scored predictions (12 out of 97 total), which may not accurately reflect long-term performance or a complete investment cycle.
oversimplification
n=1
Despite a 70.8% accuracy on directional calls, the significantly negative alpha suggests that either the magnitude of winning trades is small, or losing trades incur substantial losses, which might not be fully captured by simple accuracy metrics alone.
▸CONSENSUS.OVERLAP · TOP ASSETS
^GSPC—
BTC2100%
USO1—
general market3175%
S&P2100%