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Gareth Soloway (Verified Investing)

@verifiedinvesting · YOUTUBE
INDEXED · 7 VERIFIED · < 1M
CAT
TECHNICAL
Investing style category
RISK
AGGRESSIVE
Risk tolerance level
TIER
PRELIMINARY
Sample size reliability tier
PRED
260
Total predictions analyzed
GRADE
D
Overall letter grade
44
Credibility
Overall credibility across all dimensions
D
SIG — · n=7
Statistical significance of results given sample size
SCORECARD · n=7
8 supporting credibility dimensions, Bayes-weighted for sample size
Accuracy
50
260 CALLS
Percentage of predictions that were correct
Alpha
19
−6.2%
Returns above the S&P 500 benchmark
Calibration
80
BRIERBrier score: lower means better calibrated
How well stated confidence matches actual outcomes
Sentiment
90
DRIFTHow much sentiment shifted over time
Consistency of bullish/bearish stance over time
Risk
50
DOWNSIDEDownside risk acknowledgment score
Awareness of downside scenarios and risk factors
Disclosure
0
0%
Transparency about holdings and conflicts of interest
Survival
50
ARCHIVEDHandling of deleted or hidden predictions
Honesty about past missed or failed predictions
Risk-Adj
33
SHARPERisk-adjusted return ratio
Performance score adjusted for risk taken
PREDICTION TIMELINE · CONFIDENCE × DATE
Each marker is a prediction: position shows date and confidence, shape shows outcomeHIGHMEDLOW1Y AGO9M6M3MNOW
CORRECT WRONG PARTIAL PENDING
DISCLOSURE AUDIT · TR12M
Transparency audit (trailing 12 months): how often this creator discloses holdings, promotions, and conflicts
HOLDINGS DISCLOSEDTimes the creator disclosed holding the asset0
PROMOTIONS TAGGEDPaid promotions that were labeled as such0
“NOT ADVICE” DISC.Standard disclaimers included0
ZERO DISCLOSURERecommendations with no disclosure at all100
DELETED CONTENT · ARCHIVED
Content the creator deleted after publishing (archived by GuruScope)
NO ARCHIVED CONTENT
PREDICTIONS100 PREDICTIONS
ASTS[SELL]
2026-06-10

If ASTS breaks above $130, one should look to short it today for a 2-3% pullback as a day trade.

PND+0.1%CONF 60
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

The S&P 500 is in a bullish market, at least temporarily.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
Stock Market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

If the economy shows signs of losing jobs, slowing down, or decreasing GDP, the markets will experience a pullback.

PND—CONF 60
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

The 10-year yield is favored to move to the upside from its current support level of approximately 4.435%.

PND+1.9%CONF 60
SPY[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

As long as the S&P 500 stays above $748.17, bullish sentiment will be maintained.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
SPY[BUY]
2026-06-10

The long entry level for SPY for today is $723.77.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

The 10-year yield's next resistance level is the 886 Fibonacci retracement, just below 4.7%.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^GSPC[SELL]
2026-06-10

I would short the S&P 500 at around $742.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
ASTS[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

The $130 level will be a major rejection area for ASTS if it reaches that level.

PND+0.1%CONF 85
SPY[SELL]
2026-06-10

$743.69 is a day trade scalp level for the S&P 500 (SPY).

PND+0.0%CONF 60
90 MORE
SPY[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

If the S&P 500 breaks below $748.17, it could further drop to the $723.70 level.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
INTC[BUY]
2026-06-10

If Intel drops into the gap at $11.31, that would be where I would go long, with additional support at $10.96.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
Stock Market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

If the 10-year yield pushes above 4.556% and re-attacks 4.682% resistance, it could signify that the markets are starting to top.

PND—CONF 35
US oil[SELL]
2026-06-10

If US oil surges to the upside, I am looking to short it at $147.61, with additional resistance at $151.26.

PND—CONF 60
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

If the S&P 500 breaks down into its parallel channel, the next area of support is going to be at $710.31.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
SOXX[SELL]
2026-06-10

If SOXX pierces $600 today, that is a shortable level for a day trade.

PND−2.0%CONF 85
SOXX[SELL]
2026-06-10

If SOXX takes out the lows of the day at $515.08, the sell-off will continue.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
USO[SELL]
2026-06-10

USO offers a good opportunity for a swing short at the resistance level of $151.26.

PND+3.9%CONF 60
SPY[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

The S&P 500 could be forming a rounded top, making slightly higher highs but showing signs of overextension.

PND+0.0%CONF 35
AI trade, SpaceX[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-06-10

All eyes in the market are going to turn back to the AI trade and the SpaceX IPO that is coming out on Friday.

PND—CONF 60
markets[BUY]
2026-06-10

A continued market drawdown will present a buying opportunity.

PND—CONF 60
SPY[BUY]
2026-06-10

The S&P 500 (SPY) could head higher and hit the $750 level.

PND+0.0%CONF 35
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

The US 10-year yield has the potential to continue higher as it is sitting on a lot of support.

PND+1.9%CONF 60
SOXX[SELL]
2026-06-10

SOXX offers an additional short opportunity at $522.21.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

The 10-year yield will likely go up to 4.628% and then face rejection, maintaining that level as resistance.

PND+1.9%CONF 60
USO[SELL]
2026-06-10

If USO continues to sell off or moves below $135.94, it will break its up-sloping trend line support and experience a nice sell-off.

PND+3.9%CONF 60
USO[SELL]
2026-06-10

If USO closes below $138.61, it will fall to $124.11, which will be the next support level.

PND+3.9%CONF 60
markets[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

The rip roaring rally in the markets is going to be tested in the coming days.

PND—CONF 60
BE[SELL]
2026-06-10

Bloom Energy (BE) is a shortable level for a day trade or swing trade at a $320 pierce.

COR−8.2%CONF 85
QQQ[SELL]
2026-06-10

If QQQ reaches $713.29, it will be a great shortable level for a day trade, with additional resistance at $716.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
USO[SELL]
2026-06-10

USO offers a good opportunity for a day trade short at $153.02 if it pushes to the upside.

PND+3.9%CONF 60
Stock Market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

An increased pop in the 10-year yield usually puts a lot of pressure on the stock market.

PND—CONF 60
SPY[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

If the S&P 500 breaks below $748.17, it has an opportunity to retest the $731.34 level.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
SPY[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

The S&P 500 (SPY) could reach an upside target of $748.17, which would be a potential rejection level.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

If the 10-year yield consolidates on top of its upswing trend line over the next few days into the coming week, it is likely to break support and head down to about 4.25%.

PND+1.9%CONF 60
Stock Market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

If USO (US Oil Fund) continues to fade, the stock market is going to continue a little bit higher.

PND—CONF 60
SOXX[BUY]
2026-06-10

The SOXX index favors a continued move to the upside.

PND−2.0%CONF 60
SPY[BUY]
2026-06-10

$731.53 remains a solid support level for the S&P 500 (SPY) for a scalp trade.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
QQQ[SELL]
2026-06-10

QQQ is a good swing trade short at $719.85, with a stop out above $722.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
SPY[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

If the S&P 500 recaptures its upswing trend line to the downside and consolidates sideways at the $748.17 level, bears will start to take profits.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
QQQ[SELL]
2026-06-10

QQQ's first resistance level is $713.29.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
QQQ[SELL]
2026-06-10

If the second level of the up-sloping trendline on QQQ gets broken, we could see a further sell-off.

PND+0.0%CONF 35
QQQ[SELL]
2026-06-10

QQQ should start rolling over due to signs of weakness, even with the US 10-year yield falling.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^GSPC[SELL]
2026-06-10

If the S&P 500 gets a nice bid to the upside today, $748.17 will act as a rejection level.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

The 10-year yield will likely see a pullback after piercing approximately 4.7%.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
SPY[SELL]
2026-06-10

If the S&P 500 (SPY) closes today failing to get back into the gap in the charts, it will confirm a breakdown.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
USO[BUY]
2026-06-10

USO will find support at $138.60 if it drops to that level.

PND—CONF 60
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

The 10-year yield will find solid support and bounce at 4.482%.

PND+1.9%CONF 60
ARM[BUY]
2026-06-10

The long entry level for ARM for today is $298.38.

WRG−3.8%CONF 60
^GSPC[BUY]
2026-06-10

The long entry level for the S&P 500 for today is 725921.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

If the US 10-year yield breaks back above 4.486%, it opens the door to rise to 4.556%.

PND+1.9%CONF 60
SOXX[BUY]
2026-06-10

The aggressive long entry level for SOXX for today is $53,721, and a more conservative secondary level is $524.71.

PND−2.0%CONF 85
ASTS[SELL]
2026-06-10

For a short position on ASTS, one should stop out on a 15-minute closing basis above the high pivot point and consider re-entering the short above $140.

PND+0.1%CONF 60
USO[BUY]
2026-06-10

If USO recaptures its previous support levels (now resistance) at $138.66, it will make a nice surge to the upside, potentially reaching $150 or $149.39.

PND+3.9%CONF 60
markets[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

The markets will experience a relief rally or short covering in the near term.

PND—CONF 60
USO[BUY]
2026-06-10

USO will find support at $138.61.

PND+3.9%CONF 60
US Stock Market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

A continued rise in the US 10-year yield could put more pressure on the US stock market.

PND—CONF 35
INTC[SELL]
2026-06-10

If Intel pushes up and clears $124.22, my shortable level for today is $129.44.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
USO[SELL]
2026-06-10

If USO gets up to $138.66, it would be a good level to go short.

PND+3.9%CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

Markets anticipate that a deal regarding the Middle East conflict will eventually be reached, leading to a fall in crude oil prices.

PRT+7.6%CONF 60
USO[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

USO has additional resistance at about $150.

PND+3.9%CONF 60
BE[HOLD]
2026-06-10

If Bloom Energy (BE) closes above its up-sloping trend line on a daily basis with confirmation, it could reach $350 as an additional resistance level.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
SPY[SELL]
2026-06-10

If the S&P 500 (SPY) bounces more today, it would be a good short scalp opportunity at $738.61.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
markets[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

The current market unravel could be a little sharper, particularly if the yields continue marching up.

PND—CONF 60
Stock Market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

A drop in the 10-year yield to 4.25% would be extremely positive for the stock market and US prices.

PND—CONF 85
SPY[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

The S&P 500 is currently favored for a pullback due to its overextension.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
USO[SELL]
2026-06-10

A short level for USO is at $140.92 if it reaches that price.

PND+3.9%CONF 60
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-10

The next upside target for the US 10-year yield is 4.688% once it breaks above 4.579%.

PND+1.9%CONF 60
markets[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-09

There will be a point in which the 'buy the dip' strategy no longer works.

PND—CONF 60
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-09

Markets are very unlikely to dump and will be kept neutral to higher going into the SpaceX IPO, as institutional money needs exit liquidity and does not want to scare retail investors.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-09

After the SpaceX IPO, markets could experience another downturn.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-09

A warning pattern on the S&P and NASDAQ suggests a big fall could occur after the SpaceX IPO.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
CL=F[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-09

A deal with Iran will probably occur, but it will have a minimal market impact.

PND+4.3%CONF 60
^GSPC[SELL]
2026-06-08

Breaching $7353 to the downside on the S&P 500 would lead to further selling pressure.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^GSPC[AVOID]
2026-06-08

If the S&P 500 does not close above $752.82, downward pressure is likely to result from the recent high-volume sell candle.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
Fed Funds Rate[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-08

The Fed is increasing probabilities for a rate hike this year, with a potential rate hike in December.

PND—CONF 60
^GSPC[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-08

If the S&P 500 breaks current levels, the first area of support will be at $726.13.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
^GSPC[SECTOR_ROTATION]
2026-06-08

The AI trade is currently the primary driver for the direction of the S&P and Nasdaq.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
Apple[SELL]
2026-06-08

Despite expected good news from Apple's WWDC, it is likely to be a 'sell the news' event, similar to past big announcement dates.

PND—CONF 60
Fed Funds Rate[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-08

A couple of rate hikes are likely to be experienced moving through into 2027.

PND—CONF 60
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

If the 10-year yield breaks back above 4.556%, its next level of resistance is going to be 4.628%.

PND+5.6%CONF 60
SPX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

If the 10-year yield continues to push, the SPX will still maintain a lot of pressure.

PND—CONF 60
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The 10-year yield will head back up to 4.556%.

PND+5.6%CONF 60
SPX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

If the US 10-year yield can start dropping, then the SPX has an opportunity to recapture its upsloping trend line.

PND—CONF 35
stock market[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

If the 10-year yield hits 4.556% today, stock prices could continue higher.

PND—CONF 35
Tech stocks[AVOID]
2026-06-05

Due to the damage on the charts from recent negative price action, it will take significant effort to erase the negative impact on the tech rally next week.

PND—CONF 85
AI stocks[AVOID]
2026-06-05

The unwinding of the AI trade is likely just the beginning of a larger correction.

PND—CONF 60
SPX[BUY]
2026-06-05

If the SPX starts closing back inside or above its upsloping trend line, it opens the door to coming back up to 7700 or 7800.

PND—CONF 60
^TNX[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

Anything above 4.5% on the 10-year yield is a warning shot to the markets and risk assets.

PND+5.6%CONF 85
S&P futures[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-05

The S&P will test its overnight or pre-market lows from yesterday today.

PND—CONF 60
SPX[SELL]
2026-06-05

A retrace to 7585 on the SPX would be a shortable level.

PND—CONF 85
SPX[SELL]
2026-06-05

If the SPX gets another drop and closes below 7471 on Monday, there will be a lot more selling pressure.

PND—CONF 60
^GSPC[SELL]
2026-06-05

If the S&P 500 breaks the pivot point at $732.17, it will come down to retest the top of the parallel channel.

PND+0.0%CONF 85
^GSPC[SELL]
2026-06-04

If the S&P 500 closes below $754.94 tomorrow, it will disrupt the current upward trend.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
AVGO[BUY]
2026-06-04

Broadcom will offer a swing trade opportunity for a multi-day or multi-week bounce.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
AVGO[BUY]
2026-06-04

If Broadcom breaks 395, the secondary day trade pivot level will be 380 to 381, corresponding to a gap fill.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
AVGO[BUY]
2026-06-04

The first day trade support level for Broadcom is 395, aligning with the lowest point of a consolidation zone.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
AVGO, semiconductor sector[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-04

Broadcom's fractional revenue miss and failure to raise guidance sends alarm bells across the entire semiconductor sector, potentially signaling the start of a bubble pop.

COR—CONF 60
AVGO[BUY]
2026-06-04

Broadcom will present day trading opportunities to go long following its significant drop.

PND+0.0%CONF 60
USO[GENERAL_MACRO]
2026-06-03

If USO shoots up to $140.92, it is going to be a pretty major resistance level.

PND+2.3%CONF 60
DEEP ANALYSIS · CONFOUNDERS · CONSENSUS
CONFOUNDERS · CLASSIFIED · n=2
External factors that may have influenced prediction outcomes beyond skill
timing issue
n=1
The current metrics are highly preliminary as only 26 out of 260 total predictions have verified outcomes, meaning the reported performance is based on an extremely small sample size and is subject to significant change.
oversimplification
n=1
While narrative accuracy is high, it includes broader market statements that may be less actionable or harder to definitively fail, potentially masking the 50.0% accuracy on specific market timing calls where direct price movements are measured.
CONSENSUS · TOP ASSETS
Most frequently predicted assets with accuracy breakdown
^GSPC—
SPY—
^TNX—
USO—
Stock Market—